NYSE$NRG

NRG Energy Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong financial performance with Net Income of $482 million, Adjusted EBITDA of $844 million, and Free Cash Flow before Growth Investments (FCFbG) of $942 million.

NRG Energy, Inc. reported a Net Income of $482 million for the three months ended December 31, 2023. The company's full year Net Loss was $202 million, but Adjusted EBITDA for the full year was $3.3 billion and Free Cash Flow Before Growth was $1.9 billion. NRG is reaffirming its 2024 guidance ranges of $3,300 to $3,550 million in Adjusted EBITDA and $1,825 to $2,075 million in Free Cash Flow before Growth.

  • Exceeded revised guidance on Free Cash Flow before Growth and achieved high end of Adjusted EBITDA revised guidance.
  • Delivered exceptional operational performance through volatile summer and winter conditions.
  • Expanded margins and grew customer count in both the Energy and Smart Home portfolios.
  • Returned $1.5 billion to shareholders or approximately 17% of 2023 average market capitalization.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$6.81B

Previous: $7.86B-13.3%
EPS (adj)

$2.02

Previous: -$4.56+144.3%
Adjusted EBITDA

$844M

Previous: $435M+94.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$104M

Previous: $117M-188.9%
Net Income

$482M

Previous: -$1.1B+144.0%
Operating Income

$384M

Previous: $2.02B-81.0%
Gross Profit

$1.02B

Previous: -$972M+205.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$14M

Previous: $7M+100.0%

Revenue & EPS history

NRG Energy · Revenue · Quarterly

$6.81B

Q4 2023-13.3%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

NRG Energy · $6.56B total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Texas
    $3.69B+17.2%
  • East
    $2.88B

Forward guidance

NRG is reaffirming its Adjusted EBITDA and FCFbG guidance for 2024.

Tailwinds

  • Adjusted EBITDA guidance of $3,300 - $3,550 million.
  • Cash Provided by Operating Activities guidance of $1,825 - $2,075 million.
  • FCFbG guidance of $1,825 - $2,075 million.
  • Capital allocation plan includes $500 million in debt paydown.
  • Capital allocation plan includes $825 million in share repurchases.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.3%

Avg return

30 days after

44%

32 / 72 earnings

Positive

+26.3%

Q1 2025

Best reaction

-10.1%

Q1 2017

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.3%-13.0%-17.9%
Q4 2025-1.6%+1.4%-17.2%
Q3 2025-2.3%-6.0%-5.9%
Q1 2025+26.3%+33.4%+24.9%
Q4 2024+10.6%-2.1%-7.1%
Q3 2024-2.2%-4.1%+3.0%
Q2 2024+11.4%+13.6%+6.2%
Q1 2024-2.7%+7.4%-0.1%
Q4 2023+2.4%+6.8%+25.3%
Q3 2023+2.6%+3.6%+10.3%
Q2 2023-0.8%-2.3%+2.2%
Q1 2023-6.5%-6.4%-0.4%
Q4 2022-4.5%-4.9%-12.1%
Q3 2022-0.2%+2.4%-25.3%
Q2 2022+2.9%+2.6%+11.0%
Q1 2022+9.9%+10.8%+20.6%
Q4 2021+3.1%-0.8%+0.5%
Q3 2021-9.3%-12.8%-8.6%
Q2 2021+5.2%+3.4%+8.8%
Q1 2021-0.5%-0.7%-3.0%
Q4 2020+7.6%+9.1%+3.3%
Q3 2020-4.5%-0.3%+5.5%
Q2 2020+2.1%+4.0%-0.5%
Q1 2020-0.0%-2.2%+12.0%
Q4 2019-5.2%-5.0%-15.7%
Q3 2019-2.9%-2.1%-2.8%
Q2 2019+3.5%+0.0%+11.2%
Q1 2019-2.7%-4.7%-16.1%
Q4 2018+2.9%+1.8%+3.6%
Q3 2018-0.3%+2.6%+5.5%
Q2 2018+2.2%+7.2%+10.9%
Q1 2018+9.3%+11.2%+11.3%
Q4 2017+7.8%+13.0%+18.1%
Q3 2017+11.2%+14.4%+12.5%
Q2 2017-0.1%-0.9%+1.4%
Q1 2017-10.1%-9.8%+0.5%
Q4 2016+0.5%+3.2%+9.5%
Q3 2016+12.3%+18.8%+11.0%
Q2 2016-5.7%-5.9%-8.1%
Q1 2016+6.2%
Q4 2015+1.6%
Q3 2015+0.7%
Q2 2015-10.1%
Q1 2015+4.1%
Q4 2014-5.6%
Q3 2014+9.0%
Q2 2014-1.6%
Q1 2014+3.9%
Q4 2013-0.2%
Q3 2013-2.8%
Q2 2013-3.5%
Q1 2013-1.5%
Q4 2012+0.7%
Q3 2012-2.6%
Q2 2012+6.9%
Q1 2012-6.9%
Q4 2010-2.8%
Q4 2011-2.8%
Q3 2011+2.5%
Q2 2011-6.3%
Q1 2011-0.9%
Q4 2007-5.2%
Q3 2010+0.3%
Q2 2010-2.2%
Q1 2009-3.0%
Q1 2010+1.8%
Q4 2009-5.2%
Q3 2008+1.3%
Q3 2009+1.3%
Q2 2008-1.2%
Q4 2008-1.2%
Q2 2009-1.2%

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