NYSE$NRG

NRG Energy Inc · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

NRG Energy reported stable results amid the COVID-19 pandemic, delivering Q3 2020 income from continuing operations and Adjusted EBITDA.

NRG Energy reported third quarter 2020 income from continuing operations of $249 million, or $1.02 per diluted common share and Adjusted EBITDA for the Third quarter of $752 million. The company is on track to close the Direct Energy acquisition by year end. NRG has narrowed the range of its Adjusted EBITDA guidance, while increasing Cash From Operations and Free Cash Flow before Growth Investments (FCFbG) guidance for 2020. NRG is maintaining its Adjusted EBITDA guidance for fiscal year 2021 while lowering its Cash Flow From Operations and FCFbG guidance due to the deferral of certain cash flow items into 2021.

  • Business performed well during the important summer months, delivering stable results amid the COVID-19 pandemic
  • Direct Energy acquisition on track to close by year end; updated financing plan no longer requires new equity issuance
  • Ongoing portfolio optimization, targeting a minimum $250 million equity proceed over next 6-12 months
  • Narrowing 2020 Adjusted EBITDA and increasing FCFbG guidance; maintaining 2021 Adjusted EBITDA and lowering FCFbG guidance due to deferral of certain items into 2021

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.81B

Previous: $3B-6.2%
EPS (adj)

$1.10

Previous: $1.88-41.5%
Adjusted EBITDA

$752M

Previous: $792M-5.1%
Capital Expenditures

-$167M

Previous: -$183M+8.7%
Free Cash Flow

$82M

Previous: $189M-56.6%
Net Income

$249M

Previous: $372M-33.1%
Operating Income

$393M

Previous: $540M-27.2%
Gross Profit

$775M

Previous: $843M-8.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$697M

Previous: $243M+186.8%
Total Assets

$12.2B

Previous: $9.53B+28.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$5M

Previous: $5M+0.0%

Revenue & EPS history

NRG Energy · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.81B

Q3 2020-6.2%vs Q3 2019
Beat estimate in 8 of 16 quarters(50%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

NRG Energy · $1.99B total across 1 segment · Q3 2020

  • Texas
    $1.99B

Forward guidance

NRG has narrowed the range of its Adjusted EBITDA guidance, while increasing Cash From Operations and Free Cash Flow before Growth Investments (FCFbG) guidance for 2020; NRG is maintaining its Adjusted EBITDA guidance for fiscal year 2021 while lowering its Cash Flow From Operations and FCFbG guidance due to the deferral of certain cash flow items into 2021.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.3%

Avg return

30 days after

44%

32 / 72 earnings

Positive

+26.3%

Q1 2025

Best reaction

-10.1%

Q1 2017

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.3%-13.0%-17.9%
Q4 2025-1.6%+1.4%-17.2%
Q3 2025-2.3%-6.0%-5.9%
Q1 2025+26.3%+33.4%+24.9%
Q4 2024+10.6%-2.1%-7.1%
Q3 2024-2.2%-4.1%+3.0%
Q2 2024+11.4%+13.6%+6.2%
Q1 2024-2.7%+7.4%-0.1%
Q4 2023+2.4%+6.8%+25.3%
Q3 2023+2.6%+3.6%+10.3%
Q2 2023-0.8%-2.3%+2.2%
Q1 2023-6.5%-6.4%-0.4%
Q4 2022-4.5%-4.9%-12.1%
Q3 2022-0.2%+2.4%-25.3%
Q2 2022+2.9%+2.6%+11.0%
Q1 2022+9.9%+10.8%+20.6%
Q4 2021+3.1%-0.8%+0.5%
Q3 2021-9.3%-12.8%-8.6%
Q2 2021+5.2%+3.4%+8.8%
Q1 2021-0.5%-0.7%-3.0%
Q4 2020+7.6%+9.1%+3.3%
Q3 2020-4.5%-0.3%+5.5%
Q2 2020+2.1%+4.0%-0.5%
Q1 2020-0.0%-2.2%+12.0%
Q4 2019-5.2%-5.0%-15.7%
Q3 2019-2.9%-2.1%-2.8%
Q2 2019+3.5%+0.0%+11.2%
Q1 2019-2.7%-4.7%-16.1%
Q4 2018+2.9%+1.8%+3.6%
Q3 2018-0.3%+2.6%+5.5%
Q2 2018+2.2%+7.2%+10.9%
Q1 2018+9.3%+11.2%+11.3%
Q4 2017+7.8%+13.0%+18.1%
Q3 2017+11.2%+14.4%+12.5%
Q2 2017-0.1%-0.9%+1.4%
Q1 2017-10.1%-9.8%+0.5%
Q4 2016+0.5%+3.2%+9.5%
Q3 2016+12.3%+18.8%+11.0%
Q2 2016-5.7%-5.9%-8.1%
Q1 2016+6.2%
Q4 2015+1.6%
Q3 2015+0.7%
Q2 2015-10.1%
Q1 2015+4.1%
Q4 2014-5.6%
Q3 2014+9.0%
Q2 2014-1.6%
Q1 2014+3.9%
Q4 2013-0.2%
Q3 2013-2.8%
Q2 2013-3.5%
Q1 2013-1.5%
Q4 2012+0.7%
Q3 2012-2.6%
Q2 2012+6.9%
Q1 2012-6.9%
Q4 2010-2.8%
Q4 2011-2.8%
Q3 2011+2.5%
Q2 2011-6.3%
Q1 2011-0.9%
Q4 2007-5.2%
Q3 2010+0.3%
Q2 2010-2.2%
Q1 2009-3.0%
Q1 2010+1.8%
Q4 2009-5.2%
Q3 2008+1.3%
Q3 2009+1.3%
Q2 2008-1.2%
Q4 2008-1.2%
Q2 2009-1.2%

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