NYSE$NRG

NRG Energy Inc · Q2 2020 earnings

Q2 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong second quarter results driven by the acquisition of Stream Energy, lower supply costs and mark-to-market on hedge positions.

NRG Energy reported a strong second quarter with income from continuing operations of $313 million and Adjusted EBITDA of $574 million. The company highlighted the resilience of its platform and the upcoming acquisition of Direct Energy.

  • Income from Continuing Operations was $313 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $574 million.
  • The company is acquiring Direct Energy to expand its regional diversity and product offerings.
  • NRG is reaffirming its 2020 and 2021 guidance for Adjusted EBITDA, Cash From Operations and Free Cash Flow before Growth Investments.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.24B

Previous: $2.47B-9.2%
EPS (adj)

$1.27

Previous: $0.70+81.4%
Adjusted EBITDA

$574M

Previous: $469M+22.4%
Capital Expenditures

-$116M

Previous: -$107M-8.4%
Free Cash Flow

$197M

Previous: $94M+109.6%
Net Income

$313M

Previous: $201M+55.7%
Operating Income

$484M

Previous: $320M+51.2%
Gross Profit

$804M

Previous: $620M+29.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$418M

Previous: $294M+42.2%
Total Assets

$12.3B

Previous: $9.17B+34.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$7M

Previous: $6M+16.7%

Revenue & EPS history

NRG Energy · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.24B

Q2 2020-9.2%vs Q2 2019
Beat estimate in 8 of 16 quarters(50%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

NRG Energy · $2.1B total across 2 segments · Q2 2020

  • Texas
    $1.58B
  • East
    $526M

Forward guidance

NRG is reaffirming its guidance range for 2020 and 2021 with respect to Adjusted EBITDA, Cash From Operations and Free Cash Flow before Growth Investments (FCFbG).

Tailwinds

  • Adjusted EBITDA: $1,900-$2,100 million
  • Cash From Operations: $1,440-$1,640 million
  • FCFbG: $1,275-$1,475 million
  • The company expects to fund the Direct Energy acquisition using a combination of cash on hand
  • The acquisition will add over 3 million customers to NRG’s business.

Headwinds

  • Electricity was deemed a 'critical and essential business operation' under various state and federal governmental COVID-19 mandates.
  • As a result of COVID-19, there has been a reduction in load within the markets in which we operate since the President’s national emergency declaration
  • The rebound in demand has varied across the Company's market footprint, as restrictions vary regionally.
  • The Company expects demand uncertainty to continue in the near future.
  • The Company does not anticipate executing any further share repurchases over the remainder of 2020 and has allocated all of its remaining 2020 excess capital to fund the Direct Energy acquisition.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2020

Historical avgQ2 2020

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.3%

Avg return

30 days after

44%

32 / 72 earnings

Positive

+26.3%

Q1 2025

Best reaction

-10.1%

Q1 2017

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.3%-13.0%-17.9%
Q4 2025-1.6%+1.4%-17.2%
Q3 2025-2.3%-6.0%-5.9%
Q1 2025+26.3%+33.4%+24.9%
Q4 2024+10.6%-2.1%-7.1%
Q3 2024-2.2%-4.1%+3.0%
Q2 2024+11.4%+13.6%+6.2%
Q1 2024-2.7%+7.4%-0.1%
Q4 2023+2.4%+6.8%+25.3%
Q3 2023+2.6%+3.6%+10.3%
Q2 2023-0.8%-2.3%+2.2%
Q1 2023-6.5%-6.4%-0.4%
Q4 2022-4.5%-4.9%-12.1%
Q3 2022-0.2%+2.4%-25.3%
Q2 2022+2.9%+2.6%+11.0%
Q1 2022+9.9%+10.8%+20.6%
Q4 2021+3.1%-0.8%+0.5%
Q3 2021-9.3%-12.8%-8.6%
Q2 2021+5.2%+3.4%+8.8%
Q1 2021-0.5%-0.7%-3.0%
Q4 2020+7.6%+9.1%+3.3%
Q3 2020-4.5%-0.3%+5.5%
Q2 2020+2.1%+4.0%-0.5%
Q1 2020-0.0%-2.2%+12.0%
Q4 2019-5.2%-5.0%-15.7%
Q3 2019-2.9%-2.1%-2.8%
Q2 2019+3.5%+0.0%+11.2%
Q1 2019-2.7%-4.7%-16.1%
Q4 2018+2.9%+1.8%+3.6%
Q3 2018-0.3%+2.6%+5.5%
Q2 2018+2.2%+7.2%+10.9%
Q1 2018+9.3%+11.2%+11.3%
Q4 2017+7.8%+13.0%+18.1%
Q3 2017+11.2%+14.4%+12.5%
Q2 2017-0.1%-0.9%+1.4%
Q1 2017-10.1%-9.8%+0.5%
Q4 2016+0.5%+3.2%+9.5%
Q3 2016+12.3%+18.8%+11.0%
Q2 2016-5.7%-5.9%-8.1%
Q1 2016+6.2%
Q4 2015+1.6%
Q3 2015+0.7%
Q2 2015-10.1%
Q1 2015+4.1%
Q4 2014-5.6%
Q3 2014+9.0%
Q2 2014-1.6%
Q1 2014+3.9%
Q4 2013-0.2%
Q3 2013-2.8%
Q2 2013-3.5%
Q1 2013-1.5%
Q4 2012+0.7%
Q3 2012-2.6%
Q2 2012+6.9%
Q1 2012-6.9%
Q4 2010-2.8%
Q4 2011-2.8%
Q3 2011+2.5%
Q2 2011-6.3%
Q1 2011-0.9%
Q4 2007-5.2%
Q3 2010+0.3%
Q2 2010-2.2%
Q1 2009-3.0%
Q1 2010+1.8%
Q4 2009-5.2%
Q3 2008+1.3%
Q3 2009+1.3%
Q2 2008-1.2%
Q4 2008-1.2%
Q2 2009-1.2%

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