NYSE$MTUS
Metallus Inc · Q4 2022 earnings
Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
TimkenSteel reported a net loss in Q4 2022 due to lower shipments and reduced surcharge revenue, partially offset by favorable product mix and higher base sales prices.
TimkenSteel reported Q4 2022 net sales of $245.4 million and a net loss of $33.2 million, or a loss of $0.75 per diluted share. On an adjusted basis, the fourth-quarter 2022 net loss was $4.6 million, or a loss of $0.10 per diluted share, and adjusted EBITDA was $11.9 million.
- Net sales decreased 23% compared to Q3 2022, primarily due to lower surcharge revenue and shipments.
- Ship tons decreased 19% sequentially, driven by lower shipments across all end markets.
- Manufacturing costs increased slightly sequentially, with melt utilization improving to 47% from 40% in Q3.
- Other income included an insurance recovery of $33.0 million related to unplanned downtime in the second half of 2022.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Metallus · Revenue · Quarterly
$245M
Revenue by segment
Metallus · $214M total across 3 segments · Q3 2023
- Industrial$174M+19.0%81.1%
- Energy$35.6M-1.1%16.6%
- Other$4.8M+0.0%2.2%
Forward guidance
The company expects to report a sequential increase in adjusted EBITDA in the first quarter 2023.
Tailwinds
- Customer demand remains solid with opportunities for further profitability enhancement through our commercial excellence initiatives.
- Our order book is expected to remain full in the first half of 2023.
- Ship tons are expected to sequentially increase in the first quarter by 25 percent or greater.
- Annual price agreement negotiations are complete with a meaningful increase in base prices, compared with 2022 average base prices, for customers on approximately 70 percent of the 2023 order book.
- The company expects continued improvement in its melt utilization rate throughout the first quarter with an average melt utilization rate of approximately 70 percent for the quarter.
Headwinds
- Inflationary pressure is anticipated to remain on certain commodities and consumables.
- Planned capital expenditures are approximately $45 million in 2023.
- The company continues to seek additional insurance recoveries related to unplanned downtime in the second half of 2022, although the timing and amount of potential additional recoveries are uncertain at this time.
- An effective income tax rate of 15 to 20 percent is expected in 2023.
- Pension expense is expected to increase by approximately $11 million in 2023 compared with 2022, excluding the impact of remeasurements.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022
+1.6%
Avg return
Earnings day
-0.7%
Avg return
5 days after
+1.8%
Avg return
30 days after
42%
22 / 52 earnings
Positive
+80.9%
Q4 2015
Best reaction
-16.6%
Q4 2025
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | +1.0% | -0.6% | +8.3% | |
| Q4 2025 | -16.6% | -18.1% | -29.2% | |
| Q3 2025 | -1.7% | -6.8% | +0.9% | |
| Q1 2025 | -11.1% | +2.5% | +7.4% | |
| Q4 2024 | -8.0% | -10.6% | -13.4% | |
| Q3 2024 | -4.1% | -3.6% | +0.4% | |
| Q2 2024 | -8.6% | -12.6% | -20.5% | |
| Q1 2024 | +10.7% | +11.3% | +9.6% | |
| Q4 2023 | -0.2% | +1.3% | +9.1% | |
| Q3 2023 | -2.5% | +0.0% | +1.8% | |
| Q2 2023 | -9.6% | -6.3% | -3.3% | |
| Q1 2023 | +5.4% | +6.9% | +12.0% | |
| Q4 2022 | +1.7% | +1.0% | -0.9% | |
| Q3 2022 | +12.2% | +14.1% | +16.4% | |
| Q2 2022 | -2.9% | -1.1% | -12.1% | |
| Q1 2022 | -9.5% | -13.8% | +18.5% | |
| Q4 2021 | +14.3% | +16.2% | +56.3% | |
| Q3 2021 | +5.3% | +10.2% | +0.6% | |
| Q2 2021 | +12.0% | +31.8% | +4.2% | |
| Q1 2021 | +0.2% | +11.1% | +15.5% | |
| Q4 2020 | -4.4% | -0.7% | +28.4% | |
| Q3 2020 | +1.8% | +15.5% | +29.2% | |
| Q2 2020 | +2.7% | +5.9% | -8.7% | |
| Q1 2020 | +30.0% | +26.2% | +70.8% | |
| Q4 2019 | -5.9% | -7.8% | -41.0% | |
| Q3 2019 | +13.2% | -13.9% | +8.7% | |
| Q2 2019 | -3.0% | -9.9% | -25.3% | |
| Q1 2019 | +6.7% | -1.7% | -28.8% | |
| Q4 2018 | +12.0% | +3.1% | -15.3% | |
| Q3 2018 | +15.4% | +5.4% | +0.5% | |
| Q2 2018 | -14.9% | -23.8% | -23.6% | |
| Q1 2018 | +0.6% | -2.2% | +1.9% | |
| Q4 2017 | -11.2% | -14.3% | -12.7% | |
| Q3 2017 | -12.4% | -22.1% | -17.6% | |
| Q2 2017 | -2.0% | +1.1% | -5.7% | |
| Q1 2017 | -8.3% | -9.9% | -16.6% | |
| Q4 2016 | +13.9% | +20.0% | +11.7% | |
| Q3 2016 | -4.2% | -7.9% | +48.7% | |
| Q2 2016 | -15.0% | -22.7% | -15.7% | |
| Q1 2016 | -1.4% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | +80.9% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | -2.8% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | -6.5% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | +1.9% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | +6.7% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | -3.4% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | -3.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | -0.6% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | -0.3% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | -1.9% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | -1.9% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | +10.4% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | — | — | — |
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