NYSE$MTUS

Metallus Inc · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Metallus reported a net loss of $5.9 million on net sales of $227.2 million.

Metallus reported Q3 2024 net sales of $227.2 million and a net loss of $5.9 million, or a loss of $0.13 per diluted share. Adjusted net loss was $4.4 million, or a loss of $0.09 per diluted share, and adjusted EBITDA was $6.1 million. The company remains on track with investments to increase capacity in support of the U.S. Army’s mission of ramping up munitions production.

  • Net sales were $227.2 million with a net loss of $5.9 million and adjusted EBITDA of $6.1 million.
  • Invested $17.6 million in capital expenditures and deployed $20.1 million to repurchase shares.
  • Total liquidity was strong at $496.8 million as of September 30, 2024.
  • The company is on track with investments to increase capacity in support of the U.S. Army’s mission of ramping up munitions production.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$227M

Previous: $354M-35.9%
EPS

-$0.13

Previous: $0.52-125.0%
Ship Tons

119.9K

Previous: 175.8K-31.8%
Melt Utilization

60.0%

Previous: 76.0%-21.1%
Capital Expenditures

-$49.1M

Previous: -$36.2M-35.6%
Free Cash Flow

-$55M

Previous: -$11.4M-382.5%
Net Income

-$5.9M

Previous: $24.8M-123.8%
Operating Income

-$10.3M

Previous: $30.8M-133.4%
Gross Profit

$12.1M

Previous: $51M-76.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$255M

Previous: $225M+13.0%
Total Assets

$1.13B

Previous: $1.15B-1.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.5M

Previous: $3M+16.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Metallus · Revenue · Quarterly

$227M

Q3 2024-35.9%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Metallus · $214M total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Industrial
    $174M+19.0%
  • Energy
    $35.6M-1.1%
  • Other
    $4.8M+0.0%

Forward guidance

The company expects adjusted EBITDA to increase modestly on a sequential basis in the fourth quarter of 2024.

Tailwinds

  • Fourth-quarter shipments are expected to be a slight increase from the third quarter.
  • Lead times from customer order to shipment have increased in recent months, with bar product lead times in December and tube product lead times in January.
  • Fourth-quarter product mix is expected to be favorable compared with the third quarter on higher aerospace & defense shipments, while base price per ton is anticipated to remain relatively steady.

Headwinds

  • The company expects the fourth-quarter average melt utilization rate to be similar to the third quarter, as the company continues to balance production with demand and completes planned annual melt shop shutdown maintenance.
  • Planned annual shutdown maintenance was completed in October at a cost of approximately $6 million, relatively consistent with the level of shutdown maintenance completed in the third quarter.
  • Capital expenditures are expected to be approximately $65 million in 2024, inclusive of approximately $15 million of capital expenditures funded by the U.S. government.
  • The company contributed an additional $5.3 million to its bargaining pension plan in October, resulting in total 2024 pension contributions of $42.8 million.
  • An effective income tax rate in the low 20 percent range is expected for the full year 2024.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

+1.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.8%

Avg return

30 days after

42%

22 / 52 earnings

Positive

+80.9%

Q4 2015

Best reaction

-16.6%

Q4 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.0%-0.6%+8.3%
Q4 2025-16.6%-18.1%-29.2%
Q3 2025-1.7%-6.8%+0.9%
Q1 2025-11.1%+2.5%+7.4%
Q4 2024-8.0%-10.6%-13.4%
Q3 2024-4.1%-3.6%+0.4%
Q2 2024-8.6%-12.6%-20.5%
Q1 2024+10.7%+11.3%+9.6%
Q4 2023-0.2%+1.3%+9.1%
Q3 2023-2.5%+0.0%+1.8%
Q2 2023-9.6%-6.3%-3.3%
Q1 2023+5.4%+6.9%+12.0%
Q4 2022+1.7%+1.0%-0.9%
Q3 2022+12.2%+14.1%+16.4%
Q2 2022-2.9%-1.1%-12.1%
Q1 2022-9.5%-13.8%+18.5%
Q4 2021+14.3%+16.2%+56.3%
Q3 2021+5.3%+10.2%+0.6%
Q2 2021+12.0%+31.8%+4.2%
Q1 2021+0.2%+11.1%+15.5%
Q4 2020-4.4%-0.7%+28.4%
Q3 2020+1.8%+15.5%+29.2%
Q2 2020+2.7%+5.9%-8.7%
Q1 2020+30.0%+26.2%+70.8%
Q4 2019-5.9%-7.8%-41.0%
Q3 2019+13.2%-13.9%+8.7%
Q2 2019-3.0%-9.9%-25.3%
Q1 2019+6.7%-1.7%-28.8%
Q4 2018+12.0%+3.1%-15.3%
Q3 2018+15.4%+5.4%+0.5%
Q2 2018-14.9%-23.8%-23.6%
Q1 2018+0.6%-2.2%+1.9%
Q4 2017-11.2%-14.3%-12.7%
Q3 2017-12.4%-22.1%-17.6%
Q2 2017-2.0%+1.1%-5.7%
Q1 2017-8.3%-9.9%-16.6%
Q4 2016+13.9%+20.0%+11.7%
Q3 2016-4.2%-7.9%+48.7%
Q2 2016-15.0%-22.7%-15.7%
Q1 2016-1.4%
Q4 2015+80.9%
Q3 2015-2.8%
Q2 2015-6.5%
Q1 2014+1.9%
Q1 2015+6.7%
Q4 2014-3.4%
Q4 2012-3.4%
Q3 2013-0.6%
Q3 2014-0.3%
Q4 2013-1.9%
Q2 2013-1.9%
Q2 2014+10.4%
Q1 2013

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