NYSE$MTUS

Metallus Inc · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported third-quarter results with increased net sales and strong operating cash flow.

TimkenSteel reported a net sales increase of 34% sequentially, driven by the automotive demand recovery. The company generated $41.1 million in operating cash flow and had a net loss of $13.9 million. Total liquidity improved to $280 million.

  • Net sales increased 34 percent sequentially due to automotive demand recovery.
  • Generated $41.1 million in operating cash flow, marking the sixth consecutive quarter of positive operating cash flow.
  • Total liquidity improved to $280 million as of September 30, 2020.
  • Cost reductions are on pace to deliver over $100 million of run rate savings, exceeding the previous target of $70 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$206M

Previous: $274M-24.9%
EPS (adj)

-$0.38

Previous: -$0.10-280.0%
Ship Tons

154.3K

Previous: 209.6K-26.4%
Capital Expenditures

-$13M

Previous: -$21.7M+40.1%
Free Cash Flow

-$26.9M

Previous: -$26.3M-2.3%
Net Income

-$13.9M

Previous: -$4.6M-202.2%
Operating Income

-$21M

Previous: -$9.2M-128.3%
Gross Profit

-$2.4M

Previous: $13.2M-118.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$74.8M

Previous: $18.4M+306.5%
Total Assets

$984M

Previous: $1.11B-11.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.6M

Previous: $1.4M+14.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Metallus · Revenue · Quarterly

$206M

Q3 2020-24.9%vs Q3 2019
Beat estimate in 7 of 15 quarters(47%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Metallus · $103M total across 3 segments · Q3 2020

  • Industrial
    $90.7M-22.4%
  • Energy
    $7M-78.5%
  • Other
    $5.1M-64.8%

Forward guidance

Given the extent and uncertainty of COVID-19 on the economy and TimkenSteel customers, the company will not provide guidance on shipments and earnings for the fourth quarter of 2020. The company expects its planned 2020 capital expenditure spending to be in the previously stated range of $15 million to $20 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

+1.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.8%

Avg return

30 days after

42%

22 / 52 earnings

Positive

+80.9%

Q4 2015

Best reaction

-16.6%

Q4 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.0%-0.6%+8.3%
Q4 2025-16.6%-18.1%-29.2%
Q3 2025-1.7%-6.8%+0.9%
Q1 2025-11.1%+2.5%+7.4%
Q4 2024-8.0%-10.6%-13.4%
Q3 2024-4.1%-3.6%+0.4%
Q2 2024-8.6%-12.6%-20.5%
Q1 2024+10.7%+11.3%+9.6%
Q4 2023-0.2%+1.3%+9.1%
Q3 2023-2.5%+0.0%+1.8%
Q2 2023-9.6%-6.3%-3.3%
Q1 2023+5.4%+6.9%+12.0%
Q4 2022+1.7%+1.0%-0.9%
Q3 2022+12.2%+14.1%+16.4%
Q2 2022-2.9%-1.1%-12.1%
Q1 2022-9.5%-13.8%+18.5%
Q4 2021+14.3%+16.2%+56.3%
Q3 2021+5.3%+10.2%+0.6%
Q2 2021+12.0%+31.8%+4.2%
Q1 2021+0.2%+11.1%+15.5%
Q4 2020-4.4%-0.7%+28.4%
Q3 2020+1.8%+15.5%+29.2%
Q2 2020+2.7%+5.9%-8.7%
Q1 2020+30.0%+26.2%+70.8%
Q4 2019-5.9%-7.8%-41.0%
Q3 2019+13.2%-13.9%+8.7%
Q2 2019-3.0%-9.9%-25.3%
Q1 2019+6.7%-1.7%-28.8%
Q4 2018+12.0%+3.1%-15.3%
Q3 2018+15.4%+5.4%+0.5%
Q2 2018-14.9%-23.8%-23.6%
Q1 2018+0.6%-2.2%+1.9%
Q4 2017-11.2%-14.3%-12.7%
Q3 2017-12.4%-22.1%-17.6%
Q2 2017-2.0%+1.1%-5.7%
Q1 2017-8.3%-9.9%-16.6%
Q4 2016+13.9%+20.0%+11.7%
Q3 2016-4.2%-7.9%+48.7%
Q2 2016-15.0%-22.7%-15.7%
Q1 2016-1.4%
Q4 2015+80.9%
Q3 2015-2.8%
Q2 2015-6.5%
Q1 2014+1.9%
Q1 2015+6.7%
Q4 2014-3.4%
Q4 2012-3.4%
Q3 2013-0.6%
Q3 2014-0.3%
Q4 2013-1.9%
Q2 2013-1.9%
Q2 2014+10.4%
Q1 2013

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