NYSE$MCY
Mercury General Corporation · Q4 2023 earnings
Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Mercury General reported a profitable fourth quarter, driven by strong net investment gains and improved underwriting results.
Mercury General Corporation reported a net income of $191.4 million for the fourth quarter of 2023, a significant improvement compared to a net loss of $6.8 million in the same period of 2022. The company's operating income also saw a substantial increase, reaching $63.6 million compared to a loss of $80.4 million in the prior year. This turnaround was primarily driven by higher net premiums earned and net investment income.
- Net income for Q4 2023 was $191.4 million, a substantial recovery from the $6.8 million loss in Q4 2022.
- Operating income for Q4 2023 was $63.6 million, compared to an operating loss of $80.4 million in Q4 2022.
- Net premiums earned increased by 13.9% to $1.14 billion in Q4 2023.
- The combined ratio improved to 98.6% in Q4 2023, compared to 115.8% in Q4 2022.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Mercury General · Revenue · Quarterly
$1.37B
Revenue by segment
Mercury General · $1.16B total across 3 segments · Q3 2023
- Net premiums earned$1.09B+9.4%94.4%
- Net investment income$61M+57.7%5.3%
- Other$3.92M+30.7%0.3%
Forward guidance
Mercury General is implementing rate and non-rate actions to improve underwriting results. Rate increases of 22.5% and 3.8% on the private passenger automobile line of insurance business for Mercury Insurance Company and California Automobile Insurance Company, respectively, were approved in January 2024 and are expected to become effective in late February 2024. The company is unable to estimate the possible loss or a range of loss resulting from the atmospheric river rainstorms in late January and early February of 2024.
Tailwinds
- Rate increases of 22.5% and 3.8% were approved for Mercury Insurance Company and California Automobile Insurance Company, respectively.
- These rate increases are expected to become effective in late February 2024.
- The company continues to implement rate and non-rate actions to improve underwriting results.
- Higher average yield combined with higher average invested assets resulted in higher net investment income.
- Average annual yield on investments after income taxes increased compared to the corresponding periods in 2022.
Headwinds
- The company is not currently able to estimate the possible loss or a range of loss resulting from the atmospheric river rainstorms in late January and early February of 2024.
- The estimated catastrophe losses resulting from these storms will be recorded as losses for the first quarter of 2024.
- Rate increases take time to earn in.
- Uncertainties related to estimates, assumptions and projections generally
- Possibility that actual loss experience may vary adversely from the actuarial estimates made to determine the Company’s loss reserves in general
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023
-0.1%
Avg return
Earnings day
+1.6%
Avg return
5 days after
+2.0%
Avg return
30 days after
46%
31 / 68 earnings
Positive
+23.8%
Q3 2023
Best reaction
-14.2%
Q2 2022
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | -2.1% | +1.3% | +4.0% | |
| Q4 2025 | -9.2% | -12.9% | -9.7% | |
| Q3 2025 | +2.1% | +7.8% | +12.8% | |
| Q1 2025 | -4.0% | +2.6% | +11.0% | |
| Q4 2024 | +9.3% | +9.4% | +14.3% | |
| Q3 2024 | +5.9% | -3.3% | +16.2% | |
| Q2 2024 | +2.3% | +0.9% | +13.1% | |
| Q1 2024 | +2.2% | +3.0% | +5.4% | |
| Q4 2023 | +6.2% | +25.6% | +17.6% | |
| Q3 2023 | +23.8% | +20.1% | +22.8% | |
| Q2 2023 | -5.3% | -5.1% | -11.1% | |
| Q1 2023 | -3.7% | -2.8% | -2.3% | |
| Q4 2022 | -6.2% | -0.4% | -14.7% | |
| Q3 2022 | +14.0% | +26.8% | +24.0% | |
| Q2 2022 | -14.2% | -21.2% | -21.3% | |
| Q1 2022 | +3.4% | +1.3% | -3.8% | |
| Q4 2021 | +1.9% | +4.9% | +0.9% | |
| Q3 2021 | +2.0% | +0.1% | -6.3% | |
| Q2 2021 | -3.1% | -1.8% | -3.9% | |
| Q1 2021 | +3.8% | +4.8% | -2.3% | |
| Q4 2020 | +1.6% | +2.8% | +9.6% | |
| Q3 2020 | -0.3% | +1.2% | +9.5% | |
| Q2 2020 | +0.0% | +6.2% | +6.3% | |
| Q1 2020 | -6.4% | -9.7% | +7.2% | |
| Q4 2019 | +5.6% | +5.8% | -20.3% | |
| Q3 2019 | -10.3% | -8.9% | -7.3% | |
| Q2 2019 | -7.8% | -9.6% | -15.6% | |
| Q1 2019 | +1.3% | +6.0% | +7.3% | |
| Q4 2018 | -4.7% | +0.7% | -5.7% | |
| Q3 2018 | +20.9% | +18.6% | +9.1% | |
| Q2 2018 | +13.6% | +15.4% | +19.9% | |
| Q1 2018 | -8.3% | -8.3% | -2.4% | |
| Q4 2017 | -13.0% | -12.0% | -5.3% | |
| Q3 2017 | -0.1% | -1.0% | -2.4% | |
| Q2 2017 | +5.7% | +6.1% | +1.8% | |
| Q1 2017 | -7.0% | -7.9% | -8.9% | |
| Q4 2016 | -6.3% | -9.3% | -6.4% | |
| Q3 2016 | +11.2% | +8.7% | +15.8% | |
| Q2 2016 | -3.9% | -4.9% | -1.9% | |
| Q1 2016 | -1.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | +7.5% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | -3.5% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | -0.9% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | -3.5% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | -11.8% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | +3.9% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | +4.4% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | +0.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | -5.2% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | -4.6% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | -3.2% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | +7.7% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | -6.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | +1.3% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | -11.3% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | +0.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2011 | -1.2% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | +4.2% | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | -2.8% | — | — | |
| Q1 2010 | -1.4% | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | +1.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2008 | -0.1% | — | — | |
| Q4 2010 | -0.1% | — | — | |
| Q3 2010 | +0.1% | — | — | |
| Q3 2009 | +0.1% | — | — | |
| Q2 2009 | -0.4% | — | — | |
| Q2 2010 | -0.4% | — | — | |
| Q4 2009 | -0.4% | — | — |
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