NYSE$MCY

Mercury General Corporation · Q2 2024 earnings

Q2 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Mercury General reported a profitable second quarter, marked by increased net premiums earned and a strong recovery in net income compared to the previous year. The combined ratio improved significantly, reflecting better underwriting performance.

Mercury General Corporation reported a net income of $62.568 million, a significant turnaround from the $(41.543) million loss in the same quarter last year. The company's combined ratio improved to 98.9% from 110.1%. Net premiums earned increased by 19.5% to $1,236.024 million.

  • Net income was $62.568 million, a substantial improvement from the prior year's loss of $(41.543) million.
  • Net premiums earned increased by 19.5% to $1,236.024 million.
  • The combined ratio improved significantly to 98.9% from 110.1% year-over-year.
  • Catastrophe losses, net of reinsurance, were $125 million, compared to $92 million in the prior year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.3B

Previous: $1.08B+20.5%
EPS

$1.13

Previous: -$0.47+340.4%
Combined ratio

98.9%

Previous: 110.1%-10.2%
Catastrophe losses net of reinsurance

$125M

Previous: $92M+35.9%
Net premiums written

$1.36B

No prior period
Loss ratio

75.8%

No prior period
Expense ratio

23.1%

No prior period
Net realized investment gains, net of tax

$2.9M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$11.6M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$62.6M

Previous: -$41.5M+250.6%
Net Income

$62.6M

Previous: -$41.5M+250.6%
Operating Income

-$210M

Previous: -$296M+29.2%
Gross Profit

$1.3B

Previous: $1.08B+20.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Mercury General · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.3B

Q2 2024+20.5%vs Q2 2023
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Mercury General · $1.16B total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Net premiums earned
    $1.09B+9.4%
  • Net investment income
    $61M+57.7%
  • Other
    $3.92M+30.7%

Forward guidance

The company does not provide specific forward guidance in this earnings report. The report includes a safe harbor statement regarding forward-looking statements, cautioning that actual results may differ due to various risks and uncertainties.

Tailwinds

  • Continued expansion in net premiums earned.
  • Improvement in underwriting profitability indicated by the lower combined ratio.
  • Effective management of expenses contributing to profitability.
  • Strong investment performance boosting overall results.
  • Strategic allocation of resources to high-growth areas.

Headwinds

  • Exposure to catastrophe losses, which can significantly impact earnings.
  • Uncertainties related to estimates, assumptions, and projections.
  • Potential adverse legislation in key operating states.
  • Competitive pressures from companies with greater financial resources.
  • Risks associated with changes in driving patterns and loss trends.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2024

Historical avgQ2 2024

-0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.0%

Avg return

30 days after

46%

31 / 68 earnings

Positive

+23.8%

Q3 2023

Best reaction

-14.2%

Q2 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.1%+1.3%+4.0%
Q4 2025-9.2%-12.9%-9.7%
Q3 2025+2.1%+7.8%+12.8%
Q1 2025-4.0%+2.6%+11.0%
Q4 2024+9.3%+9.4%+14.3%
Q3 2024+5.9%-3.3%+16.2%
Q2 2024+2.3%+0.9%+13.1%
Q1 2024+2.2%+3.0%+5.4%
Q4 2023+6.2%+25.6%+17.6%
Q3 2023+23.8%+20.1%+22.8%
Q2 2023-5.3%-5.1%-11.1%
Q1 2023-3.7%-2.8%-2.3%
Q4 2022-6.2%-0.4%-14.7%
Q3 2022+14.0%+26.8%+24.0%
Q2 2022-14.2%-21.2%-21.3%
Q1 2022+3.4%+1.3%-3.8%
Q4 2021+1.9%+4.9%+0.9%
Q3 2021+2.0%+0.1%-6.3%
Q2 2021-3.1%-1.8%-3.9%
Q1 2021+3.8%+4.8%-2.3%
Q4 2020+1.6%+2.8%+9.6%
Q3 2020-0.3%+1.2%+9.5%
Q2 2020+0.0%+6.2%+6.3%
Q1 2020-6.4%-9.7%+7.2%
Q4 2019+5.6%+5.8%-20.3%
Q3 2019-10.3%-8.9%-7.3%
Q2 2019-7.8%-9.6%-15.6%
Q1 2019+1.3%+6.0%+7.3%
Q4 2018-4.7%+0.7%-5.7%
Q3 2018+20.9%+18.6%+9.1%
Q2 2018+13.6%+15.4%+19.9%
Q1 2018-8.3%-8.3%-2.4%
Q4 2017-13.0%-12.0%-5.3%
Q3 2017-0.1%-1.0%-2.4%
Q2 2017+5.7%+6.1%+1.8%
Q1 2017-7.0%-7.9%-8.9%
Q4 2016-6.3%-9.3%-6.4%
Q3 2016+11.2%+8.7%+15.8%
Q2 2016-3.9%-4.9%-1.9%
Q1 2016-1.0%
Q4 2015+7.5%
Q3 2015-3.5%
Q2 2015-0.9%
Q1 2015-3.5%
Q4 2014-11.8%
Q3 2014+3.9%
Q2 2014+4.4%
Q1 2014+0.8%
Q4 2013-5.2%
Q3 2013-4.6%
Q2 2013-3.2%
Q1 2013+7.7%
Q4 2012-6.4%
Q3 2012+1.3%
Q2 2012-11.3%
Q1 2012+0.0%
Q4 2011-1.2%
Q3 2011+4.2%
Q2 2011-2.8%
Q1 2010-1.4%
Q1 2011+1.0%
Q4 2008-0.1%
Q4 2010-0.1%
Q3 2010+0.1%
Q3 2009+0.1%
Q2 2009-0.4%
Q2 2010-0.4%
Q4 2009-0.4%

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