NYSE$MCY

Mercury General Corporation · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Mercury General reported a net loss for Q3 2022 due to net realized investment losses and increased losses and loss adjustment expenses.

Mercury General Corporation reported a net loss of $98.3 million for the third quarter of 2022, compared to a net income of $1.3 million in the same period of 2021. The company's combined ratio deteriorated to 102.8% from 99.0% in the prior year, driven by inflationary pressures and social inflation impacting auto parts, labor, and medical expenses.

  • Net loss of $98.3 million, or $1.78 per diluted share, compared to net income of $1.3 million, or $0.02 per diluted share, in Q3 2021.
  • Operating income decreased to $15.6 million from $35.7 million in the prior year.
  • Combined ratio worsened to 102.8% from 99.0% in Q3 2021, reflecting inflationary pressures and social inflation.
  • Net premiums earned increased by 6.0% to $996.9 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$900M

Previous: $932M-3.4%
EPS (adj)

$0.28

Previous: $0.64-56.3%
Combined ratio

102.8%

Previous: 99.0%+3.8%
Catastrophe losses net of reinsurance

$19M

Previous: $25M-24.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$98.3M

Previous: $1.29M-7732.2%
Net Income

-$98.3M

Previous: $1.29M-7732.2%
Operating Income

-$367M

Previous: -$255M-43.9%
Gross Profit

$898M

Previous: $929M-3.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$336M

Previous: $342M-1.7%
Total Assets

$6.45B

Previous: $6.75B-4.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Mercury General · Revenue · Quarterly

$900M

Q3 2022-3.4%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Mercury General · $1.04B total across 3 segments · Q3 2022

  • Net premiums earned
    $997M+6.0%
  • Net investment income
    $38.7M+19.5%
  • Other
    $3M+20.8%

Forward guidance

The Company has filed for rate increases in many states and is taking various non-rate actions to improve profitability.

Tailwinds

  • Filed for rate increases in many states.
  • Taking various non-rate actions to improve profitability.
  • Focus on managing business in non-California states.
  • Efforts to successfully manage claims organization outside of California.
  • Ability to successfully allocate resources to operations in other states.

Headwinds

  • Changes in the demand for the Company's insurance products.
  • Inflation and general economic conditions, including general market risks associated with the Company's investment portfolio.
  • The accuracy and adequacy of the Company's pricing methodologies.
  • Catastrophes in the markets served by the Company.
  • Uncertainties related to estimates, assumptions and projections generally.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

-0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.0%

Avg return

30 days after

46%

31 / 68 earnings

Positive

+23.8%

Q3 2023

Best reaction

-14.2%

Q2 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.1%+1.3%+4.0%
Q4 2025-9.2%-12.9%-9.7%
Q3 2025+2.1%+7.8%+12.8%
Q1 2025-4.0%+2.6%+11.0%
Q4 2024+9.3%+9.4%+14.3%
Q3 2024+5.9%-3.3%+16.2%
Q2 2024+2.3%+0.9%+13.1%
Q1 2024+2.2%+3.0%+5.4%
Q4 2023+6.2%+25.6%+17.6%
Q3 2023+23.8%+20.1%+22.8%
Q2 2023-5.3%-5.1%-11.1%
Q1 2023-3.7%-2.8%-2.3%
Q4 2022-6.2%-0.4%-14.7%
Q3 2022+14.0%+26.8%+24.0%
Q2 2022-14.2%-21.2%-21.3%
Q1 2022+3.4%+1.3%-3.8%
Q4 2021+1.9%+4.9%+0.9%
Q3 2021+2.0%+0.1%-6.3%
Q2 2021-3.1%-1.8%-3.9%
Q1 2021+3.8%+4.8%-2.3%
Q4 2020+1.6%+2.8%+9.6%
Q3 2020-0.3%+1.2%+9.5%
Q2 2020+0.0%+6.2%+6.3%
Q1 2020-6.4%-9.7%+7.2%
Q4 2019+5.6%+5.8%-20.3%
Q3 2019-10.3%-8.9%-7.3%
Q2 2019-7.8%-9.6%-15.6%
Q1 2019+1.3%+6.0%+7.3%
Q4 2018-4.7%+0.7%-5.7%
Q3 2018+20.9%+18.6%+9.1%
Q2 2018+13.6%+15.4%+19.9%
Q1 2018-8.3%-8.3%-2.4%
Q4 2017-13.0%-12.0%-5.3%
Q3 2017-0.1%-1.0%-2.4%
Q2 2017+5.7%+6.1%+1.8%
Q1 2017-7.0%-7.9%-8.9%
Q4 2016-6.3%-9.3%-6.4%
Q3 2016+11.2%+8.7%+15.8%
Q2 2016-3.9%-4.9%-1.9%
Q1 2016-1.0%
Q4 2015+7.5%
Q3 2015-3.5%
Q2 2015-0.9%
Q1 2015-3.5%
Q4 2014-11.8%
Q3 2014+3.9%
Q2 2014+4.4%
Q1 2014+0.8%
Q4 2013-5.2%
Q3 2013-4.6%
Q2 2013-3.2%
Q1 2013+7.7%
Q4 2012-6.4%
Q3 2012+1.3%
Q2 2012-11.3%
Q1 2012+0.0%
Q4 2011-1.2%
Q3 2011+4.2%
Q2 2011-2.8%
Q1 2010-1.4%
Q1 2011+1.0%
Q4 2008-0.1%
Q4 2010-0.1%
Q3 2010+0.1%
Q3 2009+0.1%
Q2 2009-0.4%
Q2 2010-0.4%
Q4 2009-0.4%

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro