NYSE$MCY

Mercury General Corporation · Q2 2022 earnings

Q2 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Mercury General reported a net loss for Q2 2022 due to increased losses and loss adjustment expenses.

Mercury General Corporation reported a net loss of $210.7 million for the second quarter of 2022, a significant decrease compared to the net income of $109.2 million in the same period last year. The company's combined ratio worsened to 106.6% from 94.9% due to inflationary pressures and supply chain issues. The Board of Directors declared a quarterly dividend of $0.3175 per share, reduced from prior periods.

  • Mercury General reported a net loss of $210.7 million in Q2 2022, compared to a net income of $109.2 million in Q2 2021.
  • Operating loss was $19.6 million, compared to an operating income of $62.7 million in the same quarter of the previous year.
  • The combined ratio increased to 106.6% from 94.9%, driven by higher losses and loss adjustment expenses.
  • The Board of Directors declared a reduced quarterly dividend of $0.3175 per share due to challenging business conditions.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$786M

Previous: $1.02B-22.9%
EPS (adj)

-$0.35

Previous: $1.13-131.0%
Combined ratio

106.6%

Previous: 94.9%+12.3%
Catastrophe losses net of reinsurance

$21M

Previous: $25M-16.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$211M

Previous: $109M-293.0%
Net Income

-$211M

Previous: $109M-293.0%
Operating Income

-$500M

Previous: -$97.5M-412.9%
Gross Profit

$783M

Previous: $1.02B-22.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$290M

Previous: $379M-23.4%
Total Assets

$6.5B

Previous: $6.7B-2.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Mercury General · Revenue · Quarterly

$786M

Q2 2022-22.9%vs Q2 2021
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Mercury General · $1.02B total across 3 segments · Q2 2022

  • Net premiums earned
    $988M+6.5%
  • Net investment income
    $33.5M+8.3%
  • Other
    $1.5M-31.9%

Forward guidance

Mercury General is implementing premium rate increases and non-rate actions to improve profitability amidst challenging business conditions. The Board will periodically review the dividend policy based on business conditions.

Tailwinds

  • Taking premium rate increases in many states.
  • Implementing non-rate actions to improve profitability.
  • Board will periodically review the dividend policy.
  • Focus on improving underlying profitability of core insurance business.
  • Efforts to manage business in non-California states.

Headwinds

  • Challenging business conditions due to high inflation rates.
  • Impact of inflation on the cost of auto parts, labor, and medical expenses.
  • Supply chain and labor shortage issues lengthening vehicle repair times.
  • Pressure on bodily injury costs from social inflation.
  • Uncertainties related to estimates, assumptions, and projections.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2022

Historical avgQ2 2022

-0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.0%

Avg return

30 days after

46%

31 / 68 earnings

Positive

+23.8%

Q3 2023

Best reaction

-14.2%

Q2 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.1%+1.3%+4.0%
Q4 2025-9.2%-12.9%-9.7%
Q3 2025+2.1%+7.8%+12.8%
Q1 2025-4.0%+2.6%+11.0%
Q4 2024+9.3%+9.4%+14.3%
Q3 2024+5.9%-3.3%+16.2%
Q2 2024+2.3%+0.9%+13.1%
Q1 2024+2.2%+3.0%+5.4%
Q4 2023+6.2%+25.6%+17.6%
Q3 2023+23.8%+20.1%+22.8%
Q2 2023-5.3%-5.1%-11.1%
Q1 2023-3.7%-2.8%-2.3%
Q4 2022-6.2%-0.4%-14.7%
Q3 2022+14.0%+26.8%+24.0%
Q2 2022-14.2%-21.2%-21.3%
Q1 2022+3.4%+1.3%-3.8%
Q4 2021+1.9%+4.9%+0.9%
Q3 2021+2.0%+0.1%-6.3%
Q2 2021-3.1%-1.8%-3.9%
Q1 2021+3.8%+4.8%-2.3%
Q4 2020+1.6%+2.8%+9.6%
Q3 2020-0.3%+1.2%+9.5%
Q2 2020+0.0%+6.2%+6.3%
Q1 2020-6.4%-9.7%+7.2%
Q4 2019+5.6%+5.8%-20.3%
Q3 2019-10.3%-8.9%-7.3%
Q2 2019-7.8%-9.6%-15.6%
Q1 2019+1.3%+6.0%+7.3%
Q4 2018-4.7%+0.7%-5.7%
Q3 2018+20.9%+18.6%+9.1%
Q2 2018+13.6%+15.4%+19.9%
Q1 2018-8.3%-8.3%-2.4%
Q4 2017-13.0%-12.0%-5.3%
Q3 2017-0.1%-1.0%-2.4%
Q2 2017+5.7%+6.1%+1.8%
Q1 2017-7.0%-7.9%-8.9%
Q4 2016-6.3%-9.3%-6.4%
Q3 2016+11.2%+8.7%+15.8%
Q2 2016-3.9%-4.9%-1.9%
Q1 2016-1.0%
Q4 2015+7.5%
Q3 2015-3.5%
Q2 2015-0.9%
Q1 2015-3.5%
Q4 2014-11.8%
Q3 2014+3.9%
Q2 2014+4.4%
Q1 2014+0.8%
Q4 2013-5.2%
Q3 2013-4.6%
Q2 2013-3.2%
Q1 2013+7.7%
Q4 2012-6.4%
Q3 2012+1.3%
Q2 2012-11.3%
Q1 2012+0.0%
Q4 2011-1.2%
Q3 2011+4.2%
Q2 2011-2.8%
Q1 2010-1.4%
Q1 2011+1.0%
Q4 2008-0.1%
Q4 2010-0.1%
Q3 2010+0.1%
Q3 2009+0.1%
Q2 2009-0.4%
Q2 2010-0.4%
Q4 2009-0.4%

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