NYSE$MCY

Mercury General Corporation · Q2 2020 earnings

Q2 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Mercury General's financial performance significantly improved, driven by investment gains and a lower combined ratio.

Mercury General Corporation reported a substantial increase in net income for the second quarter of 2020, primarily driven by significant net realized investment gains and an improved combined ratio. The company's operating income also saw a considerable rise compared to the same period last year.

  • Net income increased by 174.1% to $228.2 million, or $4.12 per diluted share, compared to $83.25 million, or $1.50 per diluted share, in Q2 2019.
  • Operating income rose by 150.6% to $103.1 million, or $1.86 per diluted share, up from $41.1 million, or $0.74 per diluted share, in the prior year.
  • The combined ratio improved to 88.2% from 98.3% in the second quarter of 2019.
  • Net premiums earned decreased by 8.6% to $811.9 million, influenced by premium refunds and credits related to reduced driving during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.01B

Previous: $979M+2.7%
EPS (adj)

$1.86

Previous: $0.74+151.4%
Combined ratio

88.2%

Previous: 98.3%-10.3%
Catastrophe losses net of reinsurance

$12M

Previous: $9M+33.3%
Free Cash Flow

$228M

Previous: $83.3M+174.1%
Net Income

$228M

Previous: $83.3M+174.1%
Operating Income

$56.3M

Previous: -$125M+145.0%
Gross Profit

$1B

Previous: $977M+2.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$262M

Previous: $240M+9.1%
Total Assets

$5.92B

Previous: $5.72B+3.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$35K

Previous: $36K-2.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Mercury General · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.01B

Q2 2020+2.7%vs Q2 2019
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Mercury General · $847M total across 3 segments · Q2 2020

  • Net premiums earned
    $812M
  • Net investment income
    $34.2M
  • Other
    $1.35M

Forward guidance

The Company expects third quarter premiums earned and written to be reduced by approximately $22 million as a result of the refunds.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2020

Historical avgQ2 2020

-0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.0%

Avg return

30 days after

46%

31 / 68 earnings

Positive

+23.8%

Q3 2023

Best reaction

-14.2%

Q2 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.1%+1.3%+4.0%
Q4 2025-9.2%-12.9%-9.7%
Q3 2025+2.1%+7.8%+12.8%
Q1 2025-4.0%+2.6%+11.0%
Q4 2024+9.3%+9.4%+14.3%
Q3 2024+5.9%-3.3%+16.2%
Q2 2024+2.3%+0.9%+13.1%
Q1 2024+2.2%+3.0%+5.4%
Q4 2023+6.2%+25.6%+17.6%
Q3 2023+23.8%+20.1%+22.8%
Q2 2023-5.3%-5.1%-11.1%
Q1 2023-3.7%-2.8%-2.3%
Q4 2022-6.2%-0.4%-14.7%
Q3 2022+14.0%+26.8%+24.0%
Q2 2022-14.2%-21.2%-21.3%
Q1 2022+3.4%+1.3%-3.8%
Q4 2021+1.9%+4.9%+0.9%
Q3 2021+2.0%+0.1%-6.3%
Q2 2021-3.1%-1.8%-3.9%
Q1 2021+3.8%+4.8%-2.3%
Q4 2020+1.6%+2.8%+9.6%
Q3 2020-0.3%+1.2%+9.5%
Q2 2020+0.0%+6.2%+6.3%
Q1 2020-6.4%-9.7%+7.2%
Q4 2019+5.6%+5.8%-20.3%
Q3 2019-10.3%-8.9%-7.3%
Q2 2019-7.8%-9.6%-15.6%
Q1 2019+1.3%+6.0%+7.3%
Q4 2018-4.7%+0.7%-5.7%
Q3 2018+20.9%+18.6%+9.1%
Q2 2018+13.6%+15.4%+19.9%
Q1 2018-8.3%-8.3%-2.4%
Q4 2017-13.0%-12.0%-5.3%
Q3 2017-0.1%-1.0%-2.4%
Q2 2017+5.7%+6.1%+1.8%
Q1 2017-7.0%-7.9%-8.9%
Q4 2016-6.3%-9.3%-6.4%
Q3 2016+11.2%+8.7%+15.8%
Q2 2016-3.9%-4.9%-1.9%
Q1 2016-1.0%
Q4 2015+7.5%
Q3 2015-3.5%
Q2 2015-0.9%
Q1 2015-3.5%
Q4 2014-11.8%
Q3 2014+3.9%
Q2 2014+4.4%
Q1 2014+0.8%
Q4 2013-5.2%
Q3 2013-4.6%
Q2 2013-3.2%
Q1 2013+7.7%
Q4 2012-6.4%
Q3 2012+1.3%
Q2 2012-11.3%
Q1 2012+0.0%
Q4 2011-1.2%
Q3 2011+4.2%
Q2 2011-2.8%
Q1 2010-1.4%
Q1 2011+1.0%
Q4 2008-0.1%
Q4 2010-0.1%
Q3 2010+0.1%
Q3 2009+0.1%
Q2 2009-0.4%
Q2 2010-0.4%
Q4 2009-0.4%

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