NYSE$MCY

Mercury General Corporation · Q1 2020 earnings

Q1 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Mercury General reported a net loss for Q1 2020 due to investment losses, while operating income increased.

Mercury General Corporation reported a net loss of $139.2 million for the first quarter of 2020, compared to a net income of $135.9 million in the same period of 2019. The net loss was primarily due to net realized investment losses. However, operating income increased by 23.3% to $59.3 million. The company's combined ratio was 95.9%.

  • Net loss of $139.2 million, or $2.51 per diluted share, compared to net income of $135.9 million, or $2.45 per diluted share, in Q1 2019.
  • Operating income increased to $59.3 million, or $1.07 per diluted share, up from $48.1 million, or $0.87 per diluted share, in Q1 2019.
  • Net premiums earned increased by 6.0% to $922.6 million.
  • Combined ratio was 95.9%, compared to 97.3% in the same quarter last year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$708M

Previous: $1.02B-30.4%
EPS (adj)

$1.07

Previous: $0.87+23.0%
Combined ratio

95.9%

No prior period
Catastrophe losses net of reinsurance

$2M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

-$139M

Previous: $136M-202.5%
Net Income

-$139M

Previous: $136M-202.5%
Operating Income

-$424M

Previous: -$62.1M-583.8%
Gross Profit

$705M

Previous: $1.02B-30.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$253M

Previous: $270M-6.4%
Total Assets

$5.72B

Previous: $5.61B+2.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$35K

Previous: $16K+118.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Mercury General · Revenue · Quarterly

$708M

Q1 2020-30.4%vs Q1 2019
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Mercury General · $956M total across 3 segments · Q1 2020

  • Net premiums earned
    $923M
  • Net investment income
    $30.5M
  • Other
    $2.56M

Forward guidance

The company announced it was refunding 15% of monthly private passenger automobile insurance premiums, or approximately $70 million, to its policyholders for two months as less driving during the COVID-19 pandemic has resulted in fewer accidents and claims. The Company expects to process the premium refunds, via credits to policyholders' accounts, in May and June of 2020.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2020

Historical avgQ1 2020

-0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.0%

Avg return

30 days after

46%

31 / 68 earnings

Positive

+23.8%

Q3 2023

Best reaction

-14.2%

Q2 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.1%+1.3%+4.0%
Q4 2025-9.2%-12.9%-9.7%
Q3 2025+2.1%+7.8%+12.8%
Q1 2025-4.0%+2.6%+11.0%
Q4 2024+9.3%+9.4%+14.3%
Q3 2024+5.9%-3.3%+16.2%
Q2 2024+2.3%+0.9%+13.1%
Q1 2024+2.2%+3.0%+5.4%
Q4 2023+6.2%+25.6%+17.6%
Q3 2023+23.8%+20.1%+22.8%
Q2 2023-5.3%-5.1%-11.1%
Q1 2023-3.7%-2.8%-2.3%
Q4 2022-6.2%-0.4%-14.7%
Q3 2022+14.0%+26.8%+24.0%
Q2 2022-14.2%-21.2%-21.3%
Q1 2022+3.4%+1.3%-3.8%
Q4 2021+1.9%+4.9%+0.9%
Q3 2021+2.0%+0.1%-6.3%
Q2 2021-3.1%-1.8%-3.9%
Q1 2021+3.8%+4.8%-2.3%
Q4 2020+1.6%+2.8%+9.6%
Q3 2020-0.3%+1.2%+9.5%
Q2 2020+0.0%+6.2%+6.3%
Q1 2020-6.4%-9.7%+7.2%
Q4 2019+5.6%+5.8%-20.3%
Q3 2019-10.3%-8.9%-7.3%
Q2 2019-7.8%-9.6%-15.6%
Q1 2019+1.3%+6.0%+7.3%
Q4 2018-4.7%+0.7%-5.7%
Q3 2018+20.9%+18.6%+9.1%
Q2 2018+13.6%+15.4%+19.9%
Q1 2018-8.3%-8.3%-2.4%
Q4 2017-13.0%-12.0%-5.3%
Q3 2017-0.1%-1.0%-2.4%
Q2 2017+5.7%+6.1%+1.8%
Q1 2017-7.0%-7.9%-8.9%
Q4 2016-6.3%-9.3%-6.4%
Q3 2016+11.2%+8.7%+15.8%
Q2 2016-3.9%-4.9%-1.9%
Q1 2016-1.0%
Q4 2015+7.5%
Q3 2015-3.5%
Q2 2015-0.9%
Q1 2015-3.5%
Q4 2014-11.8%
Q3 2014+3.9%
Q2 2014+4.4%
Q1 2014+0.8%
Q4 2013-5.2%
Q3 2013-4.6%
Q2 2013-3.2%
Q1 2013+7.7%
Q4 2012-6.4%
Q3 2012+1.3%
Q2 2012-11.3%
Q1 2012+0.0%
Q4 2011-1.2%
Q3 2011+4.2%
Q2 2011-2.8%
Q1 2010-1.4%
Q1 2011+1.0%
Q4 2008-0.1%
Q4 2010-0.1%
Q3 2010+0.1%
Q3 2009+0.1%
Q2 2009-0.4%
Q2 2010-0.4%
Q4 2009-0.4%

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