NYSE$LW

Lamb Weston Holdings Inc · Q2 2024 earnings

Q2 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Lamb Weston's financial performance for Q2 2024 was solid, marked by increased net sales and earnings, but also included a charge for excess raw potatoes.

Lamb Weston's Q2 2024 results showed a 36% increase in net sales to $1,732 million, driven by the LW EMEA Acquisition. Net income increased by 109% to $215 million and diluted EPS increased by 108% to $1.48. However, results included a $71 million pre-tax charge for the write-off of excess raw potatoes.

  • Net sales increased by 36% to $1,732 million, including $376 million from the LW EMEA Acquisition.
  • Net income increased by 109% to $215 million, with diluted EPS rising to $1.48.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased 15% to $377 million.
  • The company reaffirmed its net sales target of $6.8 billion to $7.0 billion for fiscal year 2024.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.73B

Previous: $1.28B+35.7%
EPS

$1.48

Previous: $1.28+15.6%
Capital Expenditures

-$508M

Previous: -$233M-117.9%
Free Cash Flow

-$293M

Previous: -$130M-125.4%
Net Income

$215M

Previous: $103M+108.5%
Operating Income

$306M

Previous: $272M+12.4%
Gross Profit

$476M

Previous: $382M+24.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$78.3M

Previous: $419M-81.3%
Total Assets

$7.05B

Previous: $4.57B+54.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$12.3M

Previous: $10M+23.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Lamb Weston · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.73B

Q2 2024+35.7%vs Q2 2023
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Lamb Weston · $1.67B total across 2 segments · Q1 2024

  • North America
    $1.14B
  • International
    $530M

Forward guidance

Lamb Weston updated its financial targets for fiscal 2024, reaffirming net sales target of $6.8 billion to $7.0 billion and Adjusted EBITDA target range of $1,540 million to $1,620 million. The company increased its targets for GAAP net income to $830 million to $900 million and Adjusted Net Income target to $830 million to $900 million.

Tailwinds

  • Reaffirming net sales target of $6.8 billion to $7.0 billion, including $1.1 billion to $1.2 billion of incremental sales attributable to the consolidation of the financial results of LW EMEA during the first three quarters of the fiscal year.
  • The Company continues to target net sales, excluding incremental sales attributable to the LW EMEA Acquisition, to grow 6.5 percent to 8.5 percent, with price/mix expected to increase low-double-digits percentage points.
  • Increased targets for GAAP net income to $830 million to $900 million and Diluted EPS of $5.70 to $6.15, including a net loss from foreign currency exchange and unrealized mark-to-market derivative gains and losses and items impacting comparability of $2.0 million ($1.4 million after-tax, or $0.01 per share) during the first half of fiscal 2024.
  • Reaffirmed target range for Adjusted EBITDA(2) to $1,540 million to $1,620 million (+27 percent compared to fiscal 2023 using the mid-point), which includes a $70.9 million pre-tax charge(1) for the write-off of excess raw potatoes.
  • Raised Adjusted Net Income(2) target to $830 million to $900 million and its Adjusted Diluted EPS(2) target to $5.70 to $6.15. The increases in these targets reflect the lower SG&A expense estimate as well as a lower interest expense estimate of $140 million to account for revised project-related capitalized interest.

Headwinds

  • The Company continues to target sales volumes to decline mid-single-digits percentage points, largely reflecting the carryover impact of the Company’s decisions to strategically manage customer and product mix by exiting certain lower-priced and lower-margin business in the prior year.
  • The Company expects gross profit growth will be partially offset by SG&A of $745 million to $755 million.
  • Cash used for capital expenditures of $900 million to $950 million, up from the Company’s previous estimate of $800 million to $900 million, reflecting the timing of expenditures related to the construction of previously-announced capacity expansion efforts in China, Idaho, the Netherlands and Argentina.
  • Non-GAAP results include a $70.9 million charge ($53.9 million after-tax, or $0.37 per share) related to a write-off of excess raw potatoes.
  • The total charge to the reporting segments was as follows: $63.3 million to the North America segment and $7.6 million to the International segment.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2024

Historical avgQ2 2024

-1.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.1%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

23 / 44 earnings

Positive

+13.9%

Q2 2023

Best reaction

-32.6%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026-0.6%-2.8%
Q2 2026-25.0%-28.4%-27.0%
Q1 2026+4.5%+13.0%+11.7%
Q4 2025-2.1%-2.4%-1.5%
Q3 2025+10.0%-3.1%-4.9%
Q2 2025-20.6%-18.6%-23.2%
Q1 2025+2.8%+6.3%+20.0%
Q4 2024-32.6%-28.5%-20.3%
Q3 2024-21.1%-20.5%-15.9%
Q2 2024+1.0%+2.4%+1.1%
Q1 2024+3.3%+6.5%+4.0%
Q4 2023-9.7%-9.4%-15.1%
Q3 2023+3.0%+3.7%+7.6%
Q2 2023+13.9%+12.1%+12.2%
Q1 2023+4.9%+5.2%+8.4%
Q4 2022+6.7%+7.3%+7.4%
Q3 2022+9.7%+9.6%+4.5%
Q2 2022+11.3%+9.8%-0.6%
Q1 2022-9.5%-11.6%-7.5%
Q4 2021-12.2%-12.2%-15.2%
Q3 2021-4.1%-2.8%-2.4%
Q2 2021+0.3%-2.0%+3.7%
Q1 2021+5.9%+3.5%-5.4%
Q4 2020-15.2%-14.8%-11.4%
Q3 2020-12.6%-9.2%+2.2%
Q2 2020+7.9%+8.5%+8.6%
Q1 2020+5.9%+3.2%+5.4%
Q4 2019-6.0%-4.3%+2.9%
Q3 2019-1.2%-3.2%-10.3%
Q2 2019-3.3%-4.5%-0.8%
Q1 2019+9.6%+13.3%+17.1%
Q4 2018+2.5%+2.8%-1.9%
Q3 2018+4.0%+7.3%+9.5%
Q2 2018+2.9%+3.5%+1.3%
Q1 2017+3.0%+3.5%+10.5%
Q1 2018+3.0%+3.5%+10.5%
Q4 2015-1.1%-2.1%+0.6%
Q1 2016-1.1%-2.1%+0.6%
Q4 2017-1.1%-2.1%+0.6%
Q3 2016+3.0%+2.7%-0.4%
Q3 2017+3.0%+2.7%-0.4%
Q4 2016+0.0%+0.9%+5.9%
Q2 2017+0.0%+0.9%+5.9%
Q2 2016+0.0%+0.9%+5.9%

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