NYSE$LW

Lamb Weston Holdings Inc · Q1 2022 earnings

Q1 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Lamb Weston's financial performance declined in Q1 2022 due to higher costs and operational challenges, despite a sales increase driven by recovery in frozen potato demand.

Lamb Weston's Q1 2022 results showed a 13% increase in net sales to $984 million, driven by volume growth, but income from operations, net income, and diluted EPS declined significantly due to higher manufacturing and distribution costs, input cost inflation, and operational challenges.

  • Net sales increased 13% to $984 million, driven by volume growth.
  • Income from operations decreased 56% to $60 million due to higher costs.
  • Net income decreased 67% to $30 million, impacted by lower operating income and equity method investment earnings.
  • Diluted EPS decreased 67% to $0.20, reflecting the decline in net income.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$984M

Previous: $872M+12.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.20

Previous: $0.61-67.2%
Capital Expenditures

-$78.9M

Previous: -$20.6M-283.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$49.1M

Previous: $68.7M-171.5%
Net Income

$29.8M

Previous: $89.3M-66.6%
Operating Income

$60.2M

Previous: $136M-55.6%
Gross Profit

$151M

Previous: $214M-29.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$790M

Previous: $1.03B-23.5%
Total Assets

$4.18B

Previous: $4.27B-2.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.2M

Previous: $6M-13.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Lamb Weston · Revenue · Quarterly

$984M

Q1 2022+12.9%vs Q1 2021
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Lamb Weston · $1.67B total across 2 segments · Q1 2024

  • North America
    $1.14B
  • International
    $530M

Forward guidance

Lamb Weston anticipates net sales growth above its long-term target, but expects net income and Adjusted EBITDA to be pressured due to inflation, operational challenges, and supply chain disruptions.

Tailwinds

  • Fiscal 2022 net sales growth will be above its long-term target of low-to-mid single digits.
  • Net sales growth in the second quarter of fiscal 2022 will be driven largely by higher volume.
  • Ongoing recovery in demand for frozen potato products.
  • Favorable comparison to relatively soft shipments in the second quarter of fiscal 2021.
  • Net sales growth in the second half of fiscal 2022 to reflect more of a balance of higher volume and improved price/mix as recent pricing actions are fully implemented in the market.

Headwinds

  • Net income and Adjusted EBITDA including unconsolidated joint ventures will be pressured for the remainder of fiscal 2022.
  • Significant inflation for key production inputs, packaging and transportation compared to fiscal 2021 levels.
  • Industrywide operational challenges, including labor availability, and upstream and downstream supply chain disruptions.
  • Potato costs on a per pound basis will likely rise as the year progresses due to the extreme summer heat.
  • Gross margins to remain below pre-pandemic levels through fiscal 2022.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2022

Historical avgQ1 2022

-1.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.1%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

23 / 44 earnings

Positive

+13.9%

Q2 2023

Best reaction

-32.6%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026-0.6%-2.8%
Q2 2026-25.0%-28.4%-27.0%
Q1 2026+4.5%+13.0%+11.7%
Q4 2025-2.1%-2.4%-1.5%
Q3 2025+10.0%-3.1%-4.9%
Q2 2025-20.6%-18.6%-23.2%
Q1 2025+2.8%+6.3%+20.0%
Q4 2024-32.6%-28.5%-20.3%
Q3 2024-21.1%-20.5%-15.9%
Q2 2024+1.0%+2.4%+1.1%
Q1 2024+3.3%+6.5%+4.0%
Q4 2023-9.7%-9.4%-15.1%
Q3 2023+3.0%+3.7%+7.6%
Q2 2023+13.9%+12.1%+12.2%
Q1 2023+4.9%+5.2%+8.4%
Q4 2022+6.7%+7.3%+7.4%
Q3 2022+9.7%+9.6%+4.5%
Q2 2022+11.3%+9.8%-0.6%
Q1 2022-9.5%-11.6%-7.5%
Q4 2021-12.2%-12.2%-15.2%
Q3 2021-4.1%-2.8%-2.4%
Q2 2021+0.3%-2.0%+3.7%
Q1 2021+5.9%+3.5%-5.4%
Q4 2020-15.2%-14.8%-11.4%
Q3 2020-12.6%-9.2%+2.2%
Q2 2020+7.9%+8.5%+8.6%
Q1 2020+5.9%+3.2%+5.4%
Q4 2019-6.0%-4.3%+2.9%
Q3 2019-1.2%-3.2%-10.3%
Q2 2019-3.3%-4.5%-0.8%
Q1 2019+9.6%+13.3%+17.1%
Q4 2018+2.5%+2.8%-1.9%
Q3 2018+4.0%+7.3%+9.5%
Q2 2018+2.9%+3.5%+1.3%
Q1 2017+3.0%+3.5%+10.5%
Q1 2018+3.0%+3.5%+10.5%
Q4 2015-1.1%-2.1%+0.6%
Q1 2016-1.1%-2.1%+0.6%
Q4 2017-1.1%-2.1%+0.6%
Q3 2016+3.0%+2.7%-0.4%
Q3 2017+3.0%+2.7%-0.4%
Q4 2016+0.0%+0.9%+5.9%
Q2 2017+0.0%+0.9%+5.9%
Q2 2016+0.0%+0.9%+5.9%

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