NYSE$LW

Lamb Weston Holdings Inc · Q1 2025 earnings

Q1 2025 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported first quarter fiscal 2025 results, announced restructuring plan, and updated fiscal year 2025 outlook.

Lamb Weston's first quarter fiscal 2025 results were generally in line with expectations, driven by improved volume performance, solid price/mix, and strict cost management. However, restaurant traffic and frozen potato demand remain soft, leading to restructuring actions to improve efficiency and profitability.

  • Net sales declined 1% to $1,654 million.
  • Income from operations decreased 34% to $212 million.
  • Net income decreased 46% to $127 million.
  • The company is implementing a restructuring plan expected to generate $55 million in pre-tax cost savings in fiscal 2025.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.65B

Previous: $1.67B-0.7%
EPS

$0.88

Previous: $1.63-46.0%
Adjusted EBITDA

$299M

Previous: $413M-27.5%
Adjusted Op. Income

$197M

No prior period
Adjusted Net Income

$113M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$326M

Previous: -$267M-21.9%
Free Cash Flow

-$199M

Previous: -$32.5M-510.8%
Net Income

$127M

Previous: $235M-45.7%
Operating Income

$212M

Previous: $323M-34.4%
Gross Profit

$356M

Previous: $500M-28.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$121M

Previous: $163M-26.0%
Total Assets

$7.51B

Previous: $6.54B+14.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$9.5M

Previous: $9.9M-4.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Lamb Weston · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.65B

Q1 2025-0.7%vs Q1 2024
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Lamb Weston · $1.67B total across 2 segments · Q1 2024

  • North America
    $1.14B
  • International
    $530M

Forward guidance

Lamb Weston reaffirmed net sales of $6.6 billion to $6.8 billion. Reduced GAAP net income target to $395 million to $445 million, and Diluted EPS target to $2.70 to $3.15. Targeting low-end of target ranges of Adjusted EBITDA of $1,380 million to $1,480 million. Reducing Adjusted Net Income target to $600 million to $615 million and Adjusted Diluted EPS target to $4.15 to $4.35. Reducing capital expenditures target by $100 million to $750 million.

Tailwinds

  • Reaffirming net sales target range of $6.6 billion to $6.8 billion, reflecting growth of approximately 2 percent to 5 percent on a constant currency basis.
  • The company continues to expect net sales growth will be largely driven by increases in volume.
  • Reducing Adjusted SG&A(1) target range to $680 million to $690 million from $740 million to $750 million, reflecting Restructuring Plan cost savings generated by headcount reductions across its commercial and support functions, and the elimination of certain unfilled job positions; as well as other cost savings initiatives not associated with the Restructuring Plan.
  • Reaffirmed estimate of depreciation and amortization expense of approximately $375 million.
  • Reduced target for cash used for capital expenditures, excluding acquisitions, if any, to approximately $750 million from its previous estimate of approximately $850 million reflecting the rephasing of certain capital projects, including pausing the next phase of its ERP build and implementation.

Headwinds

  • Decreased target ranges for GAAP net income to $395 million to $445 million and Diluted EPS to $2.70 to $3.15, including a net after-tax gain from blue chip swap transactions in Argentina.
  • Expects to deliver at the low end of its Adjusted EBITDA target range of $1,380 million to $1,480 million.
  • Lowered Adjusted Net Income target range of $600 million to $615 million, and Adjusted Diluted EPS of $4.15 to $4.35, as the Company targets the lower end of its Adjusted EBITDA range and increases its estimates for interest expense and effective tax rate
  • Increased estimate of interest expense to approximately $185 million from its previous estimate of approximately $180 million to reflect higher average debt outstanding.
  • Increased effective tax rate estimate to approximately 25 percent from its previous estimate of 24 percent due to higher proportion of earnings from its international locations with higher tax rates and discrete tax items.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2025

Historical avgQ1 2025

-1.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.1%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

23 / 44 earnings

Positive

+13.9%

Q2 2023

Best reaction

-32.6%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026-0.6%-2.8%
Q2 2026-25.0%-28.4%-27.0%
Q1 2026+4.5%+13.0%+11.7%
Q4 2025-2.1%-2.4%-1.5%
Q3 2025+10.0%-3.1%-4.9%
Q2 2025-20.6%-18.6%-23.2%
Q1 2025+2.8%+6.3%+20.0%
Q4 2024-32.6%-28.5%-20.3%
Q3 2024-21.1%-20.5%-15.9%
Q2 2024+1.0%+2.4%+1.1%
Q1 2024+3.3%+6.5%+4.0%
Q4 2023-9.7%-9.4%-15.1%
Q3 2023+3.0%+3.7%+7.6%
Q2 2023+13.9%+12.1%+12.2%
Q1 2023+4.9%+5.2%+8.4%
Q4 2022+6.7%+7.3%+7.4%
Q3 2022+9.7%+9.6%+4.5%
Q2 2022+11.3%+9.8%-0.6%
Q1 2022-9.5%-11.6%-7.5%
Q4 2021-12.2%-12.2%-15.2%
Q3 2021-4.1%-2.8%-2.4%
Q2 2021+0.3%-2.0%+3.7%
Q1 2021+5.9%+3.5%-5.4%
Q4 2020-15.2%-14.8%-11.4%
Q3 2020-12.6%-9.2%+2.2%
Q2 2020+7.9%+8.5%+8.6%
Q1 2020+5.9%+3.2%+5.4%
Q4 2019-6.0%-4.3%+2.9%
Q3 2019-1.2%-3.2%-10.3%
Q2 2019-3.3%-4.5%-0.8%
Q1 2019+9.6%+13.3%+17.1%
Q4 2018+2.5%+2.8%-1.9%
Q3 2018+4.0%+7.3%+9.5%
Q2 2018+2.9%+3.5%+1.3%
Q1 2017+3.0%+3.5%+10.5%
Q1 2018+3.0%+3.5%+10.5%
Q4 2015-1.1%-2.1%+0.6%
Q1 2016-1.1%-2.1%+0.6%
Q4 2017-1.1%-2.1%+0.6%
Q3 2016+3.0%+2.7%-0.4%
Q3 2017+3.0%+2.7%-0.4%
Q4 2016+0.0%+0.9%+5.9%
Q2 2017+0.0%+0.9%+5.9%
Q2 2016+0.0%+0.9%+5.9%

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