NYSE$LW

Lamb Weston Holdings Inc · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Lamb Weston's financial results for Q3 2024 were reported, impacted by ERP transition and excess raw potatoes write-off, leading to reduced sales and earnings guidance for fiscal year 2024.

Lamb Weston's Q3 2024 results were negatively impacted by a new ERP system transition in North America, leading to reduced visibility of finished goods inventories and affecting customer order fulfillment. Net sales increased by 16% to $1,458.3 million, but excluding the LW EMEA Acquisition, net sales decreased by 12%. The company updated its fiscal year 2024 outlook, lowering net sales, net income, and Adjusted EBITDA targets.

  • Net sales increased 16% to $1,458 million, including $357 million from the LW EMEA Acquisition.
  • Income from operations declined 16% to $224 million.
  • Adjusted Income from Operations declined from $269 million to $263 million.
  • The ERP transition negatively impacted fiscal third quarter net income by approximately $72 million and Adjusted EBITDA by approximately $95 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.46B

Previous: $1.25B+16.3%
EPS

$1.01

Previous: $1.43-29.4%
Adjusted EBITDA

$344M

No prior period
Adjusted Op. Income

$263M

No prior period
Adjusted Net Income

$175M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$763M

Previous: -$429M-77.8%
Free Cash Flow

-$617M

Previous: -$254M-142.7%
Net Income

$146M

Previous: $175M-16.6%
Operating Income

$224M

Previous: $266M-15.9%
Gross Profit

$404M

Previous: $398M+1.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$62.3M

Previous: $675M-90.8%
Total Assets

$7.25B

Previous: $5.09B+42.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$12.2M

Previous: $10.4M+17.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Lamb Weston · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.46B

Q3 2024+16.3%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Lamb Weston · $1.67B total across 2 segments · Q1 2024

  • North America
    $1.14B
  • International
    $530M

Forward guidance

Lamb Weston updated its financial targets for fiscal 2024, including net sales, net income, Adjusted EBITDA, and capital expenditures.

Tailwinds

  • Targeting net sales of $1.69 billion to $1.75 billion in fiscal fourth quarter.
  • Growth versus prior year quarter driven by higher price/mix.
  • Targeting Adjusted EBITDA of $350 million to $375 million in fiscal fourth quarter.
  • Expect higher net sales and Adjusted Gross Profit to drive earnings growth.
  • Maintaining targets for depreciation and amortization expense of approximately $300 million and interest expense of approximately $140 million.

Headwinds

  • Annual net sales target range updated to $6.54 billion to $6.60 billion from $6.8 billion to $7.0 billion.
  • Net income target ranges updated to $770 million to $790 million from $830 million to $900 million.
  • Diluted EPS target updated to $5.30 to $5.45 from $5.70 to $6.15.
  • Adjusted EBITDA target range updated to $1,480 million to $1,510 million from $1,540 million to $1,620 million.
  • Adjusted Net Income target ranges updated to $800 million to $820 million from $830 million to $900 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

-1.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.1%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

23 / 44 earnings

Positive

+13.9%

Q2 2023

Best reaction

-32.6%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026-0.6%-2.8%
Q2 2026-25.0%-28.4%-27.0%
Q1 2026+4.5%+13.0%+11.7%
Q4 2025-2.1%-2.4%-1.5%
Q3 2025+10.0%-3.1%-4.9%
Q2 2025-20.6%-18.6%-23.2%
Q1 2025+2.8%+6.3%+20.0%
Q4 2024-32.6%-28.5%-20.3%
Q3 2024-21.1%-20.5%-15.9%
Q2 2024+1.0%+2.4%+1.1%
Q1 2024+3.3%+6.5%+4.0%
Q4 2023-9.7%-9.4%-15.1%
Q3 2023+3.0%+3.7%+7.6%
Q2 2023+13.9%+12.1%+12.2%
Q1 2023+4.9%+5.2%+8.4%
Q4 2022+6.7%+7.3%+7.4%
Q3 2022+9.7%+9.6%+4.5%
Q2 2022+11.3%+9.8%-0.6%
Q1 2022-9.5%-11.6%-7.5%
Q4 2021-12.2%-12.2%-15.2%
Q3 2021-4.1%-2.8%-2.4%
Q2 2021+0.3%-2.0%+3.7%
Q1 2021+5.9%+3.5%-5.4%
Q4 2020-15.2%-14.8%-11.4%
Q3 2020-12.6%-9.2%+2.2%
Q2 2020+7.9%+8.5%+8.6%
Q1 2020+5.9%+3.2%+5.4%
Q4 2019-6.0%-4.3%+2.9%
Q3 2019-1.2%-3.2%-10.3%
Q2 2019-3.3%-4.5%-0.8%
Q1 2019+9.6%+13.3%+17.1%
Q4 2018+2.5%+2.8%-1.9%
Q3 2018+4.0%+7.3%+9.5%
Q2 2018+2.9%+3.5%+1.3%
Q1 2017+3.0%+3.5%+10.5%
Q1 2018+3.0%+3.5%+10.5%
Q4 2015-1.1%-2.1%+0.6%
Q1 2016-1.1%-2.1%+0.6%
Q4 2017-1.1%-2.1%+0.6%
Q3 2016+3.0%+2.7%-0.4%
Q3 2017+3.0%+2.7%-0.4%
Q4 2016+0.0%+0.9%+5.9%
Q2 2017+0.0%+0.9%+5.9%
Q2 2016+0.0%+0.9%+5.9%

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