NYSE$LW

Lamb Weston Holdings Inc · Q2 2020 earnings

Q2 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Lamb Weston delivered strong sales, volume and earnings growth across all core business segments.

Lamb Weston's fiscal second quarter 2020 results showed strong sales, volume, and earnings growth across each core business segment. Net sales increased by 12% to $1,019 million, income from operations increased by 11% to $194 million, and net income increased by 18% to $140 million. The company also updated its fiscal year 2020 outlook, expecting net sales to increase at the high end of its mid-single digit growth estimate and adjusted EBITDA to be $965 million-$985 million.

  • Net sales increased 12% to $1,019 million.
  • Income from operations increased 11% to $194 million.
  • Net income increased 18% to $140 million.
  • Adjusted Diluted EPS increased 19% to $0.95 from $0.80.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.02B

Previous: $911M+11.8%
EPS (adj)

$0.95

Previous: $0.80+18.7%
Capital Expenditures

-$88.1M

Previous: -$170M+48.3%
Net Income

$140M

Previous: $119M+18.0%
Operating Income

$194M

Previous: $174M+11.2%
Gross Profit

$285M

Previous: $249M+14.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$7.2M

Previous: $5M+44.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Lamb Weston · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.02B

Q2 2020+11.8%vs Q2 2019
Beat estimate in 14 of 16 quarters(88%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Lamb Weston · $1.67B total across 2 segments · Q1 2024

  • North America
    $1.14B
  • International
    $530M

Forward guidance

The Company is updating its fiscal 2020 outlook, which includes the contribution of a 53rd week in the fiscal 2020 period, with the additional week falling in the fourth quarter, as follows: FY 2020 Outlook Summary Net sales growth rate High end of Mid-Single Digit Range Adjusted EBITDA including unconsolidated joint ventures(1) $965 million to $985 million

Tailwinds

  • Net sales to grow at the high end of the mid-single digit range, largely driven by volume as well as modestly higher price/mix.
  • Adjusted EBITDA including unconsolidated joint ventures in the range of $965 million to $985 million, an increase from the Company’s previous estimate of $950 million to $970 million.
  • Volume-driven gross profit growth, with higher price/mix offsetting input cost inflation;
  • Equity method investment earnings to improve versus fiscal 2019, reflecting the effects of lower raw potato costs in Europe.
  • An effective tax rate of approximately 24 percent versus the Company’s previous estimate of 23 to 24 percent.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2020

Historical avgQ2 2020

-1.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.1%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

23 / 44 earnings

Positive

+13.9%

Q2 2023

Best reaction

-32.6%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026-0.6%-2.8%
Q2 2026-25.0%-28.4%-27.0%
Q1 2026+4.5%+13.0%+11.7%
Q4 2025-2.1%-2.4%-1.5%
Q3 2025+10.0%-3.1%-4.9%
Q2 2025-20.6%-18.6%-23.2%
Q1 2025+2.8%+6.3%+20.0%
Q4 2024-32.6%-28.5%-20.3%
Q3 2024-21.1%-20.5%-15.9%
Q2 2024+1.0%+2.4%+1.1%
Q1 2024+3.3%+6.5%+4.0%
Q4 2023-9.7%-9.4%-15.1%
Q3 2023+3.0%+3.7%+7.6%
Q2 2023+13.9%+12.1%+12.2%
Q1 2023+4.9%+5.2%+8.4%
Q4 2022+6.7%+7.3%+7.4%
Q3 2022+9.7%+9.6%+4.5%
Q2 2022+11.3%+9.8%-0.6%
Q1 2022-9.5%-11.6%-7.5%
Q4 2021-12.2%-12.2%-15.2%
Q3 2021-4.1%-2.8%-2.4%
Q2 2021+0.3%-2.0%+3.7%
Q1 2021+5.9%+3.5%-5.4%
Q4 2020-15.2%-14.8%-11.4%
Q3 2020-12.6%-9.2%+2.2%
Q2 2020+7.9%+8.5%+8.6%
Q1 2020+5.9%+3.2%+5.4%
Q4 2019-6.0%-4.3%+2.9%
Q3 2019-1.2%-3.2%-10.3%
Q2 2019-3.3%-4.5%-0.8%
Q1 2019+9.6%+13.3%+17.1%
Q4 2018+2.5%+2.8%-1.9%
Q3 2018+4.0%+7.3%+9.5%
Q2 2018+2.9%+3.5%+1.3%
Q1 2017+3.0%+3.5%+10.5%
Q1 2018+3.0%+3.5%+10.5%
Q4 2015-1.1%-2.1%+0.6%
Q1 2016-1.1%-2.1%+0.6%
Q4 2017-1.1%-2.1%+0.6%
Q3 2016+3.0%+2.7%-0.4%
Q3 2017+3.0%+2.7%-0.4%
Q4 2016+0.0%+0.9%+5.9%
Q2 2017+0.0%+0.9%+5.9%
Q2 2016+0.0%+0.9%+5.9%

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