NYSE$LNC

Lincoln National Corp · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Lincoln National reported net income and adjusted operating EPS for Q4 2020.

Lincoln National Group reported a net income of $143 million for Q4 2020, a decrease compared to $431 million in Q4 2019. Adjusted income from operations was $346 million, also lower than the $482 million in the same quarter of the previous year. The results were impacted by elevated pandemic-related claims experience, offset partially by above-targeted alternative investment income. Despite these challenges, the company's underlying earnings power remained strong.

  • Net income for Q4 2020 was $143 million, or $0.74 per diluted share, compared to $431 million, or $2.15 per diluted share in Q4 2019.
  • Adjusted income from operations for Q4 2020 was $346 million, or $1.78 per diluted share, compared to $482 million, or $2.41 per diluted share in Q4 2019.
  • The company's results were impacted by elevated pandemic-related claims experience, which was partially offset by above-targeted alternative investment income.
  • Share repurchases were resumed, with $50 million completed during the quarter.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$4.66B

Previous: $4.51B+3.1%
EPS (adj)

$1.78

Previous: $2.41-26.1%
Net Income

$143M

Previous: $431M-66.8%
Operating Income

$346M

Previous: $482M-28.2%
Gross Profit

$4.14B

Previous: $4.35B-4.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.71B

Previous: $2.56B-33.4%
Total Assets

$366B

Previous: $335B+9.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Lincoln National · Revenue · Quarterly

$4.66B

Q4 2020+3.1%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Lincoln National · $346M total across 5 segments · Q4 2020

  • Annuities
    $289M+7.4%
  • Life Insurance
    $144M-19.6%
  • Retirement Plan Services
    $49M+4.3%
  • Group Protection
    -$42M-177.8%
  • Other Operations
    -$94M-40.3%

Forward guidance

Lincoln Financial Group is optimistic about its ability to drive shareholder value through building sales, executing expense initiatives, accelerating digital capabilities, and continuing to return capital to shareholders.

Tailwinds

  • Ability to build sales over the year
  • Execute on expense initiatives
  • Accelerate digital capabilities
  • Continue to return capital to shareholders
  • Health and economic environment is showing signs of improvement

Headwinds

  • The continuation of the COVID-19 pandemic, or future outbreaks of COVID-19, and uncertainty surrounding the length and severity of future impacts on the global economy and on our business, results of operations and financial condition
  • Further deterioration in general economic and business conditions that may affect account values, investment results, guaranteed benefit liabilities, premium levels and claims experience
  • Adverse global capital and credit market conditions that may affect our ability to raise capital, if necessary, and may cause us to realize impairments on investments and certain intangible assets, including goodwill and the valuation allowance against deferred tax assets, which may reduce future earnings and/or affect our financial condition and ability to raise additional capital or refinance existing debt as it matures
  • The inability of our subsidiaries to pay dividends to the holding company in sufficient amounts, which could harm the holding company’s ability to meet its obligations
  • Legislative, regulatory or tax changes, both domestic and foreign, that affect: the cost of, or demand for, our subsidiaries' products; the required amount of reserves and/or surplus; our ability to conduct business and our captive reinsurance arrangements as well as restrictions on the payment of revenue sharing and 12b-1 distribution fees

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

-0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.6%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

36 / 72 earnings

Positive

+7.9%

Q3 2009

Best reaction

-35.5%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.3%-6.8%-7.7%
Q4 2025+5.6%+8.0%-15.3%
Q3 2025+1.6%+0.7%+2.8%
Q1 2025-1.9%+4.4%-1.7%
Q4 2024+5.9%+13.7%+5.4%
Q3 2024-0.2%-2.4%+5.8%
Q2 2024-9.8%-11.6%-3.6%
Q1 2024+1.5%+5.2%+19.1%
Q4 2023-5.3%-0.9%-0.0%
Q3 2023+6.2%+9.4%+10.8%
Q2 2023-0.9%-2.2%-7.3%
Q1 2023-5.0%-9.9%+10.8%
Q4 2022-3.2%-1.0%-27.6%
Q3 2022-35.5%-38.4%-28.1%
Q2 2022-6.3%-7.6%-8.0%
Q1 2022-5.4%-10.6%-10.8%
Q4 2021-5.5%+0.5%-13.3%
Q3 2021-3.1%-1.1%-11.6%
Q2 2021+5.7%+8.8%+8.9%
Q1 2021+6.1%+7.2%+10.0%
Q4 2020+5.4%+10.8%+23.5%
Q3 2020-4.0%+14.0%+46.4%
Q2 2020-1.6%+7.3%+4.7%
Q1 2020+7.1%+8.7%+45.6%
Q4 2019+6.6%+7.2%-31.5%
Q3 2019-8.8%-3.8%-4.7%
Q2 2019-9.6%-14.7%-20.1%
Q1 2019-0.5%+0.1%-10.9%
Q4 2018+0.7%+0.6%+2.3%
Q3 2018+5.2%+7.2%+4.6%
Q2 2018-3.5%-1.9%-3.7%
Q1 2018-5.4%-2.3%-4.0%
Q4 2017+2.3%-7.0%-12.2%
Q3 2017+1.2%+1.1%+1.0%
Q2 2017-0.6%+0.5%-6.3%
Q1 2017+1.8%+3.7%-0.6%
Q4 2016+1.5%+2.3%+5.4%
Q3 2016+5.2%+6.8%+33.4%
Q2 2016+0.4%+7.8%+12.3%
Q1 2016-5.3%
Q4 2015-4.3%
Q3 2015+5.0%
Q2 2015-0.2%
Q1 2015-1.3%
Q4 2014+1.1%
Q3 2014+1.5%
Q2 2014+0.3%
Q1 2014+0.8%
Q4 2013+2.6%
Q3 2013-0.1%
Q2 2013+7.9%
Q1 2013-6.0%
Q4 2012-0.8%
Q3 2012+1.7%
Q2 2012+6.4%
Q1 2012-4.7%
Q4 2011+0.4%
Q3 2011+2.1%
Q2 2011-6.1%
Q1 2011+0.0%
Q4 2010+2.6%
Q3 2010-3.9%
Q2 2010-0.2%
Q4 2009-0.2%
Q1 2010+4.8%
Q2 2009-0.6%
Q4 2007-0.6%
Q3 2008+7.9%
Q3 2009+7.9%
Q2 2008+6.2%
Q1 2009+6.2%
Q4 2008+6.2%

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