NYSE$LNC

Lincoln National Corp · Q2 2020 earnings

Q2 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Lincoln National experienced a net loss due to elevated claims and negative investment returns, but focused on expense reduction and balance sheet strength.

Lincoln National Group reported a net loss of $(94) million, or $(0.49) per diluted share, for Q2 2020, compared to a net income of $363 million, or $1.79 per diluted share, in Q2 2019. Adjusted income from operations was $187 million, or $0.97 per diluted share, versus $478 million, or $2.36 per diluted share, in the prior year. Results were impacted by COVID-19 related claims and negative alternative investment portfolio returns.

  • Net loss EPS was $(0.49), and adjusted operating EPS was $0.97.
  • Results included elevated claims experience from COVID-19, estimated between $(0.65) to $(0.75), and below-targeted alternative investment income of $(0.62).
  • General and administrative expenses improved by 7%.
  • Holding company available liquidity was $774 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.52B

Previous: $4.31B-18.4%
EPS (adj)

$0.97

Previous: $2.36-58.9%
Free Cash Flow

-$94M

Previous: $363M-125.9%
Net Income

-$94M

Previous: $363M-125.9%
Operating Income

-$176M

Previous: $487M-136.1%
Gross Profit

$947M

Previous: $1.78B-46.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$4.2B

Previous: $3.31B+26.8%
Total Assets

$340B

Previous: $322B+5.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Lincoln National · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.52B

Q2 2020-18.4%vs Q2 2019
Beat estimate in 13 of 16 quarters(81%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Lincoln National · $187M total across 5 segments · Q2 2020

  • Annuities
    $237M-10.9%
  • Group Protection
    $39M-42.6%
  • Retirement Plan Services
    $30M-28.6%
  • Life Insurance
    -$37M-122.0%
  • Other Operations
    -$82M-24.2%

Forward guidance

Lincoln Financial Group expects earnings to recover to more normal levels in the third quarter, excluding potential impacts from their annual assumption review. The company remains focused on improving its balance sheet, achieving appropriate returns on capital, and executing initiatives to improve productivity and lower expenses.

Tailwinds

  • Earnings expected to recover to more normal levels in Q3 (excluding annual assumption review impacts).
  • Focus on improving the balance sheet.
  • Aiming to achieve appropriate returns on capital.
  • Executing initiatives to improve productivity.
  • Lowering expenses to drive long-term shareholder value.

Headwinds

  • Potential impacts from annual assumption review could affect Q3 earnings.
  • Elevated claims experience from COVID-19 impacted results.
  • Negative returns within the alternative investment portfolio affected results.
  • Unfavorable risk results, including impacts from COVID-19, affected Group Protection income.
  • Variable annuity GLB non-performance risk and accounting associated with modified coinsurance arrangements resulted in a loss.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2020

Historical avgQ2 2020

-0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.6%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

36 / 72 earnings

Positive

+7.9%

Q3 2009

Best reaction

-35.5%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.3%-6.8%-7.7%
Q4 2025+5.6%+8.0%-15.3%
Q3 2025+1.6%+0.7%+2.8%
Q1 2025-1.9%+4.4%-1.7%
Q4 2024+5.9%+13.7%+5.4%
Q3 2024-0.2%-2.4%+5.8%
Q2 2024-9.8%-11.6%-3.6%
Q1 2024+1.5%+5.2%+19.1%
Q4 2023-5.3%-0.9%-0.0%
Q3 2023+6.2%+9.4%+10.8%
Q2 2023-0.9%-2.2%-7.3%
Q1 2023-5.0%-9.9%+10.8%
Q4 2022-3.2%-1.0%-27.6%
Q3 2022-35.5%-38.4%-28.1%
Q2 2022-6.3%-7.6%-8.0%
Q1 2022-5.4%-10.6%-10.8%
Q4 2021-5.5%+0.5%-13.3%
Q3 2021-3.1%-1.1%-11.6%
Q2 2021+5.7%+8.8%+8.9%
Q1 2021+6.1%+7.2%+10.0%
Q4 2020+5.4%+10.8%+23.5%
Q3 2020-4.0%+14.0%+46.4%
Q2 2020-1.6%+7.3%+4.7%
Q1 2020+7.1%+8.7%+45.6%
Q4 2019+6.6%+7.2%-31.5%
Q3 2019-8.8%-3.8%-4.7%
Q2 2019-9.6%-14.7%-20.1%
Q1 2019-0.5%+0.1%-10.9%
Q4 2018+0.7%+0.6%+2.3%
Q3 2018+5.2%+7.2%+4.6%
Q2 2018-3.5%-1.9%-3.7%
Q1 2018-5.4%-2.3%-4.0%
Q4 2017+2.3%-7.0%-12.2%
Q3 2017+1.2%+1.1%+1.0%
Q2 2017-0.6%+0.5%-6.3%
Q1 2017+1.8%+3.7%-0.6%
Q4 2016+1.5%+2.3%+5.4%
Q3 2016+5.2%+6.8%+33.4%
Q2 2016+0.4%+7.8%+12.3%
Q1 2016-5.3%
Q4 2015-4.3%
Q3 2015+5.0%
Q2 2015-0.2%
Q1 2015-1.3%
Q4 2014+1.1%
Q3 2014+1.5%
Q2 2014+0.3%
Q1 2014+0.8%
Q4 2013+2.6%
Q3 2013-0.1%
Q2 2013+7.9%
Q1 2013-6.0%
Q4 2012-0.8%
Q3 2012+1.7%
Q2 2012+6.4%
Q1 2012-4.7%
Q4 2011+0.4%
Q3 2011+2.1%
Q2 2011-6.1%
Q1 2011+0.0%
Q4 2010+2.6%
Q3 2010-3.9%
Q2 2010-0.2%
Q4 2009-0.2%
Q1 2010+4.8%
Q2 2009-0.6%
Q4 2007-0.6%
Q3 2008+7.9%
Q3 2009+7.9%
Q2 2008+6.2%
Q1 2009+6.2%
Q4 2008+6.2%

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