NYSE$LNC

Lincoln National Corp · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Lincoln Financial Group reported a net loss for Q3 2022, driven by unfavorable notable items and market conditions.

Lincoln Financial Group reported a net loss of $(2.6) billion for the third quarter of 2022, compared to a net income of $318 million in the third quarter of 2021. The adjusted loss from operations was $(1.7) billion, which included net unfavorable notable items of $2.0 billion related to the company's annual review of DAC and reserve assumptions.

  • Net loss per share was $(15.17), including a $(634) million goodwill impairment charge.
  • Adjusted operating loss per share was $(10.23), impacted by unfavorable notable items and pandemic-related claims.
  • Annuities net flows were $319 million, a significant improvement from the prior year.
  • Retirement Plan Services total deposits increased by 16% to $2.8 billion.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$4.8B

Previous: $5.24B-8.5%
EPS (adj)

$1.39

Previous: $1.62-14.2%
Free Cash Flow

-$2.57B

Previous: $318M-909.4%
Net Income

-$2.57B

Previous: $318M-909.4%
Operating Income

-$3.02B

Previous: $463M-752.7%
Gross Profit

-$1.03B

Previous: $2.37B-143.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.47B

Previous: $2.61B-43.7%
Total Assets

$325B

Previous: $377B-13.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Lincoln National · Revenue · Quarterly

$4.8B

Q3 2022-8.5%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 7 of 15 quarters(47%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Lincoln National · -$1.78B total across 5 segments · Q3 2022

  • Annuities
    $449M-83.4%
  • Retirement Plan Services
    $52M-97.8%
  • Group Protection
    $37M-96.6%
  • Other Operations
    -$113M
  • Life Insurance
    -$2.2B

Forward guidance

The significant charge recorded during the third quarter and the statutory capital impact to be booked at the end of 2022 resulted from the annual assumption review primarily due to policyholder lapsation behavior in the guaranteed universal life insurance block and will contribute to a decline in the RBC ratio.

Tailwinds

  • Company is focused on clear actions to improve distributable earnings.
  • Company is focused on clear actions to reduce capital volatility.
  • Company is focused on clear actions to further diversify business mix.
  • Company continues to see solid performance across all businesses with product strategies.
  • Company is confident it has ample capital to effectively operate the business as it replenishes statutory capital back to the targeted level.

Headwinds

  • Net loss per share of $(15.17).
  • Net loss per share included a $(634) million goodwill impairment charge, or $(3.73) per share
  • Adjusted operating loss per share of $(10.23).
  • Adjusted operating results included net unfavorable notable items of $(2.0) billion, or $(11.62) per share.
  • Adjusted operating loss per share also included $(0.83) from elevated pandemic-related claims experience and below-targeted alternative investment returns

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

-0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.6%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

36 / 72 earnings

Positive

+7.9%

Q3 2009

Best reaction

-35.5%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.3%-6.8%-7.7%
Q4 2025+5.6%+8.0%-15.3%
Q3 2025+1.6%+0.7%+2.8%
Q1 2025-1.9%+4.4%-1.7%
Q4 2024+5.9%+13.7%+5.4%
Q3 2024-0.2%-2.4%+5.8%
Q2 2024-9.8%-11.6%-3.6%
Q1 2024+1.5%+5.2%+19.1%
Q4 2023-5.3%-0.9%-0.0%
Q3 2023+6.2%+9.4%+10.8%
Q2 2023-0.9%-2.2%-7.3%
Q1 2023-5.0%-9.9%+10.8%
Q4 2022-3.2%-1.0%-27.6%
Q3 2022-35.5%-38.4%-28.1%
Q2 2022-6.3%-7.6%-8.0%
Q1 2022-5.4%-10.6%-10.8%
Q4 2021-5.5%+0.5%-13.3%
Q3 2021-3.1%-1.1%-11.6%
Q2 2021+5.7%+8.8%+8.9%
Q1 2021+6.1%+7.2%+10.0%
Q4 2020+5.4%+10.8%+23.5%
Q3 2020-4.0%+14.0%+46.4%
Q2 2020-1.6%+7.3%+4.7%
Q1 2020+7.1%+8.7%+45.6%
Q4 2019+6.6%+7.2%-31.5%
Q3 2019-8.8%-3.8%-4.7%
Q2 2019-9.6%-14.7%-20.1%
Q1 2019-0.5%+0.1%-10.9%
Q4 2018+0.7%+0.6%+2.3%
Q3 2018+5.2%+7.2%+4.6%
Q2 2018-3.5%-1.9%-3.7%
Q1 2018-5.4%-2.3%-4.0%
Q4 2017+2.3%-7.0%-12.2%
Q3 2017+1.2%+1.1%+1.0%
Q2 2017-0.6%+0.5%-6.3%
Q1 2017+1.8%+3.7%-0.6%
Q4 2016+1.5%+2.3%+5.4%
Q3 2016+5.2%+6.8%+33.4%
Q2 2016+0.4%+7.8%+12.3%
Q1 2016-5.3%
Q4 2015-4.3%
Q3 2015+5.0%
Q2 2015-0.2%
Q1 2015-1.3%
Q4 2014+1.1%
Q3 2014+1.5%
Q2 2014+0.3%
Q1 2014+0.8%
Q4 2013+2.6%
Q3 2013-0.1%
Q2 2013+7.9%
Q1 2013-6.0%
Q4 2012-0.8%
Q3 2012+1.7%
Q2 2012+6.4%
Q1 2012-4.7%
Q4 2011+0.4%
Q3 2011+2.1%
Q2 2011-6.1%
Q1 2011+0.0%
Q4 2010+2.6%
Q3 2010-3.9%
Q2 2010-0.2%
Q4 2009-0.2%
Q1 2010+4.8%
Q2 2009-0.6%
Q4 2007-0.6%
Q3 2008+7.9%
Q3 2009+7.9%
Q2 2008+6.2%
Q1 2009+6.2%
Q4 2008+6.2%

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