NYSE$LNC

Lincoln National Corp · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong first quarter results driven by strategic actions and increased operating revenues.

Lincoln Financial Group reported a net income of $225 million, or $1.16 per diluted share, for the first quarter of 2021, compared to $52 million, or $0.15 per diluted share, for the same period in 2020. Adjusted income from operations was $350 million, or $1.82 per diluted share, compared to $465 million, or $2.24 per diluted share, in the first quarter of 2020. The results reflect increased operating revenues and expense efficiency across all business segments, though were impacted by the pandemic.

  • Net income EPS was $1.16, and adjusted operating EPS was $1.82.
  • Adjusted operating EPS included a negative impact of $1.15 from elevated pandemic-related claims and a positive impact of $0.43 from above-targeted alternative investment income.
  • Book Value Per Share (BVPS), including Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income (AOCI), was $102.50, up 19%.
  • Returned $186 million of capital to shareholders, including $105 million in share repurchases.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$4.53B

Previous: $4.43B+2.5%
EPS (adj)

$1.82

Previous: $2.24-18.8%
Free Cash Flow

$225M

Previous: $52M+332.7%
Net Income

$225M

Previous: $52M+332.7%
Operating Income

$364M

Previous: $44M+727.3%
Gross Profit

$1.6B

Previous: $1.13B+41.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.35B

Previous: $6.2B-78.2%
Total Assets

$367B

Previous: $319B+15.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Lincoln National · Revenue · Quarterly

$4.53B

Q1 2021+2.5%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Lincoln National · $73M total across 5 segments · Q3 2023

  • Annuities
    $248M-44.8%
  • Group Protection
    $68M+83.8%
  • Retirement Plan Services
    $43M-17.3%
  • Other Operations
    -$113M+0.0%
  • Life Insurance
    -$173M+92.1%

Forward guidance

Lincoln Financial Group expects mortality impacts to abate, capital markets to improve, sales pipelines to remain strong, and quarterly capital return to shareholders to be restored to pre-pandemic levels, all of which support continued momentum.

Tailwinds

  • Mortality impacts from the pandemic should decrease.
  • Capital markets have improved.
  • Sales pipelines are strong.
  • Quarterly capital return to shareholders is being restored to pre-pandemic levels.
  • Strategic actions taken to drive top and bottom line growth.

Headwinds

  • Continued uncertainty surrounding the length and severity of the COVID-19 pandemic impacts.
  • Further deterioration in general economic and business conditions.
  • Adverse global capital and credit market conditions.
  • Legislative, regulatory or tax changes.
  • Actions taken by reinsurers to raise rates on in-force business.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

-0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.6%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

36 / 72 earnings

Positive

+7.9%

Q3 2009

Best reaction

-35.5%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.3%-6.8%-7.7%
Q4 2025+5.6%+8.0%-15.3%
Q3 2025+1.6%+0.7%+2.8%
Q1 2025-1.9%+4.4%-1.7%
Q4 2024+5.9%+13.7%+5.4%
Q3 2024-0.2%-2.4%+5.8%
Q2 2024-9.8%-11.6%-3.6%
Q1 2024+1.5%+5.2%+19.1%
Q4 2023-5.3%-0.9%-0.0%
Q3 2023+6.2%+9.4%+10.8%
Q2 2023-0.9%-2.2%-7.3%
Q1 2023-5.0%-9.9%+10.8%
Q4 2022-3.2%-1.0%-27.6%
Q3 2022-35.5%-38.4%-28.1%
Q2 2022-6.3%-7.6%-8.0%
Q1 2022-5.4%-10.6%-10.8%
Q4 2021-5.5%+0.5%-13.3%
Q3 2021-3.1%-1.1%-11.6%
Q2 2021+5.7%+8.8%+8.9%
Q1 2021+6.1%+7.2%+10.0%
Q4 2020+5.4%+10.8%+23.5%
Q3 2020-4.0%+14.0%+46.4%
Q2 2020-1.6%+7.3%+4.7%
Q1 2020+7.1%+8.7%+45.6%
Q4 2019+6.6%+7.2%-31.5%
Q3 2019-8.8%-3.8%-4.7%
Q2 2019-9.6%-14.7%-20.1%
Q1 2019-0.5%+0.1%-10.9%
Q4 2018+0.7%+0.6%+2.3%
Q3 2018+5.2%+7.2%+4.6%
Q2 2018-3.5%-1.9%-3.7%
Q1 2018-5.4%-2.3%-4.0%
Q4 2017+2.3%-7.0%-12.2%
Q3 2017+1.2%+1.1%+1.0%
Q2 2017-0.6%+0.5%-6.3%
Q1 2017+1.8%+3.7%-0.6%
Q4 2016+1.5%+2.3%+5.4%
Q3 2016+5.2%+6.8%+33.4%
Q2 2016+0.4%+7.8%+12.3%
Q1 2016-5.3%
Q4 2015-4.3%
Q3 2015+5.0%
Q2 2015-0.2%
Q1 2015-1.3%
Q4 2014+1.1%
Q3 2014+1.5%
Q2 2014+0.3%
Q1 2014+0.8%
Q4 2013+2.6%
Q3 2013-0.1%
Q2 2013+7.9%
Q1 2013-6.0%
Q4 2012-0.8%
Q3 2012+1.7%
Q2 2012+6.4%
Q1 2012-4.7%
Q4 2011+0.4%
Q3 2011+2.1%
Q2 2011-6.1%
Q1 2011+0.0%
Q4 2010+2.6%
Q3 2010-3.9%
Q2 2010-0.2%
Q4 2009-0.2%
Q1 2010+4.8%
Q2 2009-0.6%
Q4 2007-0.6%
Q3 2008+7.9%
Q3 2009+7.9%
Q2 2008+6.2%
Q1 2009+6.2%
Q4 2008+6.2%

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