NYSE$IVR
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc · Q4 2023 earnings
Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Announced financial results for the quarter ended December 31, 2023.
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. reported a net income per common share of $0.46 and earnings available for distribution per common share of $0.95 for Q4 2023. The company's book value per common share increased to $10.00, and the economic return for the quarter was 4.7%. The debt-to-equity ratio decreased to 5.7x, and the investment portfolio was primarily invested in Agency RMBS, with a significant balance of unrestricted cash and unencumbered investments.
- Net income per common share was $0.46, compared to a net loss of $1.62 in Q3 2023.
- Earnings available for distribution per common share was $0.95, compared to $1.51 in Q3 2023.
- The common stock dividend remained unchanged at $0.40 per common share.
- Book value per common share increased to $10.00, compared to $9.93 as of September 30, 2023.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Invesco Mortgage Capital · Revenue · Quarterly
-$188M
Forward guidance
The company is cautious on the near-term outlook for the Agency RMBS sector due to recent strong performance and uncertain timing of monetary policy adjustments. However, the potential reduction in interest rate volatility associated with the eventual normalization of monetary policy should be supportive for investors with longer time horizons. The company believes Agency RMBS investors stand to benefit from attractive valuations, favorable funding and a steeper yield curve as the macro environment stabilizes.
Tailwinds
- Potential reduction in interest rate volatility.
- Normalization of monetary policy should be supportive for investors with longer time horizons.
- Agency RMBS investors stand to benefit from attractive valuations.
- Favorable funding conditions.
- Steeper yield curve as the macro environment stabilizes.
Headwinds
- Cautious on the near-term outlook for the Agency RMBS sector.
- Recent strong performance may not continue.
- Uncertain timing of monetary policy adjustments.
- Market sentiment then reversed course, as incoming data supported a soft landing narrative
- Market expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve were pulled forward into the first quarter of 2024
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023
-0.1%
Avg return
Earnings day
-0.5%
Avg return
5 days after
-2.8%
Avg return
30 days after
46%
30 / 65 earnings
Positive
+13.3%
Q3 2020
Best reaction
-8.4%
Q3 2013
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | +0.0% | +1.7% | -2.7% | |
| Q4 2025 | -3.4% | -0.1% | -5.3% | |
| Q3 2025 | +0.3% | +0.4% | +9.2% | |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4% | -0.4% | -1.7% | |
| Q1 2025 | +1.8% | +3.8% | +3.0% | |
| Q4 2024 | -0.9% | -1.3% | -3.1% | |
| Q3 2024 | -1.0% | +3.5% | +3.7% | |
| Q2 2024 | +1.4% | -0.5% | +0.1% | |
| Q1 2024 | +1.4% | +1.4% | +0.4% | |
| Q4 2023 | -0.1% | +2.1% | +9.2% | |
| Q3 2023 | -3.6% | -4.4% | +2.8% | |
| Q2 2023 | -2.2% | -1.9% | -3.4% | |
| Q1 2023 | +6.6% | +4.6% | +3.7% | |
| Q4 2022 | -4.2% | -6.1% | -23.3% | |
| Q3 2022 | -2.2% | +2.0% | +14.3% | |
| Q2 2022 | +2.0% | +1.9% | -7.9% | |
| Q1 2022 | -8.1% | -9.7% | -5.4% | |
| Q4 2021 | -6.3% | -11.4% | -13.7% | |
| Q3 2021 | +1.9% | +2.8% | -7.8% | |
| Q2 2021 | -6.7% | -7.9% | -9.6% | |
| Q1 2021 | -5.2% | -7.3% | -12.3% | |
| Q4 2020 | +3.2% | +5.1% | +4.9% | |
| Q3 2020 | +13.3% | +11.8% | +17.8% | |
| Q2 2020 | +3.8% | +3.8% | -8.9% | |
| Q1 2020 | -3.7% | -15.4% | -21.9% | |
| Q4 2019 | +0.5% | -0.8% | -69.4% | |
| Q3 2019 | +3.5% | +2.9% | +5.1% | |
| Q2 2019 | +2.6% | +1.7% | -7.5% | |
| Q1 2019 | -0.2% | -0.7% | -1.6% | |
| Q4 2018 | -0.4% | +0.0% | +0.7% | |
| Q3 2018 | -0.8% | -0.1% | +2.1% | |
| Q2 2018 | -1.4% | -1.9% | +1.3% | |
| Q1 2018 | +2.3% | -0.1% | +1.6% | |
| Q4 2017 | -2.1% | -1.3% | -0.1% | |
| Q3 2017 | -1.5% | -1.7% | +7.5% | |
| Q2 2017 | +1.9% | +0.8% | +0.5% | |
| Q1 2017 | +0.4% | -2.9% | +2.7% | |
| Q4 2016 | -0.2% | -1.4% | -2.6% | |
| Q3 2016 | +0.7% | +0.1% | -2.1% | |
| Q2 2016 | +4.7% | +5.7% | +7.7% | |
| Q1 2016 | +4.4% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | +5.1% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | +2.3% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | +0.3% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | +1.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | +3.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | -2.4% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | +0.5% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | +0.3% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | -1.8% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | -8.4% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | -3.3% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | -3.4% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | -1.1% | — | — | |
| Q4 2011 | -1.3% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | +1.3% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | -2.5% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | -0.3% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | -1.0% | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | +4.8% | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | +0.5% | — | — | |
| Q4 2010 | +0.6% | — | — | |
| Q3 2010 | -1.5% | — | — | |
| Q2 2010 | -0.6% | — | — | |
| Q1 2010 | -1.0% | — | — |
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