NYSE$IVR
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc · Q4 2024 earnings
Q4 2024 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations
Briefing
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. reported its financial results for the fourth quarter ended December 31, 2024, showing a net loss per common share and a decrease in book value per common share.
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. reported a net loss of $0.09 per common share for Q4 2024, a significant decline from a net income of $0.63 in Q3 2024. The company's book value per common share decreased by 4.8% to $8.92, resulting in an economic return of (0.5)% for the quarter. Despite the challenges, the company improved its capital structure through the redemption of Series B Preferred Stock.
- Net loss per common share was $0.09 in Q4 2024, a decrease from net income of $0.63 in Q3 2024.
- Book value per common share decreased by 4.8% to $8.92 as of December 31, 2024.
- Economic return for the quarter was (0.5)%, down from 5.4% in Q3 2024.
- The company improved its capital structure by redeeming Series B Preferred Stock, increasing its debt-to-equity ratio to 6.7x.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Invesco Mortgage Capital · Revenue · Quarterly
$76.1M
Forward guidance
The company remains cautious on Agency RMBS due to potential interest rate volatility but has a favorable long-term outlook for the sector. They anticipate increased demand for Agency CMBS.
Tailwinds
- Long-term outlook for Agency RMBS is favorable due to attractive valuations and expected decline in interest rate volatility.
- Anticipate a steeper yield curve, which could benefit the company.
- Expect a gradual increase in Agency CMBS new issuance.
- Robust investor demand for Agency CMBS due to prepayment protection and attractive risk-adjusted return profiles.
- Estimated book value per common share as of February 14, 2025, is between $8.90 and $9.26.
Headwinds
- Shifting expectations for monetary and fiscal policy may result in elevated interest rate volatility.
- Elevated interest rate volatility could reduce investor demand for Agency RMBS.
- Interest rate volatility negatively impacted effective net interest income for the quarter.
- Recognized a one-time charge associated with the redemption of Series B Preferred Stock.
- Diversified interest rate hedges, reducing exposure to changes in swap spreads, negatively impacted effective net interest income in the short term.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024
-0.1%
Avg return
Earnings day
-0.5%
Avg return
5 days after
-2.8%
Avg return
30 days after
46%
30 / 65 earnings
Positive
+13.3%
Q3 2020
Best reaction
-8.4%
Q3 2013
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | +0.0% | +1.7% | -2.7% | |
| Q4 2025 | -3.4% | -0.1% | -5.3% | |
| Q3 2025 | +0.3% | +0.4% | +9.2% | |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4% | -0.4% | -1.7% | |
| Q1 2025 | +1.8% | +3.8% | +3.0% | |
| Q4 2024 | -0.9% | -1.3% | -3.1% | |
| Q3 2024 | -1.0% | +3.5% | +3.7% | |
| Q2 2024 | +1.4% | -0.5% | +0.1% | |
| Q1 2024 | +1.4% | +1.4% | +0.4% | |
| Q4 2023 | -0.1% | +2.1% | +9.2% | |
| Q3 2023 | -3.6% | -4.4% | +2.8% | |
| Q2 2023 | -2.2% | -1.9% | -3.4% | |
| Q1 2023 | +6.6% | +4.6% | +3.7% | |
| Q4 2022 | -4.2% | -6.1% | -23.3% | |
| Q3 2022 | -2.2% | +2.0% | +14.3% | |
| Q2 2022 | +2.0% | +1.9% | -7.9% | |
| Q1 2022 | -8.1% | -9.7% | -5.4% | |
| Q4 2021 | -6.3% | -11.4% | -13.7% | |
| Q3 2021 | +1.9% | +2.8% | -7.8% | |
| Q2 2021 | -6.7% | -7.9% | -9.6% | |
| Q1 2021 | -5.2% | -7.3% | -12.3% | |
| Q4 2020 | +3.2% | +5.1% | +4.9% | |
| Q3 2020 | +13.3% | +11.8% | +17.8% | |
| Q2 2020 | +3.8% | +3.8% | -8.9% | |
| Q1 2020 | -3.7% | -15.4% | -21.9% | |
| Q4 2019 | +0.5% | -0.8% | -69.4% | |
| Q3 2019 | +3.5% | +2.9% | +5.1% | |
| Q2 2019 | +2.6% | +1.7% | -7.5% | |
| Q1 2019 | -0.2% | -0.7% | -1.6% | |
| Q4 2018 | -0.4% | +0.0% | +0.7% | |
| Q3 2018 | -0.8% | -0.1% | +2.1% | |
| Q2 2018 | -1.4% | -1.9% | +1.3% | |
| Q1 2018 | +2.3% | -0.1% | +1.6% | |
| Q4 2017 | -2.1% | -1.3% | -0.1% | |
| Q3 2017 | -1.5% | -1.7% | +7.5% | |
| Q2 2017 | +1.9% | +0.8% | +0.5% | |
| Q1 2017 | +0.4% | -2.9% | +2.7% | |
| Q4 2016 | -0.2% | -1.4% | -2.6% | |
| Q3 2016 | +0.7% | +0.1% | -2.1% | |
| Q2 2016 | +4.7% | +5.7% | +7.7% | |
| Q1 2016 | +4.4% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | +5.1% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | +2.3% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | +0.3% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | +1.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | +3.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | -2.4% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | +0.5% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | +0.3% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | -1.8% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | -8.4% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | -3.3% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | -3.4% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | -1.1% | — | — | |
| Q4 2011 | -1.3% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | +1.3% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | -2.5% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | -0.3% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | -1.0% | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | +4.8% | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | +0.5% | — | — | |
| Q4 2010 | +0.6% | — | — | |
| Q3 2010 | -1.5% | — | — | |
| Q2 2010 | -0.6% | — | — | |
| Q1 2010 | -1.0% | — | — |
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