NYSE$HRTG

Heritage Insurance Holdings · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Heritage Insurance experienced a net loss but showed improvement compared to the prior year, driven by increased premiums, investment income, and reduced losses incurred.

Heritage Insurance Holdings reported a net loss of $7.4 million for Q3 2023, an improvement compared to the $48.2 million loss in the same quarter of the previous year. This improvement was primarily driven by an increase in net premiums earned, higher net investment income, and lower net losses incurred. The company's strategic initiatives, including rate increases and exposure management, are showing positive results despite catastrophic weather events.

  • Net loss improved to $7.4 million, compared to a net loss of $48.2 million in the prior year quarter.
  • Gross premiums earned increased by 9.4% year-over-year, reaching $337.0 million.
  • The net loss ratio improved significantly to 74.4%, a 23.2 point decrease from the prior year quarter.
  • Florida personal lines policies-in-force intentionally declined by 16.0% compared to the prior year period as part of exposure management efforts.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$186M

Previous: $165M+12.6%
EPS (adj)

-$0.28

Previous: -$1.83+84.7%
Premiums in force

$1.3B

Previous: $1.24B+4.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$8.45M

Previous: -$4.91M-72.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$15.9M

Previous: -$53.2M+70.1%
Net Income

-$7.42M

Previous: -$48.2M+84.6%
Operating Income

-$9.44M

Previous: -$47.3M+80.1%
Gross Profit

$9.84M

Previous: -$28.4M+134.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$229M

Previous: $298M-23.1%
Total Assets

$2.37B

Previous: $2.52B-6.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.33M

Previous: $499K+166.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Heritage Insurance · Revenue · Quarterly

$186M

Q3 2023+12.6%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The company did not provide specific forward guidance but emphasized strategic initiatives aimed at consistent long-term quarterly earnings and shareholder value.

Tailwinds

  • Generate underwriting profit through rate adequacy and more selective underwriting.
  • Continued significant rating actions throughout the book of business resulting in an increase in average premium per policy.
  • Allocate capital to products and geographies that maximize long-term returns.
  • Maintain a balanced and diversified portfolio.
  • Provide coverage suitable to the market and return targets.

Headwinds

  • Challenges in the property insurance space, including social and actual inflation.
  • Increased frequency and severity of catastrophic events.
  • Rising reinsurance costs.
  • Temporary decline in new business due to strategic tightening of underwriting criteria.
  • Suspension of the quarterly dividend to shareholders.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

+3.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+7.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+10.3%

Avg return

30 days after

66%

35 / 53 earnings

Positive

+37.8%

Q2 2022

Best reaction

-21.9%

Q1 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-20.0%-21.6%
Q4 2025-0.1%+5.0%-1.0%
Q3 2025+12.7%+19.3%+8.0%
Q1 2025+23.1%+27.0%+26.3%
Q4 2024+1.0%+7.7%+36.6%
Q3 2024+6.6%+13.4%+11.2%
Q2 2024+2.1%+42.5%+124.4%
Q1 2024-21.9%-19.5%-16.7%
Q4 2023+28.2%+17.6%+41.8%
Q3 2023+13.5%+24.5%+43.9%
Q2 2023+8.0%+16.2%-0.2%
Q1 2023+10.6%+34.4%+41.2%
Q4 2022+36.8%+43.2%+15.8%
Q3 2022-20.0%-15.4%-8.0%
Q2 2022+37.8%+24.4%+6.7%
Q1 2022-9.5%-22.1%-11.2%
Q4 2021+16.9%+14.7%+17.5%
Q3 2021-3.7%-6.5%-5.6%
Q2 2021+3.4%+6.9%-4.7%
Q1 2021-4.4%+0.3%-7.9%
Q4 2020+1.7%+10.4%+9.6%
Q3 2020+3.1%-4.0%+9.0%
Q2 2020+7.2%+14.2%+10.0%
Q1 2020+3.4%+11.0%+19.2%
Q4 2019-6.0%-1.1%-15.2%
Q3 2019+12.0%+5.8%-0.2%
Q2 2019+3.5%+2.5%-2.5%
Q1 2019+4.2%+9.7%+15.1%
Q4 2018+1.3%-7.6%-3.0%
Q3 2018+6.7%+13.8%+13.9%
Q2 2018-9.6%-9.7%-11.8%
Q1 2018+5.9%+12.2%+10.7%
Q4 2017+2.9%+2.1%-6.3%
Q3 2017+2.6%+5.2%+12.2%
Q2 2017+6.1%-8.1%-24.4%
Q1 2017+7.9%+3.5%+7.3%
Q4 2016-8.9%-12.0%-19.4%
Q3 2016+11.6%+19.8%+34.7%
Q2 2016+13.8%+10.6%+13.8%
Q1 2016-2.6%
Q4 2015-11.7%
Q3 2015+4.9%
Q2 2015-13.4%
Q1 2014-0.9%
Q1 2015+1.4%
Q4 2012-1.1%
Q3 2013-1.1%
Q1 2013-1.1%
Q4 2014+0.8%
Q3 2014+5.4%
Q2 2013+2.1%
Q4 2013+2.1%
Q2 2014-0.2%

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