NYSE$HRTG

Heritage Insurance Holdings · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported a net loss due to elevated weather losses, partially offset by investment gains and net premiums earned.

Heritage Insurance Holdings reported a net loss of $5.2 million for Q3 2020, primarily due to significant weather-related losses. Gross premiums written increased by 17.3% year-over-year, and book value per share rose by 3.9%. The company is focusing on bottom-line profitability through rate increases.

  • Net loss of $5.2 million, or $0.19 per diluted share, was reported.
  • Book value per share increased to $15.97, up 3.9% year-over-year.
  • Gross premiums written reached $278.2 million, a 17.3% increase year-over-year.
  • Net current accident quarter weather losses totaled $47.3 million, up substantially from the prior year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$165M

Previous: $132M+25.4%
EPS (adj)

-$0.19

Previous: $0.28-167.9%
Gross premiums written growth

17.3%

No prior period
Ceded premium ratio

45.8%

Previous: 46.5%-1.5%
Capital Expenditures

-$628K

Previous: -$4.93M+87.3%
Free Cash Flow

-$5.86M

Previous: $3.2M-283.2%
Net Income

-$5.23M

Previous: $8.13M-164.3%
Operating Income

-$4.48M

Previous: $13.5M-133.2%
Gross Profit

$7.86M

Previous: $36.3M-78.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$510M

Previous: $230M+121.6%
Total Assets

$2.15B

Previous: $1.84B+16.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.36M

Previous: $1.35M+1.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Heritage Insurance · Revenue · Quarterly

$165M

Q3 2020+25.4%vs Q3 2019
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The company is carefully monitoring the short- and long-term effects of COVID-19 and anticipates no significant impact on its business.

Tailwinds

  • The company sees its business as relatively insulated from a short-term economic slowdown.
  • Property owners and renters generally view insurance products as a necessity.
  • The company will take necessary actions to mitigate any negative impacts to its business, operations or financial results.
  • Company grew book value per share year-over year.
  • Company saw strong organic growth throughout its footprint.

Headwinds

  • Uncertainties associated with future economic conditions.
  • Potential for a prolonged economic slowdown as a result of COVID-19.
  • Elevated weather losses in the third quarter.
  • Higher net loss ratio due to weather losses and reserve development.
  • Increased net combined ratio.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

+3.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+7.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+10.3%

Avg return

30 days after

66%

35 / 53 earnings

Positive

+37.8%

Q2 2022

Best reaction

-21.9%

Q1 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-20.0%-21.6%
Q4 2025-0.1%+5.0%-1.0%
Q3 2025+12.7%+19.3%+8.0%
Q1 2025+23.1%+27.0%+26.3%
Q4 2024+1.0%+7.7%+36.6%
Q3 2024+6.6%+13.4%+11.2%
Q2 2024+2.1%+42.5%+124.4%
Q1 2024-21.9%-19.5%-16.7%
Q4 2023+28.2%+17.6%+41.8%
Q3 2023+13.5%+24.5%+43.9%
Q2 2023+8.0%+16.2%-0.2%
Q1 2023+10.6%+34.4%+41.2%
Q4 2022+36.8%+43.2%+15.8%
Q3 2022-20.0%-15.4%-8.0%
Q2 2022+37.8%+24.4%+6.7%
Q1 2022-9.5%-22.1%-11.2%
Q4 2021+16.9%+14.7%+17.5%
Q3 2021-3.7%-6.5%-5.6%
Q2 2021+3.4%+6.9%-4.7%
Q1 2021-4.4%+0.3%-7.9%
Q4 2020+1.7%+10.4%+9.6%
Q3 2020+3.1%-4.0%+9.0%
Q2 2020+7.2%+14.2%+10.0%
Q1 2020+3.4%+11.0%+19.2%
Q4 2019-6.0%-1.1%-15.2%
Q3 2019+12.0%+5.8%-0.2%
Q2 2019+3.5%+2.5%-2.5%
Q1 2019+4.2%+9.7%+15.1%
Q4 2018+1.3%-7.6%-3.0%
Q3 2018+6.7%+13.8%+13.9%
Q2 2018-9.6%-9.7%-11.8%
Q1 2018+5.9%+12.2%+10.7%
Q4 2017+2.9%+2.1%-6.3%
Q3 2017+2.6%+5.2%+12.2%
Q2 2017+6.1%-8.1%-24.4%
Q1 2017+7.9%+3.5%+7.3%
Q4 2016-8.9%-12.0%-19.4%
Q3 2016+11.6%+19.8%+34.7%
Q2 2016+13.8%+10.6%+13.8%
Q1 2016-2.6%
Q4 2015-11.7%
Q3 2015+4.9%
Q2 2015-13.4%
Q1 2014-0.9%
Q1 2015+1.4%
Q4 2012-1.1%
Q3 2013-1.1%
Q1 2013-1.1%
Q4 2014+0.8%
Q3 2014+5.4%
Q2 2013+2.1%
Q4 2013+2.1%
Q2 2014-0.2%

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