NYSE$HRTG

Heritage Insurance Holdings · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Heritage reported net income for Q4 2020, despite experiencing elevated weather losses.

Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. reported a net income of $2.8 million for the fourth quarter of 2020. The company experienced growth in gross premiums written, but results were impacted by significant weather losses.

  • Net income was $2.8 million, or $0.10 per diluted share.
  • Book value per share increased to $15.94, up 1.8% year-over-year.
  • Gross premiums written increased to $282.3 million, up 19.9% year-over-year.
  • Net current accident quarter weather losses totaled $38.9 million, increasing from $15.3 million in the prior year quarter.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$160M

Previous: $131M+21.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.10

Previous: $0.44-77.3%
Net combined ratio

108.7%

Previous: 89.3%+21.7%
Capital Expenditures

$127K

Previous: $51K+149.0%
Free Cash Flow

$51.5M

Previous: $3.45M+1392.1%
Net Income

$2.81M

Previous: $12.8M-78.1%
Operating Income

-$5.06M

Previous: $21.5M-123.5%
Gross Profit

$151M

Previous: $139M+9.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$441M

Previous: $268M+64.3%
Total Assets

$2.09B

Previous: $1.94B+7.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$622K

Previous: $1.35M-53.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Heritage Insurance · Revenue · Quarterly

$160M

Q4 2020+21.7%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Company management believes that their solid organic growth platform and heightened focus on underwriting profitability position them well for 2021 and beyond.

Tailwinds

  • Solid organic growth platform
  • Heightened focus on underwriting
  • Profitability initiatives
  • New partnership with The Hartford
  • Writing homeowners insurance in Maryland

Headwinds

  • Potential prolonged impact of COVID-19 pandemic
  • Inflation and changes in economic conditions
  • Impact of new federal and state regulations
  • Costs and collectability of reinsurance
  • Potential litigation outcomes

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

+3.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+7.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+10.3%

Avg return

30 days after

66%

35 / 53 earnings

Positive

+37.8%

Q2 2022

Best reaction

-21.9%

Q1 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-20.0%-21.6%
Q4 2025-0.1%+5.0%-1.0%
Q3 2025+12.7%+19.3%+8.0%
Q1 2025+23.1%+27.0%+26.3%
Q4 2024+1.0%+7.7%+36.6%
Q3 2024+6.6%+13.4%+11.2%
Q2 2024+2.1%+42.5%+124.4%
Q1 2024-21.9%-19.5%-16.7%
Q4 2023+28.2%+17.6%+41.8%
Q3 2023+13.5%+24.5%+43.9%
Q2 2023+8.0%+16.2%-0.2%
Q1 2023+10.6%+34.4%+41.2%
Q4 2022+36.8%+43.2%+15.8%
Q3 2022-20.0%-15.4%-8.0%
Q2 2022+37.8%+24.4%+6.7%
Q1 2022-9.5%-22.1%-11.2%
Q4 2021+16.9%+14.7%+17.5%
Q3 2021-3.7%-6.5%-5.6%
Q2 2021+3.4%+6.9%-4.7%
Q1 2021-4.4%+0.3%-7.9%
Q4 2020+1.7%+10.4%+9.6%
Q3 2020+3.1%-4.0%+9.0%
Q2 2020+7.2%+14.2%+10.0%
Q1 2020+3.4%+11.0%+19.2%
Q4 2019-6.0%-1.1%-15.2%
Q3 2019+12.0%+5.8%-0.2%
Q2 2019+3.5%+2.5%-2.5%
Q1 2019+4.2%+9.7%+15.1%
Q4 2018+1.3%-7.6%-3.0%
Q3 2018+6.7%+13.8%+13.9%
Q2 2018-9.6%-9.7%-11.8%
Q1 2018+5.9%+12.2%+10.7%
Q4 2017+2.9%+2.1%-6.3%
Q3 2017+2.6%+5.2%+12.2%
Q2 2017+6.1%-8.1%-24.4%
Q1 2017+7.9%+3.5%+7.3%
Q4 2016-8.9%-12.0%-19.4%
Q3 2016+11.6%+19.8%+34.7%
Q2 2016+13.8%+10.6%+13.8%
Q1 2016-2.6%
Q4 2015-11.7%
Q3 2015+4.9%
Q2 2015-13.4%
Q1 2014-0.9%
Q1 2015+1.4%
Q4 2012-1.1%
Q3 2013-1.1%
Q1 2013-1.1%
Q4 2014+0.8%
Q3 2014+5.4%
Q2 2013+2.1%
Q4 2013+2.1%
Q2 2014-0.2%

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