NYSE$HRTG

Heritage Insurance Holdings · Q1 2022 earnings

Q1 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported a net loss due to higher weather losses, despite an increase in total revenue.

Heritage Insurance Holdings reported a net loss of $30.8 million for Q1 2022, compared to a net loss of $5.1 million in the prior year quarter. This increase was primarily due to higher weather-related losses, although total revenue increased by $11.4 million year-over-year. The company is focusing on geographic diversification and more restrictive underwriting to improve its portfolio.

  • Net loss was $30.8 million, or $1.15 per diluted share, compared to a net loss of $5.1 million, or $0.19 per diluted share in the prior year quarter.
  • Net combined ratio increased to 129.5% from 107.7% in the prior year quarter.
  • Premiums-in-force rose to $1.2 billion, a 4.7% increase year-over-year, driven by rate increases.
  • Florida policies in force decreased by 17.8% due to diversification efforts.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$159M

Previous: $147M+7.7%
EPS (adj)

-$1.15

Previous: -$0.19-505.3%
Premiums in force

$1.2B

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$177K

Previous: -$421K+58.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$30.9M

Previous: -$5.57M-455.5%
Net Income

-$30.8M

Previous: -$5.15M-497.5%
Operating Income

-$39.4M

Previous: -$5.83M-575.8%
Gross Profit

-$34.7M

Previous: $2.27M-1627.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$286M

Previous: $403M-28.9%
Total Assets

$1.84B

Previous: $2.01B-8.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$505K

Previous: $260K+94.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Heritage Insurance · Revenue · Quarterly

$159M

Q1 2022+7.7%vs Q1 2021
Beat estimate in 15 of 16 quarters(94%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Management indicated that rate and form changes implemented over the last 18 months, coupled with geographic diversification and more restrictive underwriting, have positively impacted the portfolio. They are pleased with the progress but committed to accelerating changes to achieve target returns.

Tailwinds

  • Rate and form changes have positively impacted the portfolio.
  • Geographic diversification is improving the quality of the book of business.
  • More restrictive underwriting for new and renewal business is in place.
  • 2022 renewals for homeowners’ policies written in the voluntary market are averaging a 21% higher premium over the prior year.
  • Commercial residential program continues to be profitable.

Headwinds

  • Work remains to be done to achieve target returns.
  • Higher loss costs need to be addressed through rate increases.
  • Florida TIV is down by 15% as personal lines business shifts to other growth markets.
  • First quarter net loss was $30.8 million.
  • Net combined ratio increased to 129.5%.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2022

Historical avgQ1 2022

+3.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+7.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+10.3%

Avg return

30 days after

66%

35 / 53 earnings

Positive

+37.8%

Q2 2022

Best reaction

-21.9%

Q1 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-20.0%-21.6%
Q4 2025-0.1%+5.0%-1.0%
Q3 2025+12.7%+19.3%+8.0%
Q1 2025+23.1%+27.0%+26.3%
Q4 2024+1.0%+7.7%+36.6%
Q3 2024+6.6%+13.4%+11.2%
Q2 2024+2.1%+42.5%+124.4%
Q1 2024-21.9%-19.5%-16.7%
Q4 2023+28.2%+17.6%+41.8%
Q3 2023+13.5%+24.5%+43.9%
Q2 2023+8.0%+16.2%-0.2%
Q1 2023+10.6%+34.4%+41.2%
Q4 2022+36.8%+43.2%+15.8%
Q3 2022-20.0%-15.4%-8.0%
Q2 2022+37.8%+24.4%+6.7%
Q1 2022-9.5%-22.1%-11.2%
Q4 2021+16.9%+14.7%+17.5%
Q3 2021-3.7%-6.5%-5.6%
Q2 2021+3.4%+6.9%-4.7%
Q1 2021-4.4%+0.3%-7.9%
Q4 2020+1.7%+10.4%+9.6%
Q3 2020+3.1%-4.0%+9.0%
Q2 2020+7.2%+14.2%+10.0%
Q1 2020+3.4%+11.0%+19.2%
Q4 2019-6.0%-1.1%-15.2%
Q3 2019+12.0%+5.8%-0.2%
Q2 2019+3.5%+2.5%-2.5%
Q1 2019+4.2%+9.7%+15.1%
Q4 2018+1.3%-7.6%-3.0%
Q3 2018+6.7%+13.8%+13.9%
Q2 2018-9.6%-9.7%-11.8%
Q1 2018+5.9%+12.2%+10.7%
Q4 2017+2.9%+2.1%-6.3%
Q3 2017+2.6%+5.2%+12.2%
Q2 2017+6.1%-8.1%-24.4%
Q1 2017+7.9%+3.5%+7.3%
Q4 2016-8.9%-12.0%-19.4%
Q3 2016+11.6%+19.8%+34.7%
Q2 2016+13.8%+10.6%+13.8%
Q1 2016-2.6%
Q4 2015-11.7%
Q3 2015+4.9%
Q2 2015-13.4%
Q1 2014-0.9%
Q1 2015+1.4%
Q4 2012-1.1%
Q3 2013-1.1%
Q1 2013-1.1%
Q4 2014+0.8%
Q3 2014+5.4%
Q2 2013+2.1%
Q4 2013+2.1%
Q2 2014-0.2%

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