NYSE$HRTG

Heritage Insurance Holdings · Q4 2021 earnings

Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong underwriting income on revenue growth and combined ratio improvement.

Heritage Insurance Holdings reported a net loss of $49.2 million for Q4 2021, compared to a net income of $2.8 million in the prior year quarter. However, non-GAAP adjusted net income was $11.3 million, up from $2.8 million in the prior year quarter, driven by stronger underwriting profitability. The combined ratio improved to 93.2%, the lowest in two years.

  • Net loss of $49.2 million, or $(1.79) per share, down from $2.8 million, or $0.10 per diluted share in the prior year quarter.
  • Non-GAAP adjusted net income of $11.3 million, or $0.41 per diluted share, up from $2.8 million, or $0.10 per diluted share in the prior year quarter.
  • Net combined ratio improved to 93.2% from 108.7% in the fourth quarter of 2020.
  • Gross premiums earned increased by 10.7% to $293.7 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$167M

Previous: $160M+4.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.41

Previous: $0.10+310.0%
Net loss ratio

61.9%

No prior period
Net expense ratio

31.3%

No prior period
Net combined ratio

93.2%

Previous: 108.7%-14.3%
Premiums in force

$1.2B

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$115K

Previous: $127K-9.4%
Free Cash Flow

-$10.1M

Previous: $51.5M-119.7%
Net Income

-$49.2M

Previous: $2.81M-1852.8%
Operating Income

-$42.9M

Previous: -$5.06M-747.8%
Gross Profit

$167M

Previous: $151M+10.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$359M

Previous: $441M-18.5%
Total Assets

$1.98B

Previous: $2.09B-5.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$295K

Previous: $622K-52.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Heritage Insurance · Revenue · Quarterly

$167M

Q4 2021+4.5%vs Q4 2020
Beat estimate in 14 of 16 quarters(88%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Company expects continued positive momentum in 2022 and beyond, due to strategic initiatives launched in 2021.

Tailwinds

  • Meaningful rate increases
  • Re-underwriting existing business
  • Selectively accepting new business
  • Optimizing distribution network
  • Enhancing the agent experience

Headwinds

  • Success of the Company’s underwriting and profitability initiatives
  • The continued and potentially prolonged impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the economy, demand for our products and our operations
  • Inflation and other changes in economic conditions (including changes in interest rates and financial and real estate markets), including as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic
  • The impact of new federal and state regulations that affect the property and casualty insurance market
  • The costs of reinsurance, the collectability of reinsurance and our ability to obtain reinsurance coverage on terms and at a cost acceptable to us

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021

Historical avgQ4 2021

+3.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+7.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+10.3%

Avg return

30 days after

66%

35 / 53 earnings

Positive

+37.8%

Q2 2022

Best reaction

-21.9%

Q1 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-20.0%-21.6%
Q4 2025-0.1%+5.0%-1.0%
Q3 2025+12.7%+19.3%+8.0%
Q1 2025+23.1%+27.0%+26.3%
Q4 2024+1.0%+7.7%+36.6%
Q3 2024+6.6%+13.4%+11.2%
Q2 2024+2.1%+42.5%+124.4%
Q1 2024-21.9%-19.5%-16.7%
Q4 2023+28.2%+17.6%+41.8%
Q3 2023+13.5%+24.5%+43.9%
Q2 2023+8.0%+16.2%-0.2%
Q1 2023+10.6%+34.4%+41.2%
Q4 2022+36.8%+43.2%+15.8%
Q3 2022-20.0%-15.4%-8.0%
Q2 2022+37.8%+24.4%+6.7%
Q1 2022-9.5%-22.1%-11.2%
Q4 2021+16.9%+14.7%+17.5%
Q3 2021-3.7%-6.5%-5.6%
Q2 2021+3.4%+6.9%-4.7%
Q1 2021-4.4%+0.3%-7.9%
Q4 2020+1.7%+10.4%+9.6%
Q3 2020+3.1%-4.0%+9.0%
Q2 2020+7.2%+14.2%+10.0%
Q1 2020+3.4%+11.0%+19.2%
Q4 2019-6.0%-1.1%-15.2%
Q3 2019+12.0%+5.8%-0.2%
Q2 2019+3.5%+2.5%-2.5%
Q1 2019+4.2%+9.7%+15.1%
Q4 2018+1.3%-7.6%-3.0%
Q3 2018+6.7%+13.8%+13.9%
Q2 2018-9.6%-9.7%-11.8%
Q1 2018+5.9%+12.2%+10.7%
Q4 2017+2.9%+2.1%-6.3%
Q3 2017+2.6%+5.2%+12.2%
Q2 2017+6.1%-8.1%-24.4%
Q1 2017+7.9%+3.5%+7.3%
Q4 2016-8.9%-12.0%-19.4%
Q3 2016+11.6%+19.8%+34.7%
Q2 2016+13.8%+10.6%+13.8%
Q1 2016-2.6%
Q4 2015-11.7%
Q3 2015+4.9%
Q2 2015-13.4%
Q1 2014-0.9%
Q1 2015+1.4%
Q4 2012-1.1%
Q3 2013-1.1%
Q1 2013-1.1%
Q4 2014+0.8%
Q3 2014+5.4%
Q2 2013+2.1%
Q4 2013+2.1%
Q2 2014-0.2%

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