NYSE$HRTG

Heritage Insurance Holdings · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported a net income for the first quarter of 2023, reversing a net loss from the prior year quarter due to higher net earned premium and lower weather losses.

Heritage Insurance Holdings reported a net income of $14.0 million for Q1 2023, a significant improvement from the net loss of $30.8 million in Q1 2022. This turnaround was primarily driven by higher net earned premium and significantly lower weather losses. Premiums-in-force increased by 10.9% year-over-year, while the net combined ratio improved by 35.0 points.

  • Net income was $14.0 million, or $0.55 per diluted share, compared to a net loss of $30.8 million, or ($1.15) per diluted share, in the prior year quarter.
  • Premiums-in-force exceeded $1.3 billion, up 10.9% year-over-year, driven by rate increases, while policy count decreased by 9.0%.
  • Gross premiums written increased by 9.6% to $310.3 million, and gross premiums earned increased by 10.3% to $317.0 million.
  • The net combined ratio improved to 94.5%, a decrease of 35.0 points from 129.5% in the first quarter of 2022, driven by lower net loss and expense ratios.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$177M

Previous: $159M+11.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.55

Previous: -$1.15+147.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$37K

Previous: -$177K+79.1%
Free Cash Flow

$14M

Previous: -$30.9M+145.2%
Net Income

$14M

Previous: -$30.8M+145.5%
Operating Income

$20.1M

Previous: -$39.4M+151.0%
Gross Profit

$24.7M

Previous: -$34.7M+171.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$330M

Previous: $286M+15.3%
Total Assets

$2.16B

Previous: $1.84B+17.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$395K

Previous: $505K-21.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Heritage Insurance · Revenue · Quarterly

$177M

Q1 2023+11.5%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Heritage anticipates that the impact of rate increases and underwriting changes made in 2022 and those made in 2023 will continue to have a favorable impact on its financial position throughout the year. The company remains committed to allocating capital toward products and geographies that maximize long-term returns and is focused on generating an underwriting profit through rate adequacy and more selective underwriting.

Tailwinds

  • Rate increases and underwriting changes are expected to positively impact financial results throughout the year.
  • Capital will be allocated to products and geographies that maximize long-term returns.
  • The company is focused on generating an underwriting profit through rate adequacy and more selective underwriting.
  • Selective growth of the commercial residential business is expected to continue.
  • The company is optimistic about achieving consistent long-term quarterly earnings and sustainable shareholder value through strategic profitability initiatives.

Headwinds

  • Higher reinsurance costs are being mitigated by making appropriate rate adjustments and managing exposure.
  • Policy count for Florida personal lines business intentionally declined by 16.8% as compared to the prior year period.
  • The Board of Directors has decided to continue its temporary suspension of the quarterly dividend to shareholders.
  • The decrease from first quarter 2022 is attributable to underwriting losses during 2022, coupled with large unrealized losses on the Company’s fixed income securities portfolio, and a non-cash goodwill impairment charge of $90.8 million, net of taxes, made in the second quarter of 2022.
  • The Company undertakes no obligations to update, change or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, additional or subsequent developments or otherwise.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

+3.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+7.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+10.3%

Avg return

30 days after

66%

35 / 53 earnings

Positive

+37.8%

Q2 2022

Best reaction

-21.9%

Q1 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-20.0%-21.6%
Q4 2025-0.1%+5.0%-1.0%
Q3 2025+12.7%+19.3%+8.0%
Q1 2025+23.1%+27.0%+26.3%
Q4 2024+1.0%+7.7%+36.6%
Q3 2024+6.6%+13.4%+11.2%
Q2 2024+2.1%+42.5%+124.4%
Q1 2024-21.9%-19.5%-16.7%
Q4 2023+28.2%+17.6%+41.8%
Q3 2023+13.5%+24.5%+43.9%
Q2 2023+8.0%+16.2%-0.2%
Q1 2023+10.6%+34.4%+41.2%
Q4 2022+36.8%+43.2%+15.8%
Q3 2022-20.0%-15.4%-8.0%
Q2 2022+37.8%+24.4%+6.7%
Q1 2022-9.5%-22.1%-11.2%
Q4 2021+16.9%+14.7%+17.5%
Q3 2021-3.7%-6.5%-5.6%
Q2 2021+3.4%+6.9%-4.7%
Q1 2021-4.4%+0.3%-7.9%
Q4 2020+1.7%+10.4%+9.6%
Q3 2020+3.1%-4.0%+9.0%
Q2 2020+7.2%+14.2%+10.0%
Q1 2020+3.4%+11.0%+19.2%
Q4 2019-6.0%-1.1%-15.2%
Q3 2019+12.0%+5.8%-0.2%
Q2 2019+3.5%+2.5%-2.5%
Q1 2019+4.2%+9.7%+15.1%
Q4 2018+1.3%-7.6%-3.0%
Q3 2018+6.7%+13.8%+13.9%
Q2 2018-9.6%-9.7%-11.8%
Q1 2018+5.9%+12.2%+10.7%
Q4 2017+2.9%+2.1%-6.3%
Q3 2017+2.6%+5.2%+12.2%
Q2 2017+6.1%-8.1%-24.4%
Q1 2017+7.9%+3.5%+7.3%
Q4 2016-8.9%-12.0%-19.4%
Q3 2016+11.6%+19.8%+34.7%
Q2 2016+13.8%+10.6%+13.8%
Q1 2016-2.6%
Q4 2015-11.7%
Q3 2015+4.9%
Q2 2015-13.4%
Q1 2014-0.9%
Q1 2015+1.4%
Q4 2012-1.1%
Q3 2013-1.1%
Q1 2013-1.1%
Q4 2014+0.8%
Q3 2014+5.4%
Q2 2013+2.1%
Q4 2013+2.1%
Q2 2014-0.2%

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