NYSE$HLF

Herbalife Nutrition Ltd. · Q2 2022 earnings

Q2 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Herbalife Nutrition exceeded expectations and reaffirmed topline guidance.

Herbalife Nutrition reported Q2 2022 net sales of $1.4 billion, a 10.3% decrease compared to Q2 2021, but exceeded guidance for net sales, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted EPS. The company is reaffirming its full year 2022 guidance for net sales and adjusted EBITDA, while lowering adjusted diluted full year 2022 EPS guidance due to unfavorable currency movement.

  • Q2 performance exceeded guidance on both top and bottom lines.
  • Net sales of $1.4 billion, a 10.3% decrease compared to Q2 2021.
  • Reported diluted EPS of $0.88 and adjusted diluted EPS of $0.96.
  • Net income of $86.5 million and adjusted EBITDA of $195.4 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.39B

Previous: $1.55B-10.3%
EPS (adj)

$0.96

Previous: $1.52-36.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$75.9M

Previous: -$68.4M-11.0%
Free Cash Flow

$10.6M

Previous: $75.8M-86.0%
Net Income

$86.5M

Previous: $144M-40.0%
Operating Income

$156M

Previous: $238M-34.5%
Gross Profit

$1.08B

Previous: $1.23B-12.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$581M

Previous: $838M-30.6%
Total Assets

$2.8B

Previous: $2.97B-5.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$13.7M

Previous: $14.6M-6.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Herbalife · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.39B

Q2 2022-10.3%vs Q2 2021
Beat estimate in 10 of 14 quarters(71%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The Company provided the third quarter and updated full year 2022 guidance based on current business and macroeconomic trends.

Tailwinds

  • The Company is reaffirming net sales guidance range of down 10.0% to down 4.0%, with an expected return to year-over-year net sales growth in the fourth quarter.
  • The Company is reaffirming full year adjusted EBITDA guidance range of $680 million to $740 million.
  • The company took incremental pricing actions in most markets in late Q2, on top of previously implemented price increases during the first quarter to offset significant increases in input and freight costs.
  • The Company continues to innovate with local product development, which resulted in approximately 60 new SKU launches during the second quarter, and over 20 so far during the third quarter.
  • The Company believes ongoing investments in its business and products will help drive performance and ultimately create meaningful shareholder value.

Headwinds

  • The Company is lowering full year adjusted EPS guidance to be in the range of $3.25 to $3.75.
  • For the third quarter 2022, net sales guidance includes a projected currency headwind of approximately 550bps
  • Adjusted diluted EPS guidance includes a projected currency headwind of approximately $0.19 per diluted share, all versus the third quarter of 2021.
  • Adjusted EBITDA guidance includes a projected currency headwind of approximately $24 million, all versus the third quarter of 2021.
  • The Company will reallocate $50 million to strategically pay down a portion of its outstanding debt and is no longer guiding for any share repurchases to be completed during the quarter.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2022

Historical avgQ2 2022

+2.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.5%

Avg return

30 days after

53%

36 / 68 earnings

Positive

+42.7%

Q4 2024

Best reaction

-31.9%

Q4 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+4.2%-17.2%-30.7%
Q4 2025+18.3%+18.5%-11.1%
Q3 2025+10.7%+10.0%+48.1%
Q1 2025-7.9%-4.7%+8.5%
Q4 2024+42.7%+47.5%+50.0%
Q3 2024+8.5%+18.2%+11.6%
Q2 2024-9.4%-22.8%-34.1%
Q1 2024+8.4%+12.4%+19.1%
Q4 2023-31.9%-31.6%-24.1%
Q3 2023-2.5%-3.3%-7.7%
Q2 2023+14.8%+13.3%-5.7%
Q1 2023-8.6%-6.4%-20.8%
Q4 2022+27.1%+22.0%+7.3%
Q3 2022-2.8%-24.5%-18.5%
Q2 2022+12.0%+13.2%+7.2%
Q1 2022-3.4%-8.7%-16.3%
Q4 2021-16.7%-14.5%-25.8%
Q3 2021-3.7%-5.3%-17.6%
Q2 2021-5.7%-5.2%+2.9%
Q1 2021+3.2%+9.1%+18.0%
Q4 2020-10.5%-18.6%-17.7%
Q3 2020+2.1%-6.0%+5.1%
Q2 2020-3.4%-5.2%-4.6%
Q1 2020+22.0%+16.4%+35.3%
Q4 2019-2.8%-5.6%-26.3%
Q3 2019+10.6%+9.4%+13.0%
Q2 2019-7.4%-6.6%-16.1%
Q1 2019-5.9%-6.7%-22.2%
Q4 2018-0.9%-0.6%-1.0%
Q3 2018-1.9%-1.5%+4.8%
Q2 2018+11.8%+15.0%+9.6%
Q1 2018+5.1%+4.6%-3.9%
Q4 2017+3.2%+4.5%+18.0%
Q3 2017-3.4%-6.5%-1.7%
Q2 2017-1.9%-0.9%+3.8%
Q1 2017+11.2%+16.6%+18.4%
Q4 2016-6.6%-7.0%-6.1%
Q3 2016-8.6%-9.4%-20.5%
Q2 2016+1.1%+0.4%-8.1%
Q1 2016+9.9%
Q4 2015+19.3%
Q3 2015-1.7%
Q2 2015+14.4%
Q1 2015+11.0%
Q4 2014-7.9%
Q3 2014-15.6%
Q2 2014-11.7%
Q1 2014+4.0%
Q4 2013-0.3%
Q3 2013+2.4%
Q2 2013+2.7%
Q1 2013+3.8%
Q4 2012-2.5%
Q3 2012+1.5%
Q2 2012+2.0%
Q1 2012-15.3%
Q4 2011+10.2%
Q3 2011-5.4%
Q2 2011+5.3%
Q1 2010+13.9%
Q1 2011-0.7%
Q4 2008+10.6%
Q4 2010+10.6%
Q3 2009-1.7%
Q3 2010-1.7%
Q2 2009+10.7%
Q2 2010+10.7%
Q4 2009+10.7%

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