NYSE$HLF

Herbalife Nutrition Ltd. · Q1 2022 earnings

Q1 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Net sales decreased due to unfavorable foreign exchange rates and geographic mix shift, while EPS was at the high end of guidance due to strong cost control.

Herbalife Nutrition reported a decrease in net sales by 11% compared to Q1 2021, with net sales of $1.3 billion. Reported EPS was $0.96, and adjusted EPS was $0.99, at the high end of the company's guidance range. The company is updating its full year outlook, lowering net sales guidance to a range of down 10.0% to down 4.0%.

  • Q1 2022 net sales were $1.3 billion, an 11.0% decrease compared to Q1 2021.
  • Reported diluted EPS was $0.96, and adjusted diluted EPS was $0.99, compared to $1.33 and $1.42 in Q1 2021, respectively.
  • Net income was $98.2 million and adjusted EBITDA was $185.6 million.
  • Full year 2022 net sales guidance range updated to down (10.0%) to (4.0%), adjusted diluted EPS guidance range to $3.50 to $4.00, and adjusted EBITDA guidance to $680 million to $740 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.34B

Previous: $1.5B-11.0%
EPS (adj)

$0.99

Previous: $1.42-30.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$41.3M

Previous: -$33.4M-23.7%
Free Cash Flow

$56.9M

Previous: $114M-50.1%
Net Income

$98.2M

Previous: $147M-33.4%
Operating Income

$153M

Previous: $223M-31.2%
Gross Profit

$1.03B

Previous: $1.19B-13.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$570M

Previous: $612M-6.9%
Total Assets

$2.82B

Previous: $2.67B+5.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$12.4M

Previous: $13.3M-6.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Herbalife · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.34B

Q1 2022-11%vs Q1 2021
Beat estimate in 8 of 16 quarters(50%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The Company is updating its outlook for the year. For the full year, the Company is lowering net sales guidance to be in the range of down 10.0% to down 4.0%. Despite this reduction, the Company anticipates net sales will be flat in the back half of 2022, and will return to year-over-year net sales growth in the fourth quarter.

Tailwinds

  • The Company anticipates net sales will be flat in the back half of 2022.
  • Net sales will return to year-over-year growth in the fourth quarter.
  • The return of in-person events could act as a catalyst.
  • Implemented numerous sales initiatives at a local level that are all aimed at driving increased engagement in the business.
  • Taking meaningful steps to improve margins, through both pricing actions and cost controls.

Headwinds

  • The Company is lowering net sales guidance to be in the range of down 10.0% to down 4.0%.
  • Behavior of distributors that joined the business during the pandemic has departed from historical trends and is below the Company’s expectations.
  • Unfavorable impact of foreign exchange rates.
  • Shift in the geographic mix of revenue.
  • Volume points for the quarter declined 7.0% compared to the prior year.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2022

Historical avgQ1 2022

+2.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.5%

Avg return

30 days after

53%

36 / 68 earnings

Positive

+42.7%

Q4 2024

Best reaction

-31.9%

Q4 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+4.2%-17.2%-30.7%
Q4 2025+18.3%+18.5%-11.1%
Q3 2025+10.7%+10.0%+48.1%
Q1 2025-7.9%-4.7%+8.5%
Q4 2024+42.7%+47.5%+50.0%
Q3 2024+8.5%+18.2%+11.6%
Q2 2024-9.4%-22.8%-34.1%
Q1 2024+8.4%+12.4%+19.1%
Q4 2023-31.9%-31.6%-24.1%
Q3 2023-2.5%-3.3%-7.7%
Q2 2023+14.8%+13.3%-5.7%
Q1 2023-8.6%-6.4%-20.8%
Q4 2022+27.1%+22.0%+7.3%
Q3 2022-2.8%-24.5%-18.5%
Q2 2022+12.0%+13.2%+7.2%
Q1 2022-3.4%-8.7%-16.3%
Q4 2021-16.7%-14.5%-25.8%
Q3 2021-3.7%-5.3%-17.6%
Q2 2021-5.7%-5.2%+2.9%
Q1 2021+3.2%+9.1%+18.0%
Q4 2020-10.5%-18.6%-17.7%
Q3 2020+2.1%-6.0%+5.1%
Q2 2020-3.4%-5.2%-4.6%
Q1 2020+22.0%+16.4%+35.3%
Q4 2019-2.8%-5.6%-26.3%
Q3 2019+10.6%+9.4%+13.0%
Q2 2019-7.4%-6.6%-16.1%
Q1 2019-5.9%-6.7%-22.2%
Q4 2018-0.9%-0.6%-1.0%
Q3 2018-1.9%-1.5%+4.8%
Q2 2018+11.8%+15.0%+9.6%
Q1 2018+5.1%+4.6%-3.9%
Q4 2017+3.2%+4.5%+18.0%
Q3 2017-3.4%-6.5%-1.7%
Q2 2017-1.9%-0.9%+3.8%
Q1 2017+11.2%+16.6%+18.4%
Q4 2016-6.6%-7.0%-6.1%
Q3 2016-8.6%-9.4%-20.5%
Q2 2016+1.1%+0.4%-8.1%
Q1 2016+9.9%
Q4 2015+19.3%
Q3 2015-1.7%
Q2 2015+14.4%
Q1 2015+11.0%
Q4 2014-7.9%
Q3 2014-15.6%
Q2 2014-11.7%
Q1 2014+4.0%
Q4 2013-0.3%
Q3 2013+2.4%
Q2 2013+2.7%
Q1 2013+3.8%
Q4 2012-2.5%
Q3 2012+1.5%
Q2 2012+2.0%
Q1 2012-15.3%
Q4 2011+10.2%
Q3 2011-5.4%
Q2 2011+5.3%
Q1 2010+13.9%
Q1 2011-0.7%
Q4 2008+10.6%
Q4 2010+10.6%
Q3 2009-1.7%
Q3 2010-1.7%
Q2 2009+10.7%
Q2 2010+10.7%
Q4 2009+10.7%

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