NYSE$GPK

Graphic Packaging Holding Co · Q2 2022 earnings

Q2 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported second quarter 2022 results, showing progress toward enhanced and stronger Vision 2025 goals.

Graphic Packaging Holding Company reported a strong second quarter in 2022, with net sales increasing by 36% to $2,358 million compared to the prior year quarter. Net income was $66 million, or $0.21 per share, compared to $38 million, or $0.13 per share in the prior year quarter. Adjusted EBITDA increased to $396 million, driven by positive price-cost relationship, volume/mix, and net performance.

  • Net Sales were $2,358 million versus $1,737 million in the prior year quarter.
  • Net Organic Sales increased 3% in the quarter driven by global demand for sustainability-supported, innovative consumer packaging solutions.
  • Net Income was $66 million versus $38 million in the prior year quarter.
  • Adjusted Earnings per Diluted Share (excluding amortization of purchased intangibles) were $0.60 versus $0.29 in the prior year quarter.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.36B

Previous: $1.74B+35.8%
EPS (adj)

$0.60

Previous: $0.26+130.8%
Adjusted EBITDA

$396M

No prior period
Net Leverage Ratio

4.36

Previous: 3.69+18.2%
Capital Expenditures

-$10M

Previous: -$17M+41.2%
Free Cash Flow

$56M

Previous: $21M+166.7%
Net Income

$66M

Previous: $38M+73.7%
Operating Income

$152M

Previous: $95M+60.0%
Gross Profit

$441M

Previous: $255M+72.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$108M

Previous: $89M+21.3%
Total Assets

$10.4B

Previous: $7.84B+32.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Graphic Packaging · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.36B

Q2 2022+35.8%vs Q2 2021
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The company is on track to deliver its recently enhanced and stronger Vision 2025 goals by meeting or exceeding 2022 milestones. The upwardly revised Adjusted EBITDA range, with $1.55 billion at the midpoint, reflects a substantial step up of approximately $500 million of incremental EBITDA when compared to 2021. The company continues to expect year-end leverage to be in the 3.0 to 3.5x range.

Tailwinds

  • Meeting demand for more sustainable packaging
  • Driving organic growth globally
  • Transition of customers to more recyclable and circular fiber-based packaging solutions
  • Strategic investments position the company to expand in new market segments
  • Executing multiple pricing and productivity initiatives focused on improving profit margins and capturing returns on strategic investments

Headwinds

  • Effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on the Company’s operations and business
  • Inflation of and volatility in raw material and energy costs
  • Continuing pressure for lower cost products
  • The Company’s ability to implement its business strategies, including productivity initiatives, cost reduction plans, and integration activities
  • The impact of regulatory and litigation matters

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2022

Historical avgQ2 2022

+0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.3%

Avg return

30 days after

49%

32 / 65 earnings

Positive

+12.8%

Q3 2011

Best reaction

-15.6%

Q1 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.9%+11.1%+11.2%
Q4 2025-8.1%-10.3%-24.8%
Q3 2025+9.0%+4.9%+0.9%
Q1 2025-15.6%-12.8%-12.2%
Q4 2024-2.5%-2.9%-1.9%
Q3 2024-6.9%-6.8%-1.1%
Q2 2024+7.5%+3.2%+5.1%
Q1 2024-6.4%-2.7%-1.4%
Q4 2023+6.3%+7.0%+13.6%
Q3 2023+3.1%+5.8%+8.6%
Q2 2023-3.7%-4.4%-8.1%
Q1 2023+1.9%+4.3%-1.9%
Q4 2022-2.2%-0.6%+4.1%
Q3 2022+8.9%+7.1%+5.0%
Q2 2022+3.3%+2.9%+8.3%
Q1 2022-0.3%+3.4%+1.8%
Q4 2021+7.0%+6.9%+6.0%
Q3 2021-1.9%-1.5%+3.9%
Q2 2021+8.1%+9.6%+15.3%
Q1 2021+0.6%+1.1%-3.7%
Q4 2020+1.8%+2.8%+3.0%
Q3 2020-4.7%-2.4%+9.4%
Q2 2020+0.8%+1.2%-1.9%
Q1 2020-1.5%-1.6%+2.4%
Q4 2019-2.1%-4.8%-17.6%
Q3 2019+5.1%+4.9%+7.7%
Q2 2019+6.7%+6.5%-5.8%
Q1 2019+5.5%+7.2%-2.2%
Q4 2018-1.3%+0.8%-0.1%
Q3 2018-14.4%-11.1%-4.5%
Q2 2018-4.0%-3.6%-4.6%
Q1 2018-7.2%-9.5%-5.2%
Q4 2017-1.9%-4.7%-0.5%
Q3 2017+7.3%+8.9%+4.4%
Q2 2017-4.7%-4.5%-5.6%
Q1 2017+0.0%+0.0%-0.5%
Q4 2016+3.8%+2.9%+1.3%
Q3 2016-9.5%-9.2%-5.8%
Q2 2016+5.3%+4.0%+10.5%
Q1 2016-0.4%
Q4 2015+6.6%
Q3 2015+6.0%
Q2 2015-1.0%
Q1 2015+3.5%
Q4 2014+1.3%
Q3 2014-3.0%
Q2 2014+6.3%
Q1 2014+4.3%
Q4 2013+4.7%
Q3 2013-2.1%
Q2 2013-4.0%
Q1 2013-1.7%
Q4 2012+2.1%
Q3 2012+5.3%
Q2 2012+10.3%
Q1 2011-2.4%
Q1 2012-2.4%
Q4 2009+2.9%
Q4 2011+2.9%
Q3 2010+12.8%
Q3 2011+12.8%
Q4 2010+0.0%
Q2 2010+0.0%
Q2 2011+0.0%
Q1 2010-8.7%

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