NYSE$GPK

Graphic Packaging Holding Co · Q2 2021 earnings

Q2 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Net sales increased driven by demand for fiber-based consumer packaging solutions, but net income decreased due to special charges.

Graphic Packaging Holding Company reported an increase in net sales by 8% to $1,737 million, driven by a 5% rise in net organic sales. Net income, however, decreased to $38 million, or $0.13 per share, compared to the prior year quarter. The company is implementing pricing actions to offset commodity input cost inflation and expects higher Adjusted EBITDA in the second half of the year.

  • Net sales increased 8% to $1,737 million, with net organic sales up 5%.
  • Net income was $38 million, or $0.13 per share, compared to $52 million, or $0.19 per share, in the prior year quarter.
  • Adjusted earnings per diluted share were $0.26, consistent with the prior year quarter.
  • The company is executing $400 million in pricing actions to address commodity input cost inflation.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.74B

Previous: $1.61B+7.8%
EPS (adj)

$0.26

Previous: $0.26+0.0%
Net Leverage Ratio

3.69

Previous: 3.26+13.2%
Capital Expenditures

-$17M

Previous: -$14M-21.4%
Free Cash Flow

$21M

Previous: $38.1M-44.9%
Net Income

$38M

Previous: $52.1M-27.1%
Operating Income

$95M

Previous: $115M-17.2%
Gross Profit

$255M

Previous: $262M-2.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$89M

Previous: $83.6M+6.5%
Total Assets

$7.84B

Previous: $7.67B+2.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Graphic Packaging · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.74B

Q2 2021+7.8%vs Q2 2020
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The company expects to generate significantly higher Adjusted EBITDA in the second half of 2021 driven by price-cost recovery from the successful execution of approximately $400 million of implemented and recognized pricing actions, and continued momentum from organic sales growth and strong productivity.

Tailwinds

  • Price-cost recovery from pricing actions.
  • Continued momentum from organic sales growth.
  • Strong productivity.
  • Successful execution of approximately $400 million of implemented and recognized pricing actions.
  • Consumer preferences are driving conversions to fiber-based packaging solutions

Headwinds

  • Effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on the Company’s operations and business
  • Inflation of and volatility in raw material and energy costs
  • Continuing pressure for lower cost products
  • The Company’s ability to implement its business strategies, including productivity initiatives, cost reduction plans, and integration activities
  • The impact of regulatory and litigation matters, including the continued availability of the Company's net operating loss offset to taxable income.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2021

Historical avgQ2 2021

+0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.3%

Avg return

30 days after

49%

32 / 65 earnings

Positive

+12.8%

Q3 2011

Best reaction

-15.6%

Q1 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.9%+11.1%+11.2%
Q4 2025-8.1%-10.3%-24.8%
Q3 2025+9.0%+4.9%+0.9%
Q1 2025-15.6%-12.8%-12.2%
Q4 2024-2.5%-2.9%-1.9%
Q3 2024-6.9%-6.8%-1.1%
Q2 2024+7.5%+3.2%+5.1%
Q1 2024-6.4%-2.7%-1.4%
Q4 2023+6.3%+7.0%+13.6%
Q3 2023+3.1%+5.8%+8.6%
Q2 2023-3.7%-4.4%-8.1%
Q1 2023+1.9%+4.3%-1.9%
Q4 2022-2.2%-0.6%+4.1%
Q3 2022+8.9%+7.1%+5.0%
Q2 2022+3.3%+2.9%+8.3%
Q1 2022-0.3%+3.4%+1.8%
Q4 2021+7.0%+6.9%+6.0%
Q3 2021-1.9%-1.5%+3.9%
Q2 2021+8.1%+9.6%+15.3%
Q1 2021+0.6%+1.1%-3.7%
Q4 2020+1.8%+2.8%+3.0%
Q3 2020-4.7%-2.4%+9.4%
Q2 2020+0.8%+1.2%-1.9%
Q1 2020-1.5%-1.6%+2.4%
Q4 2019-2.1%-4.8%-17.6%
Q3 2019+5.1%+4.9%+7.7%
Q2 2019+6.7%+6.5%-5.8%
Q1 2019+5.5%+7.2%-2.2%
Q4 2018-1.3%+0.8%-0.1%
Q3 2018-14.4%-11.1%-4.5%
Q2 2018-4.0%-3.6%-4.6%
Q1 2018-7.2%-9.5%-5.2%
Q4 2017-1.9%-4.7%-0.5%
Q3 2017+7.3%+8.9%+4.4%
Q2 2017-4.7%-4.5%-5.6%
Q1 2017+0.0%+0.0%-0.5%
Q4 2016+3.8%+2.9%+1.3%
Q3 2016-9.5%-9.2%-5.8%
Q2 2016+5.3%+4.0%+10.5%
Q1 2016-0.4%
Q4 2015+6.6%
Q3 2015+6.0%
Q2 2015-1.0%
Q1 2015+3.5%
Q4 2014+1.3%
Q3 2014-3.0%
Q2 2014+6.3%
Q1 2014+4.3%
Q4 2013+4.7%
Q3 2013-2.1%
Q2 2013-4.0%
Q1 2013-1.7%
Q4 2012+2.1%
Q3 2012+5.3%
Q2 2012+10.3%
Q1 2011-2.4%
Q1 2012-2.4%
Q4 2009+2.9%
Q4 2011+2.9%
Q3 2010+12.8%
Q3 2011+12.8%
Q4 2010+0.0%
Q2 2010+0.0%
Q2 2011+0.0%
Q1 2010-8.7%

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