NYSE$ESTC

Elastic NV · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Announced strong fourth quarter and fiscal year 2022 financial results.

Elastic reported strong Q4 results with a total revenue of $239.4 million, up 35% year-over-year, and Elastic Cloud revenue of $87.7 million, up 71% year-over-year. The company's strong cloud momentum is expected to drive over 50% of total revenue from Elastic Cloud exiting Q4 of fiscal year 2024.

  • Total revenue was $239.4 million, an increase of 35% year-over-year, or 37% on a constant currency basis
  • Elastic Cloud revenue was $87.7 million, an increase of 71% year-over-year, or 72% on a constant currency basis
  • GAAP operating loss was $59.6 million; GAAP operating margin was -25%
  • Non-GAAP operating loss was $7.9 million; non-GAAP operating margin was -3%

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$239M

Previous: $178M+34.8%
EPS (adj)

-$0.16

Previous: -$0.08-100.0%
Net Expansion Rate

130.0%

Previous: 130.0%+0.0%
Capital Expenditures

$1.5M

Previous: $1.18M+26.9%
Free Cash Flow

-$5.25M

Previous: -$3.06M-71.6%
Net Income

-$65.6M

Previous: -$43.3M-51.5%
Operating Income

-$59.6M

Previous: -$37.1M-60.8%
Gross Profit

$172M

Previous: $132M+30.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$861M

Previous: $401M+114.8%
Total Assets

$1.64B

Previous: $973M+68.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.5M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Elastic · Revenue · Quarterly

$239M

Q4 2022+34.8%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 4 of 16 quarters(25%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Elastic · $239M total across 3 segments · Q4 2022

  • Other Subscription
    $134M
  • Elastic Cloud
    $87.7M+70.7%
  • Services
    $17.6M+35.0%

Forward guidance

For the first quarter of fiscal 2023 (ending July 31, 2022): Total revenue is expected to be between $244 million and $246 million, representing 27% year-over-year growth at the midpoint (32% year-over-year constant currency growth at the midpoint). Non-GAAP net loss per share is expected to be between $0.20 and $0.16, assuming between 94.0 million and 95.0 million weighted average ordinary shares outstanding.

Tailwinds

  • Total revenue is expected to be between $244 million and $246 million
  • Representing 27% year-over-year growth at the midpoint
  • 32% year-over-year constant currency growth at the midpoint
  • Non-GAAP operating margin is expected to be between -3.8% and -2.8%
  • Non-GAAP net loss per share is expected to be between $0.20 and $0.16

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.0%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.5%

Avg return

30 days after

42%

13 / 31 earnings

Positive

+38.4%

Q2 2024

Best reaction

-26.0%

Q1 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2026+12.6%+11.5%
Q3 2026-15.4%-15.8%-21.2%
Q2 2026-15.6%-14.8%-6.9%
Q1 2026-3.1%-1.7%-2.1%
Q4 2025-12.1%-8.9%-10.1%
Q3 2025+14.9%+8.2%-9.5%
Q2 2025+22.0%+25.9%+17.0%
Q1 2025-26.0%-28.9%-24.9%
Q4 2024+1.7%+0.7%+11.3%
Q3 2024-9.8%-16.4%-22.7%
Q2 2024+38.4%+45.2%+41.5%
Q1 2024+22.2%+23.5%+33.7%
Q4 2023-0.7%-1.9%-11.9%
Q3 2023+10.7%+6.3%+0.3%
Q2 2023-3.1%-11.3%-12.7%
Q1 2023-0.2%+1.9%-18.1%
Q4 2022+19.4%+20.2%+15.5%
Q3 2022-6.8%-11.2%+8.0%
Q2 2022-23.9%-28.9%-20.8%
Q1 2022-3.4%+0.3%+4.9%
Q4 2021+9.7%+12.0%+23.8%
Q3 2021-14.0%-5.3%-27.5%
Q2 2021+11.8%+17.1%+21.0%
Q1 2021+6.5%+4.1%+2.0%
Q4 2020-3.3%-7.4%+6.6%
Q3 2020+8.7%+10.0%-18.9%
Q2 2020-17.4%-19.9%-15.0%
Q1 2020+11.5%+10.4%+4.2%
Q4 2019-1.7%-2.7%-3.9%
Q3 2019-6.9%-7.3%-17.8%
Q2 2019-8.1%-15.7%-21.9%
Q1 2019
Q4 2018
Q3 2017
Q2 2017
Q1 2017

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