NYSE$CVNA

Carvana Co · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Carvana demonstrated operational progress amidst industry and macroeconomic headwinds.

Carvana's Q3 2022 results reflect strong operational progress, including a sequential reduction in Carvana-related SG&A expense by approximately $90 million and sequential improvement in Adjusted EBITDA, despite a challenging industry and macroeconomic environment that led to a decrease in retail units sold and limited progress in SG&A per retail unit sold.

  • Retail units sold totaled 102,570, a decrease of 8%.
  • Revenue totaled $3.386 billion, a decrease of 3%.
  • Total gross profit was $359 million, a decrease of 31%.
  • Net loss per Class A share was $2.67.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.39B

Previous: $3.48B-2.7%
EPS (adj)

-$2.67

Previous: -$0.38-602.6%
Retail Units Sold

102.6K

Previous: 111.9K-8.4%
Capital Expenditures

-$451M

Previous: -$390M-15.6%
Free Cash Flow

-$734M

Previous: -$422M-73.9%
Net Income

-$283M

Previous: -$32M-784.4%
Operating Income

-$332M

Previous: -$49M-577.6%
Gross Profit

$359M

Previous: $523M-31.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$316M

Previous: $297M+6.4%
Total Assets

$9.62B

Previous: $5.36B+79.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$15M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Carvana · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.39B

Q3 2022-2.7%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Carvana anticipates a sequential reduction in retail units sold and total GPU in Q4 2022, influenced by reduced used vehicle industry demand, increasing benchmark interest rates, higher used vehicle depreciation rates, and the implementation of profitability initiatives. The company aims to manage the business to achieve >$4,000 total GPU and significant Adjusted EBITDA profitability at current volume levels, while also building in flexibility to achieve profitability at higher or lower volume levels.

Tailwinds

  • Strong progress reducing SG&A expenses
  • efficiency and cost initiatives
  • manage the business to achieve >$4,000 total GPU
  • significant Adjusted EBITDA profitability at current volume levels
  • building in flexibility to achieve profitability at higher or lower volume levels

Headwinds

  • expect a sequential reduction in retail units sold
  • expect a sequential reduction in total GPU
  • reduced used vehicle industry demand
  • increasing benchmark interest rates
  • higher used vehicle depreciation rates

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

+8.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+6.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+12.7%

Avg return

30 days after

62%

23 / 37 earnings

Positive

+40.7%

Q1 2017

Best reaction

-35.0%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.3%-4.4%-8.1%
Q4 2025+16.3%-10.1%-22.2%
Q3 2025-8.4%-12.5%+5.8%
Q2 2025+17.0%+5.1%+11.5%
Q1 2025+10.2%+13.1%+31.8%
Q4 2024-12.1%-21.3%-32.2%
Q3 2024+18.5%+8.3%+24.8%
Q2 2024+15.6%+6.8%+18.8%
Q1 2024+40.5%+48.3%+20.6%
Q4 2023+40.1%+62.8%+74.0%
Q3 2023+24.2%+31.5%+35.4%
Q2 2023+17.4%+16.2%-1.5%
Q1 2023+26.7%+67.6%+121.8%
Q4 2022-20.5%-6.5%-18.7%
Q3 2022-35.0%-45.4%-40.1%
Q2 2022+34.6%+18.7%-9.5%
Q1 2022-18.3%-20.2%-67.0%
Q4 2021+34.2%+27.6%+13.1%
Q3 2021-1.2%-1.8%-13.3%
Q2 2021+4.5%+11.8%-0.7%
Q1 2021-11.7%-14.8%-0.3%
Q4 2020-0.5%+10.5%-9.1%
Q3 2020-8.7%-5.9%+22.7%
Q2 2020+33.8%+14.1%+12.2%
Q1 2020+13.6%+17.1%+34.7%
Q4 2019-14.7%-20.8%-52.9%
Q3 2019-10.3%-4.9%+6.0%
Q2 2019+21.2%+31.1%+39.9%
Q1 2019+5.9%-12.4%-11.0%
Q4 2018+10.8%+3.9%+43.4%
Q3 2018+14.3%-2.3%-20.7%
Q2 2018+8.4%+13.8%+30.4%
Q1 2018+7.2%+8.9%+44.3%
Q4 2017-6.3%-3.2%+25.2%
Q3 2017-10.4%-13.3%+34.6%
Q2 2017-2.6%-12.1%+1.0%
Q1 2017+40.7%+47.8%+124.2%
Q4 2016
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q4 2015

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