NYSE$CVNA

Carvana Co · Q2 2023 earnings

Q2 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Carvana demonstrated significant progress on its path to profitability, significantly exceeding its goal of driving positive Adjusted EBITDA, both with and without benefits from non-recurring items.

Carvana's Q2 2023 results show a significant step forward on its path to driving positive free cash flow. The company hit records in Total GPU, Adjusted EBITDA, and Adjusted EBITDA margin while also cutting SG&A expenses. Retail units sold totaled 76,530, a decrease of 35%. Revenue totaled $2.968 billion, a decrease of 24%. Total gross profit was $499 million, an increase of 26%.

  • Completed step 1 of its plan by achieving positive Adjusted EBITDA.
  • Achieved company-record GAAP and Non-GAAP Total GPU of $6,520 and $7,030 respectively, both inclusive of ~$900 of non-recurring benefits.
  • Reduced SG&A expenses.
  • Net Loss and Adjusted EBITDA of -$105 million and +$155 million, respectively, both inclusive of ~$70 million of non-recurring benefits.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.97B

Previous: $3.88B-23.6%
EPS (adj)

-$0.55

Previous: -$2.35+76.6%
Retail Units Sold

76.5K

Previous: 117.6K-34.9%
Capital Expenditures

-$50M

Previous: -$361M+86.1%
Free Cash Flow

-$108M

Previous: -$599M+82.0%
Net Income

-$58M

Previous: -$238M+75.6%
Operating Income

$0.00

Previous: -$355M+100.0%
Gross Profit

$499M

Previous: $396M+26.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$541M

Previous: $1.05B-48.3%
Total Assets

$7.85B

Previous: $10.5B-25.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$19M

Previous: $14M+35.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Carvana · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.97B

Q2 2023-23.6%vs Q2 2022
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Looking toward Q3 2023, the company expects similar retail units sold compared to Q2 2023, Non-GAAP Total GPU above $5,000, similar Non-GAAP SG&A expense compared to Q2, and to generate positive Adjusted EBITDA.

Tailwinds

  • Expect similar retail units sold in Q3 2023 compared to Q2 2023.
  • Expect Non-GAAP Total GPU above $5,000 in Q3 2023.
  • Expect similar Non-GAAP SG&A expense in Q3 compared to Q2.
  • Expect to generate positive Adjusted EBITDA in Q3 2023 for the second consecutive quarter.
  • See upside to the Total GPU and Adjusted EBITDA numbers.

Headwinds

  • The macroeconomic and industry environment continues to be uncertain.
  • Providing a conservative outlook given the early date of this earnings call within the quarter.
  • Expect the environment remains stable.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2023

Historical avgQ2 2023

+8.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+6.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+12.7%

Avg return

30 days after

62%

23 / 37 earnings

Positive

+40.7%

Q1 2017

Best reaction

-35.0%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.3%-4.4%-8.1%
Q4 2025+16.3%-10.1%-22.2%
Q3 2025-8.4%-12.5%+5.8%
Q2 2025+17.0%+5.1%+11.5%
Q1 2025+10.2%+13.1%+31.8%
Q4 2024-12.1%-21.3%-32.2%
Q3 2024+18.5%+8.3%+24.8%
Q2 2024+15.6%+6.8%+18.8%
Q1 2024+40.5%+48.3%+20.6%
Q4 2023+40.1%+62.8%+74.0%
Q3 2023+24.2%+31.5%+35.4%
Q2 2023+17.4%+16.2%-1.5%
Q1 2023+26.7%+67.6%+121.8%
Q4 2022-20.5%-6.5%-18.7%
Q3 2022-35.0%-45.4%-40.1%
Q2 2022+34.6%+18.7%-9.5%
Q1 2022-18.3%-20.2%-67.0%
Q4 2021+34.2%+27.6%+13.1%
Q3 2021-1.2%-1.8%-13.3%
Q2 2021+4.5%+11.8%-0.7%
Q1 2021-11.7%-14.8%-0.3%
Q4 2020-0.5%+10.5%-9.1%
Q3 2020-8.7%-5.9%+22.7%
Q2 2020+33.8%+14.1%+12.2%
Q1 2020+13.6%+17.1%+34.7%
Q4 2019-14.7%-20.8%-52.9%
Q3 2019-10.3%-4.9%+6.0%
Q2 2019+21.2%+31.1%+39.9%
Q1 2019+5.9%-12.4%-11.0%
Q4 2018+10.8%+3.9%+43.4%
Q3 2018+14.3%-2.3%-20.7%
Q2 2018+8.4%+13.8%+30.4%
Q1 2018+7.2%+8.9%+44.3%
Q4 2017-6.3%-3.2%+25.2%
Q3 2017-10.4%-13.3%+34.6%
Q2 2017-2.6%-12.1%+1.0%
Q1 2017+40.7%+47.8%+124.2%
Q4 2016
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q4 2015

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