NYSE$CVNA

Carvana Co · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Carvana's Q1 2023 performance reflected progress on its profitability plan, achieving best-ever first-quarter GPU and Adjusted EBITDA margins, and completing Q2 SG&A reduction goals early.

Carvana's Q1 2023 results showed a 25% decrease in revenue to $2.606 billion and a 25% decrease in retail units sold to 79,240. However, the company achieved a 14% increase in total gross profit to $341 million and significant improvements in GPU and Adjusted EBITDA margins. The company is on track to achieve positive Adjusted EBITDA in Q2 2023.

  • Achieved company-best first quarter GPU and Adjusted EBITDA margins.
  • Completed Q2 SG&A reduction goal one quarter early.
  • Retail units sold totaled 79,240, a decrease of 25%.
  • Revenue totaled $2.606 billion, a decrease of 25%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.61B

Previous: $3.5B-25.5%
EPS (adj)

-$1.51

Previous: -$2.89+47.8%
Retail Units Sold

79.2K

Previous: 105.2K-24.7%
Wholesale Units Sold

35.1K

Previous: 50.3K-30.2%
Capital Expenditures

-$32M

Previous: -$220M+85.5%
Free Cash Flow

-$192M

Previous: -$480M+60.0%
Net Income

-$160M

Previous: -$260M+38.5%
Operating Income

-$168M

Previous: -$450M+62.7%
Gross Profit

$341M

Previous: $298M+14.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$488M

Previous: $247M+97.6%
Total Assets

$8.65B

Previous: $7.59B+14.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$15M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Carvana · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.61B

Q1 2023-25.5%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Carvana expects a reduction in retail units sold in Q2 2023 compared to Q1 2023. They anticipate Non-GAAP Total GPU above $5,000, with Non-GAAP Retail GPU above $2,000, Non-GAAP Wholesale GPU above $1,000, and Non-GAAP Other GPU above $2,000. Non-GAAP SG&A expense is expected to be similar to Q1, and the company expects to generate positive Adjusted EBITDA in Q2 2023.

Tailwinds

  • Expect >$5,000 Non-GAAP Total GPU in Q2 2023.
  • Expect >$2,000 of Non-GAAP Retail GPU in Q2 2023.
  • Expect >$1,000 of Non-GAAP Wholesale GPU in Q2 2023.
  • Expect >$2,000 Non-GAAP Other GPU in Q2 2023.
  • Expect similar Non-GAAP SG&A expense in Q2 compared to Q1.

Headwinds

  • Expect a reduction in retail units sold in Q2 2023 compared to Q1 2023.
  • Macroeconomic and industry environment continues to be uncertain.
  • Continue to normalize our inventory size.
  • Optimize marketing spend.
  • Seasonal tailwinds abate.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

+8.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+6.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+12.7%

Avg return

30 days after

62%

23 / 37 earnings

Positive

+40.7%

Q1 2017

Best reaction

-35.0%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.3%-4.4%-8.1%
Q4 2025+16.3%-10.1%-22.2%
Q3 2025-8.4%-12.5%+5.8%
Q2 2025+17.0%+5.1%+11.5%
Q1 2025+10.2%+13.1%+31.8%
Q4 2024-12.1%-21.3%-32.2%
Q3 2024+18.5%+8.3%+24.8%
Q2 2024+15.6%+6.8%+18.8%
Q1 2024+40.5%+48.3%+20.6%
Q4 2023+40.1%+62.8%+74.0%
Q3 2023+24.2%+31.5%+35.4%
Q2 2023+17.4%+16.2%-1.5%
Q1 2023+26.7%+67.6%+121.8%
Q4 2022-20.5%-6.5%-18.7%
Q3 2022-35.0%-45.4%-40.1%
Q2 2022+34.6%+18.7%-9.5%
Q1 2022-18.3%-20.2%-67.0%
Q4 2021+34.2%+27.6%+13.1%
Q3 2021-1.2%-1.8%-13.3%
Q2 2021+4.5%+11.8%-0.7%
Q1 2021-11.7%-14.8%-0.3%
Q4 2020-0.5%+10.5%-9.1%
Q3 2020-8.7%-5.9%+22.7%
Q2 2020+33.8%+14.1%+12.2%
Q1 2020+13.6%+17.1%+34.7%
Q4 2019-14.7%-20.8%-52.9%
Q3 2019-10.3%-4.9%+6.0%
Q2 2019+21.2%+31.1%+39.9%
Q1 2019+5.9%-12.4%-11.0%
Q4 2018+10.8%+3.9%+43.4%
Q3 2018+14.3%-2.3%-20.7%
Q2 2018+8.4%+13.8%+30.4%
Q1 2018+7.2%+8.9%+44.3%
Q4 2017-6.3%-3.2%+25.2%
Q3 2017-10.4%-13.3%+34.6%
Q2 2017-2.6%-12.1%+1.0%
Q1 2017+40.7%+47.8%+124.2%
Q4 2016
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q4 2015

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