NYSE$COTY

Coty Inc · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Sales growth exceeded expectations, driven by strong performance in both divisions and fueled by the U.S., Europe, and Travel Retail, accompanied by continuous gross margin expansion and deleveraging progress.

Coty's Q3 2022 results showed strong sales growth, with a 15% increase in reported sales and 19% on an LFL basis. This growth was driven by both the Prestige and Consumer Beauty segments, with significant contributions from the U.S., Europe, and Travel Retail. The company also achieved gross margin expansion and continued progress on deleveraging.

  • Net revenues increased 15% as reported and 19% on a LFL basis, driven by strong growth in both Prestige and Consumer Beauty.
  • Reported operating income totaled $57.1 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $182.5 million with a margin of 15.4%.
  • Adjusted EPS of $0.03, improved from $0.01 last year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.19B

Previous: $1.03B+15.4%
EPS (adj)

$0.03

Previous: $0.02+47.2%
Gross Margin

64.3%

Previous: 61.9%+3.9%
Free Cash Flow

-$22.2M

Previous: -$218M+89.8%
Net Debt

$4.24B

Previous: $5.11B-17.0%
Net Income

$53.6M

Previous: $15.6M+243.6%
Operating Income

$57.1M

Previous: -$1.4M+4178.6%
Gross Profit

$763M

Previous: $636M+20.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$669M

Previous: $315M+112.1%
Total Assets

$13.3B

Previous: $13.6B-2.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$28.5M

Previous: $6.6M+331.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Coty · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.19B

Q3 2022+15.4%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 9 of 16 quarters(56%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Coty · $1.19B total across 2 segments · Q3 2022

  • Prestige
    $726M+20.9%
  • Consumer Beauty
    $460M+7.6%

Forward guidance

Coty expects FY22 LFL sales will be at the upper end of its guidance range of low-to-mid teens percentage growth. Coty continues to expect FY22 adjusted EBITDA of $900 million and raises its FY22 adjusted EPS guidance to $0.23-0.27.

Tailwinds

  • Brand investments are driving attractive ROI and fueling strong topline growth.
  • Strong revenues and sell-out momentum YTD.
  • The company continues to expect FY22 adjusted EBITDA of $900 million.
  • Coty raises its FY22 adjusted EPS guidance to $0.23-0.27.
  • The Company continues to target leverage towards 4x exiting CY22 and approximately 2x exiting CY25.

Headwinds

  • Expected impact in Q4 from Coty's decision to exit operations in Russia including local Travel Retail, which accounts for approximately 3% of total revenues.
  • Near-term COVID lockdowns in China.
  • The industry faces lockdowns in China.
  • The industry faces the war in Ukraine.
  • The industry faces inflationary headwinds, and global supply pressures.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

+0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.8%

Avg return

30 days after

44%

23 / 52 earnings

Positive

+36.8%

Q2 2019

Best reaction

-25.8%

Q1 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026+3.9%-9.4%-23.4%
Q2 2026-14.5%-19.7%-24.8%
Q1 2026-0.8%-5.6%-8.7%
Q3 2025-11.6%-3.1%-2.9%
Q2 2025-9.3%-17.6%-19.8%
Q1 2025-3.8%-2.4%+0.9%
Q4 2024+6.1%+4.3%-1.7%
Q3 2024-4.3%-3.7%-12.8%
Q2 2024-3.2%-3.6%+3.7%
Q1 2024+1.8%-0.6%+18.4%
Q4 2023+2.6%+0.5%+11.9%
Q3 2023-3.7%-7.3%-2.6%
Q2 2023-0.2%+7.9%+3.6%
Q1 2023-5.2%+11.2%+14.9%
Q4 2022+7.4%+5.7%-0.1%
Q3 2022-13.3%-9.6%-1.1%
Q2 2022+12.2%+8.6%-5.6%
Q1 2022+16.4%+16.4%+10.5%
Q4 2021+15.6%+18.7%-2.7%
Q3 2021-10.9%-13.4%-14.9%
Q2 2021-17.3%-14.6%+11.5%
Q1 2021+33.2%+38.6%+132.0%
Q4 2020-3.6%-6.8%-29.9%
Q3 2020-16.7%-36.7%-0.8%
Q2 2020+13.6%+12.5%-19.2%
Q1 2020+13.4%+8.4%+3.6%
Q4 2019+6.2%+8.5%+19.7%
Q3 2019-5.6%-4.2%+10.4%
Q2 2019+36.8%+58.2%+55.8%
Q1 2019-25.8%-22.6%-32.9%
Q4 2018-5.5%-3.4%+4.9%
Q3 2018-8.8%-11.0%-12.6%
Q2 2018+13.6%+17.6%+11.0%
Q1 2018+10.5%+14.8%+20.5%
Q4 2017-14.4%-16.1%-18.2%
Q3 2017+9.9%+7.5%+5.1%
Q2 2017-8.8%-3.8%-4.7%
Q1 2017-15.3%-16.7%-12.5%
Q4 2016-6.9%-3.6%-18.2%
Q3 2016-12.2%
Q2 2016+14.0%
Q1 2016-4.8%
Q4 2015+3.1%
Q3 2015-1.4%
Q2 2015+15.6%
Q1 2015+6.6%
Q4 2012-4.6%
Q4 2014-4.6%
Q3 2014+3.4%
Q2 2014+3.4%
Q1 2014-2.7%
Q4 2013+0.8%
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2012
Q4 2011

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