NYSE$COTY

Coty Inc · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Results exceeded expectations and guidance, driven by sales growth ahead of the beauty market, strong gross margin, and profit expansion.

Coty Inc. reported strong Q1 2023 results, with sales increasing 1% as reported and 9% on a LFL basis. The company's performance was well ahead of the underlying beauty market, driven by robust consumer demand for beauty products, particularly prestige fragrances. Coty reaffirmed its FY23 revenue and profit outlook and remains committed to deleveraging.

  • Q1 sales increased 1% as reported, including over 7% of FX headwinds, with sales up 9% on a LFL basis.
  • Prestige revenues declined 1% as reported and grew 7% LFL, including approximately 300 bps of negative impact from Coty's exit from Russia.
  • Consumer Beauty Q1 revenues grew 5% as reported and 12% LFL, supported by sustained market share momentum and strong activity.
  • Reported gross margins expanded by 70 bps YoY to 63.9%, while adjusted gross margin grew 70 bps YoY to 64.1%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.39B

Previous: $1.37B+1.3%
EPS (adj)

$0.11

Previous: $0.08+37.5%
Gross Margin

63.9%

Previous: 63.2%+1.1%
Free Cash Flow

$88.2M

No prior period
Net Debt

$4.2B

No prior period
Net Income

$129M

Previous: $226M-43.1%
Operating Income

$172M

Previous: $17.2M+899.4%
Gross Profit

$889M

Previous: $867M+2.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$216M

Previous: $377M-42.8%
Total Assets

$11.9B

Previous: $14B-14.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$31.1M

Previous: $108M-71.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Coty · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.39B

Q1 2023+1.3%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 6 of 14 quarters(43%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Coty · $1.39B total across 2 segments · Q1 2023

  • Prestige
    $863M-0.8%
  • Consumer Beauty
    $527M+5.1%

Forward guidance

Coty continues to see strong demand growth across nearly all markets, particularly in Prestige fragrances, with Coty maintaining strong launch activity in both Prestige and Consumer Beauty. The Company remains confident in its FY23 outlook, which is inline with its medium term growth algorithm.

Tailwinds

  • Coty continues to target FY23 adjusted EBITDA of $955-965M based on current FX rates.
  • Coty continues to expect FY23 adjusted EPS growth in the mid-teens to $0.32-0.33.
  • The Company continues to expect FY23 revenues for the core business, adjusting for the impact of the Russia exit, to grow 6-8% LFL.
  • 1H23 core business LFL revenue growth trends are expected to be consistent with its annual growth target of +6-8%, with demand remaining robust in Q2 and component constraints the primary limitation to growth.
  • Coty continues to expect modest gross margin expansion in both Q2 and in FY23, despite the elevated inflationary environment.

Headwinds

  • This robust demand is contributing to component shortages, which remain the primary limitation to near-term growth.
  • Q2 sales results will include the impact from exiting the Russia business, estimated at approximately 3% of revenues.
  • Q2 sales results will include an estimated FX headwind on sales of 7-9% at current rates.
  • FY23 adjusted EPS growth excludes any mark-to-market adjustments on the equity swap.
  • The exit from Russia is estimated to negatively impact FY23 sales by approximately 2%.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

+0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.8%

Avg return

30 days after

44%

23 / 52 earnings

Positive

+36.8%

Q2 2019

Best reaction

-25.8%

Q1 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026+3.9%-9.4%-23.4%
Q2 2026-14.5%-19.7%-24.8%
Q1 2026-0.8%-5.6%-8.7%
Q3 2025-11.6%-3.1%-2.9%
Q2 2025-9.3%-17.6%-19.8%
Q1 2025-3.8%-2.4%+0.9%
Q4 2024+6.1%+4.3%-1.7%
Q3 2024-4.3%-3.7%-12.8%
Q2 2024-3.2%-3.6%+3.7%
Q1 2024+1.8%-0.6%+18.4%
Q4 2023+2.6%+0.5%+11.9%
Q3 2023-3.7%-7.3%-2.6%
Q2 2023-0.2%+7.9%+3.6%
Q1 2023-5.2%+11.2%+14.9%
Q4 2022+7.4%+5.7%-0.1%
Q3 2022-13.3%-9.6%-1.1%
Q2 2022+12.2%+8.6%-5.6%
Q1 2022+16.4%+16.4%+10.5%
Q4 2021+15.6%+18.7%-2.7%
Q3 2021-10.9%-13.4%-14.9%
Q2 2021-17.3%-14.6%+11.5%
Q1 2021+33.2%+38.6%+132.0%
Q4 2020-3.6%-6.8%-29.9%
Q3 2020-16.7%-36.7%-0.8%
Q2 2020+13.6%+12.5%-19.2%
Q1 2020+13.4%+8.4%+3.6%
Q4 2019+6.2%+8.5%+19.7%
Q3 2019-5.6%-4.2%+10.4%
Q2 2019+36.8%+58.2%+55.8%
Q1 2019-25.8%-22.6%-32.9%
Q4 2018-5.5%-3.4%+4.9%
Q3 2018-8.8%-11.0%-12.6%
Q2 2018+13.6%+17.6%+11.0%
Q1 2018+10.5%+14.8%+20.5%
Q4 2017-14.4%-16.1%-18.2%
Q3 2017+9.9%+7.5%+5.1%
Q2 2017-8.8%-3.8%-4.7%
Q1 2017-15.3%-16.7%-12.5%
Q4 2016-6.9%-3.6%-18.2%
Q3 2016-12.2%
Q2 2016+14.0%
Q1 2016-4.8%
Q4 2015+3.1%
Q3 2015-1.4%
Q2 2015+15.6%
Q1 2015+6.6%
Q4 2012-4.6%
Q4 2014-4.6%
Q3 2014+3.4%
Q2 2014+3.4%
Q1 2014-2.7%
Q4 2013+0.8%
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2012
Q4 2011

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