NYSE$COTY

Coty Inc · Q2 2021 earnings

Q2 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Maintained momentum with continued improvement in profit and net debt reduction, and revenues in line.

Coty Inc. reported continued improvement in financial results for the second quarter of fiscal year 2021, ended December 31, 2020. Adjusted operating income increased by 7% versus last year, and Financial Net Debt fell to approximately $4.8 billion.

  • 2Q21 net revenue trends show moderate sequential improvement, despite resurgence of COVID and related lockdowns, with Continuing Operations net revenues declining 16% as reported and 18% LFL
  • Solid growth in 2Q21 Continuing Operations adjusted operating income of $188.4 million, up 7% YoY, with 280 bps of margin expansion to 13.3%
  • Strong 2Q21 free cash flow of $389.4 million was ahead of internal expectations, driven primarily by solid profit growth
  • Financial Net Debt better than expected at $4,842.6 million, supported by the proceeds from the Wella transaction and strong free cash flow, partially offset by negative FX impact. Economic Net Debt now $3,656.1 at quarter end.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.42B

Previous: $2.35B-39.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.12

Previous: $0.27-55.6%
Free Cash Flow

$389M

Previous: $364M+7.1%
Net Income

-$252M

Previous: -$21.1M-1095.7%
Operating Income

$17M

Previous: $35.4M-52.0%
Gross Profit

$832M

Previous: $1.49B-44.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$549M

Previous: $289M+90.1%
Total Assets

$14.2B

Previous: $17.4B-18.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$15.3M

Previous: $10.3M+48.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Coty · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.42B

Q2 2021-39.6%vs Q2 2020
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Coty · $1.64B total across 2 segments · Q1 2024

  • Prestige
    $1.06B+23.3%
  • Consumer Beauty
    $577M+9.5%

Forward guidance

Despite continued disruptions to sales channels and short-term orders related to the COVID-19 pandemic, we remain focused on our strategic priorities and the improvement of our sell-out trends, and will start raising our commercial investments to fuel improvements ahead of FY22. This is made possible by the decrease of our fixed costs, which we expect to reach approximately $300M for this fiscal year and will contribute to an expected adjusted EBITDA of $750M for FY21. With a financial net debt that has now crossed below $5B, we will continue to drive our leverage ratio towards 5x by the end of CY21, in line with our prior guidance.

Tailwinds

  • Strategic priorities focused on improving sell-out trends.
  • Commercial investments will increase to fuel improvements ahead of FY22.
  • Fixed costs are expected to decrease by approximately $300M for this fiscal year.
  • Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be $750M for FY21.
  • Leverage ratio will continue to be driven towards 5x by the end of CY21.

Headwinds

  • Continued disruptions to sales channels.
  • Short-term orders related to the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • Uncertainty of the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • Potential future impacts to financial results.
  • Dependence on strategic priorities to improve sell-out trends.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2021

Historical avgQ2 2021

+0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.8%

Avg return

30 days after

44%

23 / 52 earnings

Positive

+36.8%

Q2 2019

Best reaction

-25.8%

Q1 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026+3.9%-9.4%-23.4%
Q2 2026-14.5%-19.7%-24.8%
Q1 2026-0.8%-5.6%-8.7%
Q3 2025-11.6%-3.1%-2.9%
Q2 2025-9.3%-17.6%-19.8%
Q1 2025-3.8%-2.4%+0.9%
Q4 2024+6.1%+4.3%-1.7%
Q3 2024-4.3%-3.7%-12.8%
Q2 2024-3.2%-3.6%+3.7%
Q1 2024+1.8%-0.6%+18.4%
Q4 2023+2.6%+0.5%+11.9%
Q3 2023-3.7%-7.3%-2.6%
Q2 2023-0.2%+7.9%+3.6%
Q1 2023-5.2%+11.2%+14.9%
Q4 2022+7.4%+5.7%-0.1%
Q3 2022-13.3%-9.6%-1.1%
Q2 2022+12.2%+8.6%-5.6%
Q1 2022+16.4%+16.4%+10.5%
Q4 2021+15.6%+18.7%-2.7%
Q3 2021-10.9%-13.4%-14.9%
Q2 2021-17.3%-14.6%+11.5%
Q1 2021+33.2%+38.6%+132.0%
Q4 2020-3.6%-6.8%-29.9%
Q3 2020-16.7%-36.7%-0.8%
Q2 2020+13.6%+12.5%-19.2%
Q1 2020+13.4%+8.4%+3.6%
Q4 2019+6.2%+8.5%+19.7%
Q3 2019-5.6%-4.2%+10.4%
Q2 2019+36.8%+58.2%+55.8%
Q1 2019-25.8%-22.6%-32.9%
Q4 2018-5.5%-3.4%+4.9%
Q3 2018-8.8%-11.0%-12.6%
Q2 2018+13.6%+17.6%+11.0%
Q1 2018+10.5%+14.8%+20.5%
Q4 2017-14.4%-16.1%-18.2%
Q3 2017+9.9%+7.5%+5.1%
Q2 2017-8.8%-3.8%-4.7%
Q1 2017-15.3%-16.7%-12.5%
Q4 2016-6.9%-3.6%-18.2%
Q3 2016-12.2%
Q2 2016+14.0%
Q1 2016-4.8%
Q4 2015+3.1%
Q3 2015-1.4%
Q2 2015+15.6%
Q1 2015+6.6%
Q4 2012-4.6%
Q4 2014-4.6%
Q3 2014+3.4%
Q2 2014+3.4%
Q1 2014-2.7%
Q4 2013+0.8%
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2012
Q4 2011

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