NYSE$COTY

Coty Inc · Q3 2021 earnings

Q3 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Coty's financial results improved with recovery across operations, driven by growth in prestige brands and Asia Pacific, gross margin expansion, and cost reductions.

Coty Inc. reported a 3% revenue decline in Q3 2021, but saw significant improvements in profitability with adjusted EBITDA of $183.2 million and gross margin expansion of 450 bps. The company is executing its strategic plan, with early results in market share gains and strong growth in e-commerce and key markets like China and the U.S.

  • Revenues declined by 3% (5.5% LFL), impacted by COVID-19 in Europe, but buoyed by +20% LFL growth in Asia Pacific and 30% growth in e-commerce.
  • Prestige sales grew by 2% LFL, with brands like Gucci, Burberry, and Marc Jacobs showing double-digit growth.
  • Adjusted EBITDA reached $183.2 million, with a 17.8% margin, driven by gross margin expansion and $110 million in cost savings for the quarter.
  • CoverGirl gained market share, marking the first gain in over 4 years, while mass beauty retail sell-out returned to growth in March.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.03B

Previous: $1.53B-32.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.02

Previous: -$0.08+125.5%
Gross Margin

61.9%

Previous: 59.6%+3.9%
Operating Margin

-0.1%

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

-$218M

Previous: -$319M+31.5%
Net Debt

$5.11B

Previous: $8.15B-37.3%
Net Income

$15.6M

Previous: -$272M+105.7%
Operating Income

-$1.4M

Previous: -$259M+99.5%
Gross Profit

$636M

Previous: $911M-30.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$315M

Previous: $1.28B-75.3%
Total Assets

$13.6B

Previous: $18.3B-25.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$6.6M

Previous: $1.6M+312.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Coty · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.03B

Q3 2021-32.7%vs Q3 2020
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Coty · $1.03B total across 2 segments · Q3 2021

  • Prestige
    $601M
  • Consumer Beauty
    $427M

Forward guidance

Coty expects to end the year with net revenues of $4.5 billion to $4.6 billion and is reaffirming its target for adjusted EBITDA of $750 million in FY21. The Company plans to continue to lower its leverage ratio towards 5x by the end of CY21.

Tailwinds

  • Strengthened profitability
  • Increase commercial investments in Q4
  • Continued reduction of costs, with cost reductions on track to reach approximately $300 million in FY21
  • Total targeted savings of $600 million through FY23
  • Plans to continue to lower its leverage ratio towards 5x by the end of CY21

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2021

Historical avgQ3 2021

+0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.8%

Avg return

30 days after

44%

23 / 52 earnings

Positive

+36.8%

Q2 2019

Best reaction

-25.8%

Q1 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026+3.9%-9.4%-23.4%
Q2 2026-14.5%-19.7%-24.8%
Q1 2026-0.8%-5.6%-8.7%
Q3 2025-11.6%-3.1%-2.9%
Q2 2025-9.3%-17.6%-19.8%
Q1 2025-3.8%-2.4%+0.9%
Q4 2024+6.1%+4.3%-1.7%
Q3 2024-4.3%-3.7%-12.8%
Q2 2024-3.2%-3.6%+3.7%
Q1 2024+1.8%-0.6%+18.4%
Q4 2023+2.6%+0.5%+11.9%
Q3 2023-3.7%-7.3%-2.6%
Q2 2023-0.2%+7.9%+3.6%
Q1 2023-5.2%+11.2%+14.9%
Q4 2022+7.4%+5.7%-0.1%
Q3 2022-13.3%-9.6%-1.1%
Q2 2022+12.2%+8.6%-5.6%
Q1 2022+16.4%+16.4%+10.5%
Q4 2021+15.6%+18.7%-2.7%
Q3 2021-10.9%-13.4%-14.9%
Q2 2021-17.3%-14.6%+11.5%
Q1 2021+33.2%+38.6%+132.0%
Q4 2020-3.6%-6.8%-29.9%
Q3 2020-16.7%-36.7%-0.8%
Q2 2020+13.6%+12.5%-19.2%
Q1 2020+13.4%+8.4%+3.6%
Q4 2019+6.2%+8.5%+19.7%
Q3 2019-5.6%-4.2%+10.4%
Q2 2019+36.8%+58.2%+55.8%
Q1 2019-25.8%-22.6%-32.9%
Q4 2018-5.5%-3.4%+4.9%
Q3 2018-8.8%-11.0%-12.6%
Q2 2018+13.6%+17.6%+11.0%
Q1 2018+10.5%+14.8%+20.5%
Q4 2017-14.4%-16.1%-18.2%
Q3 2017+9.9%+7.5%+5.1%
Q2 2017-8.8%-3.8%-4.7%
Q1 2017-15.3%-16.7%-12.5%
Q4 2016-6.9%-3.6%-18.2%
Q3 2016-12.2%
Q2 2016+14.0%
Q1 2016-4.8%
Q4 2015+3.1%
Q3 2015-1.4%
Q2 2015+15.6%
Q1 2015+6.6%
Q4 2012-4.6%
Q4 2014-4.6%
Q3 2014+3.4%
Q2 2014+3.4%
Q1 2014-2.7%
Q4 2013+0.8%
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2012
Q4 2011

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