NYSE$AMRC

Ameresco Inc · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Ameresco's first quarter revenue was ahead and profits were in line with guidance, with total backlog increasing 13% sequentially.

Ameresco reported first quarter results in line with expectations, with revenue of $271.0 million, GAAP EPS of $0.02, and Non-GAAP EPS of $0.03. The company's total project backlog increased by 13% sequentially, driven by $472 million in new awards.

  • Revenues of $271.0 million
  • Net income attributable to common shareholders of $1.1 million
  • GAAP EPS of $0.02
  • Non-GAAP EPS of $0.03

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$271M

Previous: $474M-42.8%
EPS (adj)

$0.03

Previous: $0.36-91.7%
Awarded Project Backlog

$1.96B

Previous: $1.75B+12.0%
Total Project Backlog

$2.97B

Previous: $3.1B-4.0%
O&M Revenue Backlog

$1.22B

Previous: $1.21B+0.2%
Capital Expenditures

-$1.66M

Previous: -$889K-86.4%
Free Cash Flow

-$555K

Previous: $16.5M-103.4%
Net Income

$1.1M

Previous: $17.4M-93.7%
Operating Income

$9.1M

Previous: $28.7M-68.3%
Gross Profit

$49.9M

Previous: $68.4M-27.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$179M

Previous: $68.3M+162.0%
Total Assets

$2.97B

Previous: $2.53B+17.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$4.04M

Previous: $3.53M+14.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Ameresco · Revenue · Quarterly

$271M

Q1 2023-42.8%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Ameresco · $271M total across 4 segments · Q1 2023

  • Projects
    $183M-53.4%
  • Energy Assets
    $40.8M+6.3%
  • Other
    $24.8M+13.2%
  • O&M
    $22.3M+9.9%

Forward guidance

Ameresco anticipates adjusted EBITDA growth of 5% at the midpoint for 2023. Second quarter revenue is estimated to be in the range of $280 million to $300 million, adjusted EBITDA between $30 million to $40 million, and Adjusted EPS between $0.10 to $0.20.

Tailwinds

  • Expect to place between 80 and 100 MWe of energy assets in service in 2023 including three RNG plants.
  • Several additional RNG assets are in the late stages of development, and we expect that 4 or 5 of these will come online during 2024.
  • Our planned Capex for 2023 is $325 million to $375 million, the majority of which is expected to be funded with non-recourse debt.
  • The incentives associated with the IRA are expected to drive significant new customer investment over the coming years.
  • Secular growth drivers, together with the breadth of our technological expertise and our international expansion plans underpin our 2024 Adjusted EBITDA target of $300 million

Headwinds

  • Second quarter revenue, adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted EPS to be in the range of $280 million to $300 million, $30 million to $40 million and $0.10 to $0.20, respectively.
  • The Company’s guidance excludes the impact of any redeemable non-controlling interest activity related to tax-equity partnerships, one-time charges, asset impairment charges, changes in contingent consideration, restructuring activities, as well as any related tax impact.
  • The macroeconomic environment is uncertain.
  • Global supply chain challenges and inflationary pressures may impact results.
  • Weather related events and climate change may impact our business.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

+1.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+7.3%

Avg return

30 days after

57%

37 / 65 earnings

Positive

+28.1%

Q3 2018

Best reaction

-35.6%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.3%-4.5%+6.0%
Q4 2025-9.9%-17.0%-20.5%
Q3 2025-10.2%-11.8%-14.8%
Q1 2025+11.4%+14.9%+27.7%
Q4 2024-35.6%-45.8%-32.6%
Q3 2024-17.6%-17.7%-13.6%
Q2 2024+4.8%-2.5%+6.9%
Q1 2024+18.7%+21.7%+56.5%
Q4 2023+3.0%-11.0%+18.6%
Q3 2023-24.0%-25.2%+1.4%
Q2 2023-8.3%-12.9%-24.5%
Q1 2023+7.9%+3.4%+3.6%
Q4 2022-12.5%-9.0%-8.7%
Q3 2022-14.0%-12.5%+8.1%
Q2 2022+11.8%+15.2%+20.3%
Q1 2022+15.6%+11.5%+15.5%
Q4 2021+9.9%+8.2%+39.7%
Q3 2021+13.9%+18.7%+7.0%
Q2 2021-9.5%-5.7%+1.6%
Q1 2021-4.8%+3.2%+7.5%
Q4 2020-0.7%-24.7%-14.9%
Q3 2020+13.3%+12.0%+15.8%
Q2 2020+11.5%+9.6%+13.2%
Q1 2020+12.4%+14.9%+31.0%
Q4 2019-0.2%-4.7%-29.2%
Q3 2019+1.6%+2.5%+6.7%
Q2 2019+8.8%+7.5%+6.3%
Q1 2019-9.3%-8.5%-9.1%
Q4 2018-1.1%-10.0%-8.4%
Q3 2018+28.1%+22.6%+23.7%
Q2 2018+0.3%-1.4%-4.2%
Q1 2018-4.6%-3.4%+0.8%
Q4 2017+19.2%+28.7%+55.1%
Q3 2017+1.9%+0.6%+9.0%
Q2 2017+9.6%+12.0%+16.0%
Q1 2017+2.3%+7.0%+6.3%
Q4 2016+15.4%+14.4%+26.0%
Q3 2016+11.5%+3.1%+25.0%
Q2 2016+3.0%+4.7%+8.3%
Q1 2016+14.5%
Q4 2015-16.6%
Q3 2015+0.9%
Q2 2015+3.8%
Q1 2015-1.1%
Q4 2014+11.7%
Q3 2014-2.3%
Q2 2014+12.4%
Q1 2014-5.7%
Q4 2013-23.9%
Q3 2013-12.8%
Q2 2013-5.8%
Q1 2013+0.0%
Q4 2012-6.9%
Q3 2012-1.3%
Q2 2012-3.4%
Q1 2011-0.2%
Q1 2012-3.1%
Q4 2011+5.5%
Q2 2011+5.5%
Q4 2009+5.5%
Q3 2011+1.1%
Q3 2010+1.1%
Q1 2010+9.2%
Q2 2010+9.2%
Q4 2010+9.2%

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