NYSE$AMRC

Ameresco Inc · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported record revenue and profits, driven by strength in Federal Projects Group and growth in Energy Asset and O&M recurring revenue businesses.

Ameresco reported a 3% increase in revenue to $314.3 million and a net income of $23.5 million for the fourth quarter of 2020. The company's performance was driven by continued strength in the Federal Solutions Group and growth in recurring revenue businesses.

  • Revenues increased 3% to $314.3 million.
  • Net income attributable to common shareholders increased to $23.5 million.
  • GAAP EPS increased to $0.47.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased 21% to $35.7 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$314M

Previous: $307M+2.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.47

Previous: $0.46+2.2%
Capital Expenditures

$243K

Previous: $486K-50.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$19M

Previous: -$76.1M+75.0%
Net Income

$23.5M

Previous: $20.6M+14.1%
Operating Income

$24.6M

Previous: $18.5M+32.5%
Gross Profit

$58.2M

Previous: $47.7M+22.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$66.4M

Previous: $33.2M+99.9%
Total Assets

$1.75B

Previous: $1.37B+27.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$553K

Previous: $425K+30.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Ameresco · Revenue · Quarterly

$314M

Q4 2020+2.5%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 13 of 16 quarters(81%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Ameresco · $335M total across 4 segments · Q3 2023

  • Projects
    $243M-31.0%
  • Energy Assets
    $44.3M+6.2%
  • Other
    $25.4M-3.1%
  • O&M
    $22.8M+4.1%

Forward guidance

Ameresco expects revenues in the range of $1.1 billion to $1.15 billion and Adjusted EBITDA of $135 million to $145 million for 2021. Non-GAAP EPS is expected to range from $1.18 to $1.26.

Tailwinds

  • Revenues in the range of $1.1 billion to $1.15 billion.
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $135 million to $145 million.
  • Non-GAAP EPS to range from $1.18 to $1.26.
  • Commissioning between 60 to 80 MWe of energy assets.
  • Substantial growth opportunities with the focus on low to no carbon energy solutions.

Headwinds

  • Long-term budgetary impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • Uncertainties with respect to the impact of accounting for redeemable non-controlling interests and taxes.
  • Potential adverse effect of the current pandemic of the novel coronavirus, or COVID-19, on our financial condition.
  • Dependence on future developments which are highly uncertain and cannot be predicted with confidence, including the scope, severity and duration of the pandemic.
  • Actions taken to contain the pandemic or mitigate its impact, and the direct and indirect economic effects of the pandemic and containment measures.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

+1.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+7.3%

Avg return

30 days after

57%

37 / 65 earnings

Positive

+28.1%

Q3 2018

Best reaction

-35.6%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.3%-4.5%+6.0%
Q4 2025-9.9%-17.0%-20.5%
Q3 2025-10.2%-11.8%-14.8%
Q1 2025+11.4%+14.9%+27.7%
Q4 2024-35.6%-45.8%-32.6%
Q3 2024-17.6%-17.7%-13.6%
Q2 2024+4.8%-2.5%+6.9%
Q1 2024+18.7%+21.7%+56.5%
Q4 2023+3.0%-11.0%+18.6%
Q3 2023-24.0%-25.2%+1.4%
Q2 2023-8.3%-12.9%-24.5%
Q1 2023+7.9%+3.4%+3.6%
Q4 2022-12.5%-9.0%-8.7%
Q3 2022-14.0%-12.5%+8.1%
Q2 2022+11.8%+15.2%+20.3%
Q1 2022+15.6%+11.5%+15.5%
Q4 2021+9.9%+8.2%+39.7%
Q3 2021+13.9%+18.7%+7.0%
Q2 2021-9.5%-5.7%+1.6%
Q1 2021-4.8%+3.2%+7.5%
Q4 2020-0.7%-24.7%-14.9%
Q3 2020+13.3%+12.0%+15.8%
Q2 2020+11.5%+9.6%+13.2%
Q1 2020+12.4%+14.9%+31.0%
Q4 2019-0.2%-4.7%-29.2%
Q3 2019+1.6%+2.5%+6.7%
Q2 2019+8.8%+7.5%+6.3%
Q1 2019-9.3%-8.5%-9.1%
Q4 2018-1.1%-10.0%-8.4%
Q3 2018+28.1%+22.6%+23.7%
Q2 2018+0.3%-1.4%-4.2%
Q1 2018-4.6%-3.4%+0.8%
Q4 2017+19.2%+28.7%+55.1%
Q3 2017+1.9%+0.6%+9.0%
Q2 2017+9.6%+12.0%+16.0%
Q1 2017+2.3%+7.0%+6.3%
Q4 2016+15.4%+14.4%+26.0%
Q3 2016+11.5%+3.1%+25.0%
Q2 2016+3.0%+4.7%+8.3%
Q1 2016+14.5%
Q4 2015-16.6%
Q3 2015+0.9%
Q2 2015+3.8%
Q1 2015-1.1%
Q4 2014+11.7%
Q3 2014-2.3%
Q2 2014+12.4%
Q1 2014-5.7%
Q4 2013-23.9%
Q3 2013-12.8%
Q2 2013-5.8%
Q1 2013+0.0%
Q4 2012-6.9%
Q3 2012-1.3%
Q2 2012-3.4%
Q1 2011-0.2%
Q1 2012-3.1%
Q4 2011+5.5%
Q2 2011+5.5%
Q4 2009+5.5%
Q3 2011+1.1%
Q3 2010+1.1%
Q1 2010+9.2%
Q2 2010+9.2%
Q4 2010+9.2%

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