NYSE$AMRC

Ameresco Inc · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Ameresco experienced strong growth driven by advanced technology platform

Ameresco reported strong Q4 and full year 2019 financial results, with revenues up 41% in Q4. Contracted backlog increased 52% to a record $1.1 billion at year-end, and energy assets in development increased by 80% to 321 MWe.

  • Revenues were $306.6 million, compared to $217.4 million last year.
  • Net income attributable to common shareholders was $22.2 million, compared to $11.6 million.
  • Non-GAAP EPS was $0.46 compared to $0.23.
  • Contracted backlog increased 52% to a record $1.1 billion at year-end.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$307M

Previous: $217M+41.1%
EPS (adj)

$0.46

Previous: $0.23+100.0%
Contracted Project Backlog

$1.1B

Previous: $727M+51.4%
Total Project Backlog

$2.3B

Previous: $1.97B+16.9%
Capital Expenditures

$486K

Previous: $982K-50.5%
Free Cash Flow

-$76.1M

Previous: -$22.1M-243.5%
Net Income

$20.6M

Previous: $11.6M+77.6%
Operating Income

$18.5M

Previous: $19.6M-5.2%
Gross Profit

$47.7M

Previous: $49.2M-3.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$33.2M

Previous: $61.4M-45.9%
Total Assets

$1.37B

Previous: $1.16B+18.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$425K

Previous: $121K+251.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Ameresco · Revenue · Quarterly

$307M

Q4 2019+41.1%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Ameresco · $335M total across 4 segments · Q3 2023

  • Projects
    $243M-31.0%
  • Energy Assets
    $44.3M+6.2%
  • Other
    $25.4M-3.1%
  • O&M
    $22.8M+4.1%

Forward guidance

For the full year 2020, Ameresco expects to generate total revenue in the range of $910 million to $980 million, and non-GAAP EPS is expected to be in the range of $0.86 to $0.96.

Tailwinds

  • Total revenue in the range of $910 million to $980 million, representing 9.0% year-on-year growth at the midpoint
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $102 million to $112 million, representing 17.5% growth at the midpoint.
  • Non-GAAP EPS is expected to be in the range of $0.86 to $0.96, representing 10% year-on-year growth at the midpoint.
  • Visibility in contracted backlog entering 2020 demonstrates that several large projects will contribute to strong revenue growth.
  • Gross profit will grow at a higher rate than operating expenses, reflecting cost control and increased operating leverage.

Headwinds

  • Expect to see slightly lower gross margins in 2020 versus recent years based on the mix of projects.
  • Guidance excludes the impact of any non-controlling interest activity.
  • Guidance excludes any additional charges relating to the company’s restructuring activities.
  • Guidance excludes any related tax impact.
  • Market conditions remain strong, as governments and corporations across the country continue to demand clean and resilient energy sources.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

+1.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+7.3%

Avg return

30 days after

57%

37 / 65 earnings

Positive

+28.1%

Q3 2018

Best reaction

-35.6%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.3%-4.5%+6.0%
Q4 2025-9.9%-17.0%-20.5%
Q3 2025-10.2%-11.8%-14.8%
Q1 2025+11.4%+14.9%+27.7%
Q4 2024-35.6%-45.8%-32.6%
Q3 2024-17.6%-17.7%-13.6%
Q2 2024+4.8%-2.5%+6.9%
Q1 2024+18.7%+21.7%+56.5%
Q4 2023+3.0%-11.0%+18.6%
Q3 2023-24.0%-25.2%+1.4%
Q2 2023-8.3%-12.9%-24.5%
Q1 2023+7.9%+3.4%+3.6%
Q4 2022-12.5%-9.0%-8.7%
Q3 2022-14.0%-12.5%+8.1%
Q2 2022+11.8%+15.2%+20.3%
Q1 2022+15.6%+11.5%+15.5%
Q4 2021+9.9%+8.2%+39.7%
Q3 2021+13.9%+18.7%+7.0%
Q2 2021-9.5%-5.7%+1.6%
Q1 2021-4.8%+3.2%+7.5%
Q4 2020-0.7%-24.7%-14.9%
Q3 2020+13.3%+12.0%+15.8%
Q2 2020+11.5%+9.6%+13.2%
Q1 2020+12.4%+14.9%+31.0%
Q4 2019-0.2%-4.7%-29.2%
Q3 2019+1.6%+2.5%+6.7%
Q2 2019+8.8%+7.5%+6.3%
Q1 2019-9.3%-8.5%-9.1%
Q4 2018-1.1%-10.0%-8.4%
Q3 2018+28.1%+22.6%+23.7%
Q2 2018+0.3%-1.4%-4.2%
Q1 2018-4.6%-3.4%+0.8%
Q4 2017+19.2%+28.7%+55.1%
Q3 2017+1.9%+0.6%+9.0%
Q2 2017+9.6%+12.0%+16.0%
Q1 2017+2.3%+7.0%+6.3%
Q4 2016+15.4%+14.4%+26.0%
Q3 2016+11.5%+3.1%+25.0%
Q2 2016+3.0%+4.7%+8.3%
Q1 2016+14.5%
Q4 2015-16.6%
Q3 2015+0.9%
Q2 2015+3.8%
Q1 2015-1.1%
Q4 2014+11.7%
Q3 2014-2.3%
Q2 2014+12.4%
Q1 2014-5.7%
Q4 2013-23.9%
Q3 2013-12.8%
Q2 2013-5.8%
Q1 2013+0.0%
Q4 2012-6.9%
Q3 2012-1.3%
Q2 2012-3.4%
Q1 2011-0.2%
Q1 2012-3.1%
Q4 2011+5.5%
Q2 2011+5.5%
Q4 2009+5.5%
Q3 2011+1.1%
Q3 2010+1.1%
Q1 2010+9.2%
Q2 2010+9.2%
Q4 2010+9.2%

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