NYSE$AMRC

Ameresco Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Demonstrated strong revenue and profit growth driven by project backlog conversion.

Ameresco reported strong Q4 2023 results with a 33% increase in revenue and a record project backlog of $3.9 billion. The company's strategic focus on project execution and expansion in the UK and Europe contributed to the positive momentum.

  • Total revenue increased by 33% to $441.4 million.
  • Net income attributable to common shareholders was $33.7 million.
  • GAAP EPS reached $0.64, while non-GAAP EPS was $0.69.
  • Total project backlog grew to a record $3.9 billion.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$441M

Previous: $332M+33.1%
EPS (adj)

$0.69

Previous: $0.35+97.1%
Capital Expenditures

-$93.6M

Previous: $1.32M-7218.3%
Net Income

$33.7M

Previous: $18.6M+80.8%
Operating Income

$34.1M

Previous: $22.3M+52.7%
Gross Profit

$74.2M

Previous: $61.6M+20.4%
Stock-Based Comp

-$2M

Previous: $4.21M-147.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Ameresco · Revenue · Quarterly

$441M

Q4 2023+33.1%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Ameresco · $335M total across 4 segments · Q3 2023

  • Projects
    $243M-31.0%
  • Energy Assets
    $44.3M+6.2%
  • Other
    $25.4M-3.1%
  • O&M
    $22.8M+4.1%

Forward guidance

Ameresco anticipates continued growth in 2024, projecting revenue between $1.60 billion and $1.70 billion, and adjusted EBITDA between $210 million and $240 million. The company expects to place approximately 200 MWe of energy assets in service during the year.

Tailwinds

  • Expected revenue growth of 20% at the midpoint.
  • Anticipated Adjusted EBITDA growth of 38% at the midpoint.
  • Likely net tax benefit from clean energy tax incentives.
  • Plan to place approximately 200 MWe of energy assets in service.
  • Majority of capex for 2024 expected to be funded with project financing.

Headwinds

  • First quarter of fiscal 2024 expected revenues of $225 million to $275 million
  • First quarter of fiscal 2024 adjusted EBITDA of $20 million to $30 million
  • First quarter of fiscal 2024 with negative non-GAAP EPS.
  • Construction activities and preparation for commissioning have begun for the third project, which was significantly impacted by the heavy rainfall in California in 2023.
  • This last site is expected to reach substantial completion in the summer of 2024.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+1.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+7.3%

Avg return

30 days after

57%

37 / 65 earnings

Positive

+28.1%

Q3 2018

Best reaction

-35.6%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.3%-4.5%+6.0%
Q4 2025-9.9%-17.0%-20.5%
Q3 2025-10.2%-11.8%-14.8%
Q1 2025+11.4%+14.9%+27.7%
Q4 2024-35.6%-45.8%-32.6%
Q3 2024-17.6%-17.7%-13.6%
Q2 2024+4.8%-2.5%+6.9%
Q1 2024+18.7%+21.7%+56.5%
Q4 2023+3.0%-11.0%+18.6%
Q3 2023-24.0%-25.2%+1.4%
Q2 2023-8.3%-12.9%-24.5%
Q1 2023+7.9%+3.4%+3.6%
Q4 2022-12.5%-9.0%-8.7%
Q3 2022-14.0%-12.5%+8.1%
Q2 2022+11.8%+15.2%+20.3%
Q1 2022+15.6%+11.5%+15.5%
Q4 2021+9.9%+8.2%+39.7%
Q3 2021+13.9%+18.7%+7.0%
Q2 2021-9.5%-5.7%+1.6%
Q1 2021-4.8%+3.2%+7.5%
Q4 2020-0.7%-24.7%-14.9%
Q3 2020+13.3%+12.0%+15.8%
Q2 2020+11.5%+9.6%+13.2%
Q1 2020+12.4%+14.9%+31.0%
Q4 2019-0.2%-4.7%-29.2%
Q3 2019+1.6%+2.5%+6.7%
Q2 2019+8.8%+7.5%+6.3%
Q1 2019-9.3%-8.5%-9.1%
Q4 2018-1.1%-10.0%-8.4%
Q3 2018+28.1%+22.6%+23.7%
Q2 2018+0.3%-1.4%-4.2%
Q1 2018-4.6%-3.4%+0.8%
Q4 2017+19.2%+28.7%+55.1%
Q3 2017+1.9%+0.6%+9.0%
Q2 2017+9.6%+12.0%+16.0%
Q1 2017+2.3%+7.0%+6.3%
Q4 2016+15.4%+14.4%+26.0%
Q3 2016+11.5%+3.1%+25.0%
Q2 2016+3.0%+4.7%+8.3%
Q1 2016+14.5%
Q4 2015-16.6%
Q3 2015+0.9%
Q2 2015+3.8%
Q1 2015-1.1%
Q4 2014+11.7%
Q3 2014-2.3%
Q2 2014+12.4%
Q1 2014-5.7%
Q4 2013-23.9%
Q3 2013-12.8%
Q2 2013-5.8%
Q1 2013+0.0%
Q4 2012-6.9%
Q3 2012-1.3%
Q2 2012-3.4%
Q1 2011-0.2%
Q1 2012-3.1%
Q4 2011+5.5%
Q2 2011+5.5%
Q4 2009+5.5%
Q3 2011+1.1%
Q3 2010+1.1%
Q1 2010+9.2%
Q2 2010+9.2%
Q4 2010+9.2%

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