NYSE$AMRC

Ameresco Inc · Q4 2021 earnings

Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong Q4 performance capping another year of robust growth and profitability.

Ameresco reported a strong fourth quarter and full year 2021, with revenue up 32% and net income attributable to common shareholders up 20% for the quarter. The company's record total backlog and recurring revenue streams provide multi-year revenue visibility of over $5 billion.

  • Revenues of $415.9 million, up 32%.
  • Net income attributable to common shareholders of $28.2 million, up 20%.
  • GAAP EPS of $0.53, up 13%.
  • Non-GAAP EPS of $0.50, up 6%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$416M

Previous: $314M+32.3%
EPS (adj)

$0.50

Previous: $0.47+6.4%
Capital Expenditures

$2.76M

Previous: $243K+1037.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$58.7M

Previous: -$19M-208.4%
Net Income

$29.6M

Previous: $23.5M+25.9%
Operating Income

$32M

Previous: $24.6M+30.4%
Gross Profit

$71.3M

Previous: $58.2M+22.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$50.5M

Previous: $66.4M-24.0%
Total Assets

$2.22B

Previous: $1.75B+26.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$4.44M

Previous: $553K+702.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Ameresco · Revenue · Quarterly

$416M

Q4 2021+32.3%vs Q4 2020
Beat estimate in 13 of 16 quarters(81%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Ameresco · $395M total across 3 segments · Q4 2021

  • Projects
    $333M
  • Energy Assets
    $41.8M
  • Other
    $20.6M

Forward guidance

Ameresco expects another year of strong growth in 2022, with revenues in the range of $1.83 billion to $1.87 billion and Non-GAAP EPS to range from $1.85 to $1.95.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue between $1.83 billion and $1.87 billion.
  • Adjusted EBITDA between $200 million and $210 million.
  • Non-GAAP EPS between $1.85 and $1.95.
  • Placing between 60 and 80 MWe of energy assets in service.
  • Investing approximately $225 million to $275 million in capital.

Headwinds

  • First quarter revenue will be sequentially flat with Q4 2021.
  • Total gross margin at approximately 14.5% for Q1.
  • Revenue from the SCE BESS project is expected to peak during the second quarter.
  • Total gross margin for the second quarter expected to be closer to 14.0%.
  • Third quarter total revenue is expected to look similar to the first quarter.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021

Historical avgQ4 2021

+1.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+7.3%

Avg return

30 days after

57%

37 / 65 earnings

Positive

+28.1%

Q3 2018

Best reaction

-35.6%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.3%-4.5%+6.0%
Q4 2025-9.9%-17.0%-20.5%
Q3 2025-10.2%-11.8%-14.8%
Q1 2025+11.4%+14.9%+27.7%
Q4 2024-35.6%-45.8%-32.6%
Q3 2024-17.6%-17.7%-13.6%
Q2 2024+4.8%-2.5%+6.9%
Q1 2024+18.7%+21.7%+56.5%
Q4 2023+3.0%-11.0%+18.6%
Q3 2023-24.0%-25.2%+1.4%
Q2 2023-8.3%-12.9%-24.5%
Q1 2023+7.9%+3.4%+3.6%
Q4 2022-12.5%-9.0%-8.7%
Q3 2022-14.0%-12.5%+8.1%
Q2 2022+11.8%+15.2%+20.3%
Q1 2022+15.6%+11.5%+15.5%
Q4 2021+9.9%+8.2%+39.7%
Q3 2021+13.9%+18.7%+7.0%
Q2 2021-9.5%-5.7%+1.6%
Q1 2021-4.8%+3.2%+7.5%
Q4 2020-0.7%-24.7%-14.9%
Q3 2020+13.3%+12.0%+15.8%
Q2 2020+11.5%+9.6%+13.2%
Q1 2020+12.4%+14.9%+31.0%
Q4 2019-0.2%-4.7%-29.2%
Q3 2019+1.6%+2.5%+6.7%
Q2 2019+8.8%+7.5%+6.3%
Q1 2019-9.3%-8.5%-9.1%
Q4 2018-1.1%-10.0%-8.4%
Q3 2018+28.1%+22.6%+23.7%
Q2 2018+0.3%-1.4%-4.2%
Q1 2018-4.6%-3.4%+0.8%
Q4 2017+19.2%+28.7%+55.1%
Q3 2017+1.9%+0.6%+9.0%
Q2 2017+9.6%+12.0%+16.0%
Q1 2017+2.3%+7.0%+6.3%
Q4 2016+15.4%+14.4%+26.0%
Q3 2016+11.5%+3.1%+25.0%
Q2 2016+3.0%+4.7%+8.3%
Q1 2016+14.5%
Q4 2015-16.6%
Q3 2015+0.9%
Q2 2015+3.8%
Q1 2015-1.1%
Q4 2014+11.7%
Q3 2014-2.3%
Q2 2014+12.4%
Q1 2014-5.7%
Q4 2013-23.9%
Q3 2013-12.8%
Q2 2013-5.8%
Q1 2013+0.0%
Q4 2012-6.9%
Q3 2012-1.3%
Q2 2012-3.4%
Q1 2011-0.2%
Q1 2012-3.1%
Q4 2011+5.5%
Q2 2011+5.5%
Q4 2009+5.5%
Q3 2011+1.1%
Q3 2010+1.1%
Q1 2010+9.2%
Q2 2010+9.2%
Q4 2010+9.2%

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