NYSE$AMR

Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Alpha Metallurgical reported Q4 2022 financial results, including net income of $220.7 million and adjusted EBITDA of $247.9 million.

Alpha Metallurgical Resources reported net income of $220.7 million, or $13.37 per diluted share, for the fourth quarter of 2022. The company's Adjusted EBITDA was $247.9 million. Despite facing challenges with weaker than expected volumes, the company increased its share repurchase authorization to $1.2 billion and raised its quarterly dividend to $0.44 per share.

  • Net income for the quarter was $220.7 million, or $13.37 per diluted share.
  • Adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter was $247.9 million.
  • Share buyback authorization increased to $1.2 billion.
  • Quarterly dividend increased to $0.44 per share.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$823M

Previous: $828M-0.6%
EPS (adj)

$13.37

Previous: $13.30+0.5%
Met Sales Realization per Ton

$186.29

Previous: $180.66+3.1%
Met Cost per Ton

$112.97

Previous: $92.46+22.2%
Met Tons Sold

3.8M

Previous: 3.784+99154234.0%
Net Income

$221M

Previous: $255M-13.3%
Operating Income

$217M

Previous: $276M-21.5%
Gross Profit

$247M

Previous: $297M-16.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$302M

Previous: $81.2M+271.8%
Total Assets

$2.31B

Previous: $1.86B+24.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.38M

Previous: $964K+250.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Alpha Metallurgical · Revenue · Quarterly

$823M

Q4 2022-0.6%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 6 of 15 quarters(40%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Alpha Metallurgical · $642M total across 2 segments · Q4 2022

  • Export Met Coal
    $472M+35.1%
  • Domestic Met Coal
    $170M+77.9%

Forward guidance

Alpha Metallurgical Resources provided guidance for 2023, including expectations for metallurgical and thermal coal shipments, committed and priced percentages, and costs per ton.

Tailwinds

  • Metallurgical coal shipment guidance between 15.0 and 16.0 million tons.
  • Thermal coal shipment guidance between 1.4 and 1.8 million tons.
  • Met Segment shipment guidance between 16.4 and 17.8 million tons.
  • All Other shipment guidance between 0.3 and 0.6 million tons.
  • Total Shipments guidance between 16.7 and 18.4 million tons.

Headwinds

  • Met Segment costs per ton between $106.00 and $112.00.
  • All Other costs per ton between $87.00 and $93.00.
  • SG&A expenses between $59 million and $65 million.
  • Idle Operations Expense between $21 million and $31 million.
  • Capital Expenditures between $250 million and $280 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

-2.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+7.2%

Avg return

30 days after

38%

14 / 37 earnings

Positive

+26.4%

Q2 2020

Best reaction

-50.4%

Q3 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.8%-7.2%+4.1%
Q4 2025-2.6%+8.7%+32.9%
Q3 2025-1.7%-4.7%+2.9%
Q1 2025-8.5%-1.5%-10.8%
Q4 2024-7.4%-10.5%-14.9%
Q3 2024+2.4%+16.1%+17.9%
Q2 2024-3.6%-0.7%-17.7%
Q1 2024-8.5%-13.7%-6.7%
Q4 2023+12.5%-1.0%-17.1%
Q3 2023-1.6%-7.3%+31.4%
Q2 2023+7.5%+10.4%+28.1%
Q1 2023+8.7%+3.9%+4.6%
Q4 2022-4.4%+2.4%-9.8%
Q3 2022-4.0%-13.1%-8.7%
Q2 2022+1.7%+17.9%+15.5%
Q1 2022+5.8%-10.5%+4.9%
Q4 2021+8.8%+14.3%+3.1%
Q3 2021-1.1%-12.5%-22.9%
Q2 2021+12.1%+21.0%+53.7%
Q1 2021+13.9%+4.2%+67.4%
Q4 2020-26.2%-18.9%-5.9%
Q3 2020+10.5%
Q2 2020+26.4%
Q1 2020-5.1%
Q4 2019-30.0%
Q3 2019-50.4%
Q2 2019-11.1%
Q1 2019-5.4%
Q4 2018-4.5%
Q4 2016+3.5%
Q1 2017+3.5%
Q2 2017-3.7%
Q4 2017-3.7%
Q3 2017-3.7%
Q3 2018-2.8%
Q2 2018+3.5%
Q1 2018-0.8%
Q2 2016
Q1 2016

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