NYSE$AMR

Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc · Q2 2024 earnings

Q2 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Alpha Metallurgical Resources reported second quarter 2024 net income of $58.9 million, generated Adjusted EBITDA of $116.0 million, and increased total liquidity by nearly 25% quarter-over-quarter.

Alpha Metallurgical Resources reported a net income of $58.9 million and Adjusted EBITDA of $116.0 million for the second quarter of 2024. Despite weakening steel demand and geopolitical uncertainty impacting metallurgical coal markets, the company performed well, achieving ambitious shipping milestones, strong production, and safe operations, leading to a nearly 25% increase in total liquidity.

  • Net income for the second quarter was $58.9 million, or $4.49 per diluted share.
  • Adjusted EBITDA reached $116.0 million for the quarter.
  • Total liquidity increased by $68.6 million, representing a nearly 25% quarter-over-quarter rise.
  • The company successfully navigated challenging market conditions, hitting shipping milestones and maintaining safe operations.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$804M

Previous: $858M-6.3%
EPS

$4.49

Previous: $12.16-63.1%
Met Sales Realization per Ton

$141.86

Previous: $172.51-17.8%
Met Cost per Ton

$109.31

Previous: $106.35+2.8%
Met Tons Sold

4.3M

Previous: 4.1M+3.3%
Adjusted EBITDA

$116M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$63.6M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$58.9M

Previous: $181M-67.5%
Net Income

$58.9M

Previous: $181M-67.5%
Operating Income

$70.7M

Previous: $218M-67.6%
Gross Profit

$140M

Previous: $275M-49.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$336M

Previous: $312M+7.6%
Total Assets

$2.49B

Previous: $2.36B+5.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.77M

Previous: $3.65M-24.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Alpha Metallurgical · Revenue · Quarterly

$804M

Q2 2024-6.3%vs Q2 2023
Beat estimate in 6 of 15 quarters(40%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Alpha Metallurgical · $493M total across 2 segments · Q2 2023

  • Export Met Coal
    $271M-35.0%
  • Domestic Met Coal
    $222M+39.2%

Forward guidance

As of July 24, 2024, Alpha Metallurgical Resources has committed and priced approximately 71% of its metallurgical coal for 2024 at an average price of $157.97 per ton and 100% of thermal coal at an average expected price of $75.96 per ton, based on the midpoint of guidance.

Tailwinds

  • 71% of metallurgical coal committed and priced for 2024 at an average price of $157.97 per ton.
  • 100% of thermal coal committed and priced for 2024 at an average expected price of $75.96 per ton.
  • Projected low SG&A expenses between $60 million and $66 million for 2024.
  • Anticipated low idle operations expense between $25 million and $33 million for 2024.
  • Expected net cash interest income between $2 million and $8 million for 2024.

Headwinds

  • Weakening steel demand continues to negatively impact metallurgical coal markets.
  • Significant geopolitical uncertainty contributes to market challenges.
  • Market challenges faced in Q2 have intensified into Q3.
  • Projected higher end of cost per ton for Met Segment at $116.00.
  • Anticipated higher capital expenditures between $210 million and $240 million for 2024.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2024

Historical avgQ2 2024

-2.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+7.4%

Avg return

30 days after

38%

14 / 37 earnings

Positive

+26.4%

Q2 2020

Best reaction

-50.4%

Q3 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.8%-7.2%
Q4 2025-2.6%+8.7%+32.9%
Q3 2025-1.7%-4.7%+2.9%
Q1 2025-8.5%-1.5%-10.8%
Q4 2024-7.4%-10.5%-14.9%
Q3 2024+2.4%+16.1%+17.9%
Q2 2024-3.6%-0.7%-17.7%
Q1 2024-8.5%-13.7%-6.7%
Q4 2023+12.5%-1.0%-17.1%
Q3 2023-1.6%-7.3%+31.4%
Q2 2023+7.5%+10.4%+28.1%
Q1 2023+8.7%+3.9%+4.6%
Q4 2022-4.4%+2.4%-9.8%
Q3 2022-4.0%-13.1%-8.7%
Q2 2022+1.7%+17.9%+15.5%
Q1 2022+5.8%-10.5%+4.9%
Q4 2021+8.8%+14.3%+3.1%
Q3 2021-1.1%-12.5%-22.9%
Q2 2021+12.1%+21.0%+53.7%
Q1 2021+13.9%+4.2%+67.4%
Q4 2020-26.2%-18.9%-5.9%
Q3 2020+10.5%
Q2 2020+26.4%
Q1 2020-5.1%
Q4 2019-30.0%
Q3 2019-50.4%
Q2 2019-11.1%
Q1 2019-5.4%
Q4 2018-4.5%
Q4 2016+3.5%
Q1 2017+3.5%
Q2 2017-3.7%
Q4 2017-3.7%
Q3 2017-3.7%
Q3 2018-2.8%
Q2 2018+3.5%
Q1 2018-0.8%
Q2 2016
Q1 2016

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