NYSE$AMR

Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc · Q1 2022 earnings

Q1 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported a strong first quarter with significant net income and adjusted EBITDA.

Alpha Metallurgical Resources reported a net income of $401.0 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $503.8 million for the first quarter of 2022. The company continues to aggressively prepay debt and has increased its share repurchase program authorization to $600 million. They also announced a $1.50 per share annual cash dividend to be paid quarterly.

  • Net income from continuing operations was $401.0 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA reached $503.8 million.
  • Aggressive debt prepayment continued, with term loan borrowings reduced to just under $100 million.
  • Share repurchase program authorization increased to $600 million and a $1.50 per share annual cash dividend was announced.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.07B

Previous: $386M+177.5%
EPS (adj)

$20.52

Previous: -$1.78+1252.8%
Met Sales Realization per Ton

$240.82

Previous: $82.00+193.7%
Met Cost per Ton

$103.61

Previous: $71.72+44.5%
Met Tons Sold

3.8M

Previous: 3.7M+3.4%
Free Cash Flow

$401M

Previous: -$32.9M+1317.5%
Net Income

$401M

Previous: -$32.9M+1317.5%
Operating Income

$453M

Previous: -$16.5M+2845.7%
Gross Profit

$517M

Previous: $38.8M+1230.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$159M

Previous: $92.2M+72.9%
Total Assets

$2.11B

Previous: $1.67B+26.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.18M

Previous: $2.18M-45.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Alpha Metallurgical · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.07B

Q1 2022+177.5%vs Q1 2021
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Alpha Metallurgical · $516M total across 2 segments · Q1 2022

  • Export Met Coal
    $359M-0.2%
  • Domestic Met Coal
    $157M

Forward guidance

Alpha Metallurgical Resources adjusted its full-year guidance for metallurgical cost of coal sales per ton and cash interest expense.

Tailwinds

  • Metallurgical coal production between 14.0 and 15.0 million tons.
  • Thermal coal production between 0.8 and 1.2 million tons.
  • Met Segment production between 14.8 and 16.2 million tons.
  • All Other production between 0.6 and 0.8 million tons.
  • Total Shipments between 15.4 and 17.0 million tons.

Headwinds

  • Met segment cost of coal sales are now expected to be between $101.00 per ton and $107.00 per ton for the full year, up from the prior guidance range of $88.00 per ton to $92.00 per ton.
  • Cost of coal sales for the All Other category are expected to remain unchanged in the range of $58.00 per ton to $62.00 per ton.
  • SG&A expenses between $50 and $54 million.
  • Idle Operations Expense between $30 and $40 million.
  • Capital Expenditures between $160 and $190 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2022

Historical avgQ1 2022

-2.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+7.2%

Avg return

30 days after

38%

14 / 37 earnings

Positive

+26.4%

Q2 2020

Best reaction

-50.4%

Q3 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.8%-7.2%+4.1%
Q4 2025-2.6%+8.7%+32.9%
Q3 2025-1.7%-4.7%+2.9%
Q1 2025-8.5%-1.5%-10.8%
Q4 2024-7.4%-10.5%-14.9%
Q3 2024+2.4%+16.1%+17.9%
Q2 2024-3.6%-0.7%-17.7%
Q1 2024-8.5%-13.7%-6.7%
Q4 2023+12.5%-1.0%-17.1%
Q3 2023-1.6%-7.3%+31.4%
Q2 2023+7.5%+10.4%+28.1%
Q1 2023+8.7%+3.9%+4.6%
Q4 2022-4.4%+2.4%-9.8%
Q3 2022-4.0%-13.1%-8.7%
Q2 2022+1.7%+17.9%+15.5%
Q1 2022+5.8%-10.5%+4.9%
Q4 2021+8.8%+14.3%+3.1%
Q3 2021-1.1%-12.5%-22.9%
Q2 2021+12.1%+21.0%+53.7%
Q1 2021+13.9%+4.2%+67.4%
Q4 2020-26.2%-18.9%-5.9%
Q3 2020+10.5%
Q2 2020+26.4%
Q1 2020-5.1%
Q4 2019-30.0%
Q3 2019-50.4%
Q2 2019-11.1%
Q1 2019-5.4%
Q4 2018-4.5%
Q4 2016+3.5%
Q1 2017+3.5%
Q2 2017-3.7%
Q4 2017-3.7%
Q3 2017-3.7%
Q3 2018-2.8%
Q2 2018+3.5%
Q1 2018-0.8%
Q2 2016
Q1 2016

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