NYSE$AMR

Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc · Q1 2024 earnings

Q1 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Alpha Metallurgical Resources reported a solid quarter of performance despite challenges and softening coal market conditions.

Alpha Metallurgical Resources reported first quarter net income of $127.0 million, or $9.59 per diluted share. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $189.6 million.

  • Reported first quarter net income of $127.0 million, or $9.59 per diluted share.
  • Generated Adjusted EBITDA of $189.6 million for the quarter.
  • Net realized pricing for the Met segment was $166.68 per ton.
  • The company has acquired approximately 6.6 million shares of common stock at a cost of approximately $1.1 billion, or approximately $165.74 per share as of April 30, 2024.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$864M

Previous: $911M-5.2%
EPS

$9.59

Previous: $17.01-43.6%
Met Sales Realization per Ton

$166.68

Previous: $208.93-20.2%
Met Cost per Ton

$115.65

Previous: $110.56+4.6%
Met Tons Sold

4.4M

Previous: 3.7M+18.0%
Free Cash Flow

$127M

Previous: $271M-53.1%
Net Income

$127M

Previous: $271M-53.1%
Operating Income

$142M

Previous: $315M-54.9%
Gross Profit

$216M

Previous: $372M-42.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$269M

Previous: $223M+21.1%
Total Assets

$2.46B

Previous: $2.35B+4.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Alpha Metallurgical · Revenue · Quarterly

$864M

Q1 2024-5.2%vs Q1 2023
Beat estimate in 6 of 15 quarters(40%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Alpha Metallurgical · $493M total across 2 segments · Q2 2023

  • Export Met Coal
    $271M-35.0%
  • Domestic Met Coal
    $222M+39.2%

Forward guidance

Alpha is increasing its full-year guidance for idle operations expense to between $25 million and $33 million, up from the previously announced range of $18 million to $28 million. Additionally, the company is reducing its 2024 tax rate guidance to a range of 10% to 15%, down from the prior range of 12% to 17%.

Tailwinds

  • Metallurgical Coal shipments between 15.5 and 16.5 million tons.
  • Thermal Coal shipments between 0.9 and 1.3 million tons.
  • SG&A between $60 and $66 million.
  • Net Cash Interest Income between $2 and $8 million.
  • Tax Rate between 10% and 15%.

Headwinds

  • Capital Expenditures between $210 and $240 million.
  • Capital Contributions to Equity Affiliates between $40 and $50 million.
  • DD&A between $140 and $160 million.
  • Met Segment Costs per ton between $110.00 and $116.00.
  • Idle Operations Expense between $25 and $33 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2024

Historical avgQ1 2024

-2.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+7.2%

Avg return

30 days after

38%

14 / 37 earnings

Positive

+26.4%

Q2 2020

Best reaction

-50.4%

Q3 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.8%-7.2%+4.1%
Q4 2025-2.6%+8.7%+32.9%
Q3 2025-1.7%-4.7%+2.9%
Q1 2025-8.5%-1.5%-10.8%
Q4 2024-7.4%-10.5%-14.9%
Q3 2024+2.4%+16.1%+17.9%
Q2 2024-3.6%-0.7%-17.7%
Q1 2024-8.5%-13.7%-6.7%
Q4 2023+12.5%-1.0%-17.1%
Q3 2023-1.6%-7.3%+31.4%
Q2 2023+7.5%+10.4%+28.1%
Q1 2023+8.7%+3.9%+4.6%
Q4 2022-4.4%+2.4%-9.8%
Q3 2022-4.0%-13.1%-8.7%
Q2 2022+1.7%+17.9%+15.5%
Q1 2022+5.8%-10.5%+4.9%
Q4 2021+8.8%+14.3%+3.1%
Q3 2021-1.1%-12.5%-22.9%
Q2 2021+12.1%+21.0%+53.7%
Q1 2021+13.9%+4.2%+67.4%
Q4 2020-26.2%-18.9%-5.9%
Q3 2020+10.5%
Q2 2020+26.4%
Q1 2020-5.1%
Q4 2019-30.0%
Q3 2019-50.4%
Q2 2019-11.1%
Q1 2019-5.4%
Q4 2018-4.5%
Q4 2016+3.5%
Q1 2017+3.5%
Q2 2017-3.7%
Q4 2017-3.7%
Q3 2017-3.7%
Q3 2018-2.8%
Q2 2018+3.5%
Q1 2018-0.8%
Q2 2016
Q1 2016

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